Jump to content

Welcome to FutureTimeline.forum
Register now to gain access to all of our features. Once registered and logged in, you will be able to create topics, post replies to existing threads, give reputation to your fellow members, get your own private messenger, post status updates, manage your profile and so much more. If you already have an account, login here - otherwise create an account for free today!

These ads will disappear if you register on the forum

Photo

Your 2015 Predictions


  • Please log in to reply
104 replies to this topic

#1
Yuli Ban

Yuli Ban

    Nadsat Brat

  • Moderators
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 17,133 posts
  • LocationAnur Margidda
We're only 7 days away from The Future™, so why not start a thread?

Here's the Timeline predictions

2015-2019 —

Global economic recovery remains slow
Personal genome sequencing enters the mainstream
Five-year survival rates for thyroid cancer are approaching 100%
Virtual reality makes a comeback

2015 —

Lithuania joins the Eurozone
The Eurasian Union is formed
The first solar aircraft to circumnavigate the globe
Expo 2015 is held in Milan, Italy
The Large Hadron Collider reaches its maximum operating power
The world's first fully sustainable, zero-carbon, zero-waste city
The first self-regulating artificial heart
A new generation of hi-tech supercarriers
The United States and South Korea dissolve the Combined Forces Command
The first large-scale solar updraft towers are operational
Queen Elizabeth II is the longest reigning monarch in British history
Personal biometric scanners for online banking
DDR4 memory reaches the home PC market
Windows 10 is released by Microsoft
10 nanometre chips enter mass production
The Archival Disc format is launched
The Carteret Islands are abandoned
The New Horizons probe arrives at Pluto
The Dawn probe arrives at Ceres
The first advert on the Moon
Electric car ownership reaches 1 million worldwide
Trucks with emergency braking systems are mandatory in Europe
The deadline for the Millennium Development Goals

Here are my additions

Memristor technology appears in business products
A 3D multicolor hologram is created and runs at a smooth framerate
Optical computing breakthrough as Optalysys announces a success
Virgin Galactic succeeds in bringing various celebrities into space
Elon Musk unveils a new electric vehicle that is affordable to the middle class
Breakthrough in battery technology culminates in a cheap way to store solar energy
Christian revivalism peaks in the US
Test of the Falcon Heavy
Sunjammer solar sail launched
Deep learning algorithms surpass human level image and speech recognition
Deep learning also leads to algorithms that can understand multiple paragraphs
Augmented reality market explodes forth, driven by a new array of smartglasses
64 to 128 pixel bionic contact lens unveiled
Private drone ownership becomes a major market in the US, South Korea, Japan, and elsewhere, leading to privacy concerns as well as a memetic phenomenon
First major drone airshow takes place sometime this year
Bionic arms controlled by the mind reach a new developmental stage, capable of finer motor skills.
Humanoid robots will be tested on the battlefield
Personal drones become a larger part of military and police unit tactics
Companies begin using robots, including drones, for security and retail
Stephen Hawking passes away
Oil prices fall to significant lows before rebounding, wreaking havoc on oil-dependent nations and corporation
The fall in oil prices leads to a temporary boom in gas guzzler car ownership. As prices return to normal, this leads to decreased consumer spending and boom period for electric vehicles
A photorealistic short animation of multiple people is made
Internet of Things expands deeply into retail such as Wal-Mart
Ireland leads the world in graphene production
Mass producable method of creating graphene and carbon nanotubes found
Scientists succeed in creating a sub-room-temperature superconductor (i.e. 0°C)
Fusion breakthrough, as a reactor releases more energy than was put in— sustained
A major hack cripples a corporation to the point of bankruptcy, leading to a panic over cyberterrorism
Oculus Rift released with at least a 1660p display, to major acclaim
Flexible electronic paper enters use
North Korea detonates a nuclear weapon with a yield larger than 20 kilotons
Malaysia becomes the latest East Asian economic success story
The first open trade between the US and Cuba since 1962 begins
Marijuana legalization skyrockets
(personal throwaway: stoner rock overtakes metalcore as dominant hard rock genre)
Major blockbuster brings transhumanism into public consciousness
Intelligence amplification of a mouse sparks ethical debates
Scientists succeed in isolating mammoth genome, leading to a test fertilization
Solar panel prices plunge faster than utility industries can keep up with
Nanomotors, nanoengines, and nanogears combined to create a working hard nanobot
Brain to brain communication replicated in labs multiple times
Cyberkinesis products enter the market to lukewarm sales
Stem cell treatments enter commercial medical care
Homosexuality legalized in a conservative state
Global carbon emissions remain on pace
First successful cyberkinetic indie game released
Google's self driving car passes 1 million miles of travel
A semi-autonomous car is released to the market
D-Wave releases a 2,000+ qubit quantum computer
Soft nanobots enter medical trials
3D printing market reaches mass consumer retail
Back to the Future styled technology enters the market
Trials begin to test robots in nursing homes
Deep learning algorithm convinces more than 30% of people that it's human
The Internet reaches 1 zettabyte in size
Multiple projects converge to grant free internet access to world's remaining unwired population
  • Kemotx likes this
Nobody's gonna take my drone, I'm gonna fly miles far too high!
Nobody gonna beat my drone, it's gonna shoot into the sky!

#2
Kemotx

Kemotx

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 505 posts
  • LocationWrocław

We're only 7 days away from The Future™, so why not start a thread?

Here are my additions:

Memristor technology appears in business products
A 3D multicolor hologram is created and runs at a smooth framerate
Optical computing breakthrough as Optalysys announces a success

Virgin Galactic succeeds in bringing various celebrities into space
Elon Musk unveils a new electric vehicle that is affordable to the middle class
Breakthrough in battery technology culminates in a cheap way to store solar energy

Christian revivalism peaks in the US
Test of the Falcon Heavy
Sunjammer solar sail launched
Deep learning algorithms surpass human level image and speech recognition
Deep learning also leads to algorithms that can understand multiple paragraphs

Augmented reality market explodes forth, driven by a new array of smartglasses
64 to 128 pixel bionic contact lens unveiled
Private drone ownership becomes a major market in the US, South Korea, Japan, and elsewhere, leading to privacy concerns as well as a memetic phenomenon

First major drone airshow takes place sometime this year
Bionic arms controlled by the mind reach a new developmental stage, capable of finer motor skills.
Humanoid robots will be tested on the battlefield
Personal drones become a larger part of military and police unit tactics
Companies begin using robots, including drones, for security and retail
Stephen Hawking passes away
Oil prices fall to significant lows before rebounding, wreaking havoc on oil-dependent nations and corporation
The fall in oil prices leads to a temporary boom in gas guzzler car ownership. As prices return to normal, this leads to decreased consumer spending and boom period for electric vehicles
A photorealistic short animation of multiple people is made

Internet of Things expands deeply into retail such as Wal-Mart
Ireland leads the world in graphene production
Mass producable method of creating graphene and carbon nanotubes found
Scientists succeed in creating a sub-room-temperature superconductor (i.e. 0°C)
Fusion breakthrough, as a reactor releases more energy than was put in— sustained

A major hack cripples a corporation to the point of bankruptcy, leading to a panic over cyberterrorism
Oculus Rift released with at least a 1660p display, to major acclaim
Flexible electronic paper enters use
North Korea detonates a nuclear weapon with a yield larger than 20 kilotons
Malaysia becomes the latest East Asian economic success story
The first open trade between the US and Cuba since 1962 begins
Marijuana legalization skyrockets

(personal throwaway: stoner rock overtakes metalcore as dominant hard rock genre)
Major blockbuster brings transhumanism into public consciousness
Intelligence amplification of a mouse sparks ethical debates
Scientists succeed in isolating mammoth genome, leading to a test fertilization
Solar panel prices plunge faster than utility industries can keep up with
Nanomotors, nanoengines, and nanogears combined to create a working hard nanobot - At least 10 more years for that, unless you mean a very basic prototype.

 

Yes

Implausible

Plausible/Possible

I don't know much about music

Transcendence already did, even if people didn't like it.



#3
Ru1138

Ru1138

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 3,190 posts
  • LocationIllinois

-Recession in Russia due to sanctions and currency devaluation.

 

-Recession in Eurozone due to deflation in Germany and other countries.

 

-Due to point two, an increase in fascistic tendencies in European politics.

 

-Possible (though unlikely) recession in China due to slowdown in global raw materials market.


  • Futurist likes this

What difference does it make?


#4
Italian Ufo

Italian Ufo

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 12,190 posts

-Recession in Russia due to sanctions and currency devaluation.

 

-Recession in Eurozone due to deflation in Germany and other countries.

 

-Due to point two, an increase in fascistic tendencies in European politics.

 

-Possible (though unlikely) recession in China due to slowdown in global raw materials market.

 

 

We're only 7 days away from The Future™, so why not start a thread?

Here are my additions:

Memristor technology appears in business products
A 3D multicolor hologram is created and runs at a smooth framerate
Optical computing breakthrough as Optalysys announces a success

Virgin Galactic succeeds in bringing various celebrities into space
Elon Musk unveils a new electric vehicle that is affordable to the middle class
Breakthrough in battery technology culminates in a cheap way to store solar energy

Christian revivalism peaks in the US
Test of the Falcon Heavy
Sunjammer solar sail launched
Deep learning algorithms surpass human level image and speech recognition
Deep learning also leads to algorithms that can understand multiple paragraphs

Augmented reality market explodes forth, driven by a new array of smartglasses
64 to 128 pixel bionic contact lens unveiled
Private drone ownership becomes a major market in the US, South Korea, Japan, and elsewhere, leading to privacy concerns as well as a memetic phenomenon

First major drone airshow takes place sometime this year
Bionic arms controlled by the mind reach a new developmental stage, capable of finer motor skills.
Humanoid robots will be tested on the battlefield
Personal drones become a larger part of military and police unit tactics
Companies begin using robots, including drones, for security and retail
Stephen Hawking passes away
Oil prices fall to significant lows before rebounding, wreaking havoc on oil-dependent nations and corporation
The fall in oil prices leads to a temporary boom in gas guzzler car ownership. As prices return to normal, this leads to decreased consumer spending and boom period for electric vehicles
A photorealistic short animation of multiple people is made

Internet of Things expands deeply into retail such as Wal-Mart
Ireland leads the world in graphene production
Mass producable method of creating graphene and carbon nanotubes found
Scientists succeed in creating a sub-room-temperature superconductor (i.e. 0°C)
Fusion breakthrough, as a reactor releases more energy than was put in— sustained

A major hack cripples a corporation to the point of bankruptcy, leading to a panic over cyberterrorism
Oculus Rift released with at least a 1660p display, to major acclaim
Flexible electronic paper enters use
North Korea detonates a nuclear weapon with a yield larger than 20 kilotons
Malaysia becomes the latest East Asian economic success story
The first open trade between the US and Cuba since 1962 begins
Marijuana legalization skyrockets

(personal throwaway: stoner rock overtakes metalcore as dominant hard rock genre)
Major blockbuster brings transhumanism into public consciousness
Intelligence amplification of a mouse sparks ethical debates
Scientists succeed in isolating mammoth genome, leading to a test fertilization
Solar panel prices plunge faster than utility industries can keep up with
Nanomotors, nanoengines, and nanogears combined to create a working hard nanobot - At least 10 more years for that, unless you mean a very basic prototype.

 

Yes

Implausible

Plausible/Possible

I don't know much about music

Transcendence already did, even if people didn't like it.

 

 

Italian Ufo creates fashion on futuretimeline 


  • Yuli Ban likes this

#5
Italian Ufo

Italian Ufo

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 12,190 posts

.
 



#6
Italian Ufo

Italian Ufo

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 12,190 posts



#7
sasuke2490

sasuke2490

    veteran gamer

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 464 posts

I hope deep learning helps us with finding cures for cancer


  • Yuli Ban likes this

https://www.instagc.com/scorch9722

Use my link for free steam wallet codes if you want


#8
Italian Ufo

Italian Ufo

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 12,190 posts

You took this avatar from A. I right ?

 

Predictions..

 

well a continue worsening of Russia crisis

 

Cuba and USA making great deals

 

Winds of revolt in North korea

 

A natural disaster

 

Back to the future shoes

 

Google glass wear by a famous personality

 

First tendon made of stem cells

 

Civil war in Nigeria

 

Attempts of Isis and its consequent weakening 

 

World Cup 2022 canceled in Qatar

 

Drones are main stream

 

First "Medic inside the body"

 

Italian Ufo is about to lose its leadership on futuretime line and by mid 2016 he becomes the second poster of the Forum after 6 years of sovereignty. This means Italian Ufo will be less active. However, the forum will feel that is misses something and nostalgia will be developed for the Italian poster



#9
FutureGuy

FutureGuy

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 557 posts

 

Virgin Galactic succeeds in bringing various celebrities into space

 

Lady Gaga was supposed to do that, but because of recent events, that's delayed and it's unkown when it'll happen, if at all. I doubt anyone else would try after what happened.

 

 

 

Sunjammer solar sail launched

 

Sunjammer was cancelled in october. No more sunjammer. 

 

 

 

Augmented reality market explodes forth, driven by a new array of smartglasses

 

Most people see wearables as a fad, a gimmick, and a very bad one at that.

 

 

Humanoid robots will be tested on the battlefield

 

The closest thing you'll have to this is the end of DARPA robotic challenge, which is in early summer IIRC. I don't see a humanoid robot being tested on an actual battlefield in this decade.

 

 

 

 

 

 



#10
crazy359

crazy359

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPip
  • 48 posts

You took this avatar from A. I right ?
 
Predictions..
 
well a continue worsening of Russia crisis
 
Cuba and USA making great deals
 
Winds of revolt in North korea
 
A natural disaster
 
Back to the future shoes
 
Google glass wear by a famous personality
 
First tendon made of stem cells
 
Civil war in Nigeria
 
Attempts of Isis and its consequent weakening 
 
World Cup 2022 canceled in Qatar
 
Drones are main stream
 
First "Medic inside the body"
 
Italian Ufo is about to lose its leadership on futuretime line and by mid 2016 he becomes the second poster of the Forum after 6 years of sovereignty. This means Italian Ufo will be less active. However, the forum will feel that is misses something and nostalgia will be developed for the Italian poster



Why do you say that there will be revolt in north korea?
And why do you think qatar will lose the world cup?
( i hope both will happen)

#11
Kynareth

Kynareth

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPip
  • 138 posts

Predictions by Yuli Ban:

Memristor technology appears in business products
A 3D multicolor hologram is created and runs at a smooth framerate
Optical computing breakthrough as Optalysys announces a success
Virgin Galactic succeeds in bringing various celebrities into space
Elon Musk unveils a new electric vehicle that is affordable to the middle class
Breakthrough in battery technology culminates in a cheap way to store solar energy
Christian revivalism peaks in the US
Test of the Falcon Heavy
Sunjammer solar sail launched
Deep learning algorithms surpass human level image and speech recognition
Deep learning also leads to algorithms that can understand multiple paragraphs
Augmented reality market explodes forth, driven by a new array of smartglasses
64 to 128 pixel bionic contact lens unveiled 
Private drone ownership becomes a major market in the US, South Korea, Japan, and elsewhere, leading to privacy concerns as well as a memetic phenomenon

First major drone airshow takes place sometime this year
Bionic arms controlled by the mind reach a new developmental stage, capable of finer motor skills. 
Humanoid robots will be tested on the battlefield
Personal drones become a larger part of military and police unit tactics
Companies begin using robots, including drones, for security and retail
Stephen Hawking passes away
Oil prices fall to significant lows before rebounding, wreaking havoc on oil-dependent nations and corporation
The fall in oil prices leads to a temporary boom in gas guzzler car ownership. As prices return to normal, this leads to decreased consumer spending and boom period for electric vehicles
A photorealistic short animation of multiple people is made
Internet of Things expands deeply into retail such as Wal-Mart
Ireland leads the world in graphene production
Mass producable method of creating graphene and carbon nanotubes found
Scientists succeed in creating a sub-room-temperature superconductor (i.e. 0°C)
Fusion breakthrough, as a reactor releases more energy than was put in— sustained
A major hack cripples a corporation to the point of bankruptcy, leading to a panic over cyberterrorism
Oculus Rift released with at least a 1660p display, to major acclaim
Flexible electronic paper enters use
North Korea detonates a nuclear weapon with a yield larger than 20 kilotons
Malaysia becomes the latest East Asian economic success story
The first open trade between the US and Cuba since 1962 begins
Marijuana legalization skyrockets
(personal throwaway: stoner rock overtakes metalcore as dominant hard rock genre)
Major blockbuster brings transhumanism into public consciousness
Intelligence amplification of a mouse sparks ethical debates
Scientists succeed in isolating mammoth genome, leading to a test fertilization
Solar panel prices plunge faster than utility industries can keep up with 
Nanomotors, nanoengines, and nanogears combined to create a working hard nanobot
Brain to brain communication replicated in labs multiple times
Cyberkinesis products enter the market to lukewarm sales
Stem cell treatments enter commercial medical care
Homosexuality legalized in a conservative state
Global carbon emissions remain on pace
First successful cyberkinetic indie game released
Google's self driving car passes 1 million miles of travel
A semi-autonomous car is released to the market
D-Wave releases a 2,000+ qubit quantum computer
Soft nanobots enter medical trials
3D printing market reaches mass consumer retail
Back to the Future styled technology enters the market
Trials begin to test robots in nursing homes
Deep learning algorithm convinces more than 30% of people that it's human
The Internet reaches 1 zettabyte in size
Multiple projects converge to grant free internet access to world's remaining unwired population 

 

green - true

red - false

grey - maybe or only partially true



#12
Jakob

Jakob

    Fenny-Eyed Slubber-Yuck

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,228 posts
  • LocationIn the Basket of Deplorables

 

We're only 7 days away from The Future™, so why not start a thread?

Here are my additions:

Memristor technology appears in business products
A 3D multicolor hologram is created and runs at a smooth framerate
Optical computing breakthrough as Optalysys announces a success
Virgin Galactic succeeds in bringing various celebrities into space
Elon Musk unveils a new electric vehicle that is affordable to the middle class
Breakthrough in battery technology culminates in a cheap way to store solar energy
Christian revivalism peaks in the US
Test of the Falcon Heavy
Sunjammer solar sail launched
Deep learning algorithms surpass human level image and speech recognition I don't think they'll surpass human-level recognition, and certainly not in 2015. They might equal it in 2016
Deep learning also leads to algorithms that can understand multiple paragraphs
Augmented reality market explodes forth, driven by a new array of smartglasses
64 to 128 pixel bionic contact lens unveiled
Private drone ownership becomes a major market in the US, South Korea, Japan, and elsewhere, leading to privacy concerns as well as a memetic phenomenon
First major drone airshow takes place sometime this year If it hasn't already been done?
Bionic arms controlled by the mind reach a new developmental stage, capable of finer motor skills.
Humanoid robots will be tested on the battlefield Closest is probably TALOS (not a robot) or BigDog or similar (not humanoid)
Personal drones become a larger part of military and police unit tactics
Companies begin using robots, including drones, for security and retail
Stephen Hawking passes away Why would he?
Oil prices fall to significant lows before rebounding, wreaking havoc on oil-dependent nations and corporation
The fall in oil prices leads to a temporary boom in gas guzzler car ownership. As prices return to normal, this leads to decreased consumer spending and boom period for electric vehicles
A photorealistic short animation of multiple people is made
Internet of Things expands deeply into retail such as Wal-Mart certainly by '20
Ireland leads the world in graphene production [why Ireland?]
Mass producable method of creating graphene and carbon nanotubes found
Scientists succeed in creating a sub-room-temperature superconductor (i.e. 0°C) Isn't the record still far below 0 Celsius?
Fusion breakthrough, as a reactor releases more energy than was put in— sustained
A major hack cripples a corporation to the point of bankruptcy, leading to a panic over cyberterrorism
Oculus Rift released with at least a 1660p display, to major acclaim
Flexible electronic paper enters use too early. 2020-2022 is my guess.
North Korea detonates a nuclear weapon with a yield larger than 20 kilotons
Malaysia becomes the latest East Asian economic success story
The first open trade between the US and Cuba since 1962 begins
Marijuana legalization skyrockets
(personal throwaway: stoner rock overtakes metalcore as dominant hard rock genre)
Major blockbuster brings transhumanism into public consciousness already done with Transcendence as someone pointed out above
Intelligence amplification of a mouse sparks ethical debates
Scientists succeed in isolating mammoth genome, leading to a test fertilization we never heard anything about the mammoth cloning project :(
Solar panel prices plunge faster than utility industries can keep up with
Nanomotors, nanoengines, and nanogears combined to create a working hard nanobot not gonna happen until 2025ish

Blue=very likely/almost certain

Green=likely

Yellow=possibly

Orange=sort of unlikely, but not a definite no-no

Red=definitely not

White/gray = no clue


Click 'show' to see quotes from great luminaries.

Spoiler

#13
Yuli Ban

Yuli Ban

    Nadsat Brat

  • Moderators
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 17,133 posts
  • LocationAnur Margidda
^ Actually, they're nearing completion of decoding a full mammoth DNA strand, thanks to a near perfectly preserved mammoth being discovered.
Nobody's gonna take my drone, I'm gonna fly miles far too high!
Nobody gonna beat my drone, it's gonna shoot into the sky!

#14
Jakob

Jakob

    Fenny-Eyed Slubber-Yuck

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,228 posts
  • LocationIn the Basket of Deplorables

^ Actually, they're nearing completion of decoding a full mammoth DNA strand, thanks to a near perfectly preserved mammoth being discovered.

I still think it could be some years until one is actually cloned.


Click 'show' to see quotes from great luminaries.

Spoiler

#15
MissKaioshin

MissKaioshin

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPip
  • 57 posts

Here's a prediction:

 

Next year, we will read tons of articles about scientists curing all kinds of diseases...in mice. We will read tons of articles about graphene. We will read tons of articles about Aubrey de Grey and SENS. We will read tons of articles about Google. We will read tons of articles about Elon Musk. We will read tons of articles about A.I. We will read tons of articles about quantum computers, including D-Wave. We will read tons of articles about stem cells. We will read tons of articles about self-driving cars. We will read tons of articles about 3D printing.

 

We will read all of those articles and blog posts and press releases. People will excitedly post links on /r/futurology and /r/singularity and /r/transhumanism, as well as on here, Kurzweilai, and other forums. Other people will read those and reply to those threads, saying "Awesome!", and "Things are really starting to accelerate". Other people will tear those articles apart by pointing out things the journalists got wrong or left out, and how the 'breakthrough' is actually a lot less significant than the article implies. The first group of people will call the second group of people trolls and pessimists, and reply to every criticism with "Law of Accelerating Returns! You're thinking too linearly!"

 

This will continue for the entire year, from January 1st, 2015 right on up to December 31st, 2015. Just months and months of articles and "scientists did a thing that will bring quantum computing one step closer" and "Will AI wipe us out?" and "Scientists gave a rat its hair back with stem cells!" and "graphene is so cool, u guys!"

 

And absolutely nothing about our daily lives will change. 


  • Zeitgeist123, Yuli Ban, Futurist and 2 others like this

You know what Ol' MissKaioshin says at a time like this? At times like this, MissKaioshin just says..."Whatevs"


#16
Kemotx

Kemotx

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 505 posts
  • LocationWrocław

Here's a prediction:

 

Next year, we will read tons of articles about scientists curing all kinds of diseases...in mice. We will read tons of articles about graphene. We will read tons of articles about Aubrey de Grey and SENS. We will read tons of articles about Google. We will read tons of articles about Elon Musk. We will read tons of articles about A.I. We will read tons of articles about quantum computers, including D-Wave. We will read tons of articles about stem cells. We will read tons of articles about self-driving cars. We will read tons of articles about 3D printing.

 

We will read all of those articles and blog posts and press releases. People will excitedly post links on /r/futurology and /r/singularity and /r/transhumanism, as well as on here, Kurzweilai, and other forums. Other people will read those and reply to those threads, saying "Awesome!", and "Things are really starting to accelerate". Other people will tear those articles apart by pointing out things the journalists got wrong or left out, and how the 'breakthrough' is actually a lot less significant than the article implies. The first group of people will call the second group of people trolls and pessimists, and reply to every criticism with "Law of Accelerating Returns! You're thinking too linearly!"

 

This will continue for the entire year, from January 1st, 2015 right on up to December 31st, 2015. Just months and months of articles and "scientists did a thing that will bring quantum computing one step closer" and "Will AI wipe us out?" and "Scientists gave a rat its hair back with stem cells!" and "graphene is so cool, u guys!"

 

And absolutely nothing about our daily lives will change. 

 

I'm sorry, but your post looks like at least to me like something a creationist would say about microevolution. Of course 2015 will not bring major changes, it will be minor changes and only sometimes one year can bring something amazing. But if you went 15 years into past, there would be lot of differences.

 

Not to mention, I feel like in this decade progress is made but we are preparing everything for 2020s. It is 2020s when we will have matured memristors, optical computers, 3D circuits, significant percentage of energy provided by solar and of course everything Musk will do.

 

Oh, and if you want to see progress, just look at the solar growth. Gradual, but over past 15 years it exploded.


  • Yuli Ban, Jakob and Souma like this

#17
Jakob

Jakob

    Fenny-Eyed Slubber-Yuck

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,228 posts
  • LocationIn the Basket of Deplorables

And absolutely nothing about our daily lives will change. 

Well, maybe that's true. I think it'll take until the mid 2020s before any of us notice substantial changes in our daily lives with respect to now.

 

And consider the changes that have happened since 2000:

 

*The internet matured and became a thing for the masses, not just geeks and hackers

*Web 2.0 exists

*Cellphones have risen and fallen, already being replaced by smartphones (though I still have what most would call a "dumb phone")

*Space tourism has begun

*Graphene has been discovered and even produced in visible amounts

*We landed on a comet

*Probes are about to reach what are among the last large objects in the Solar System that we haven't sent a probe to

*The number of known exoplanets has risen from a handful to nearly two thousand, including dozens that are earth-like

 

edited to add the above list


Edited by Jakob, 27 December 2014 - 01:19 PM.

  • Yuli Ban and Kemotx like this

Click 'show' to see quotes from great luminaries.

Spoiler

#18
PrimordialBeing

PrimordialBeing

    Why are you bothering to look at this? Go read my post.

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 2,468 posts
Jakob, you were saying in a quote "Why Ireland?" for Yuli's predicition that it will become a leader in graphene. I can't be arsed quoting the whole post and it's too cumbersome to edit on a phone.

I know you're probably all like "WTF, that's a tiny country that doesn't do too much in terms of outputting scientific research, but there is more than meets the eye here with graphene , but all nanotechnology.

Well, for a start, we have one of the few universities that offers a degree in nanotechnology. These graduates then get to go and work in a leading nanoscience lab (CRANN).

I think Yuli said Ireland will take the lead in graphene production because the researchers here have figured out a cheap and easy method of producing high quality graphene. What they do is get pencil graphite, chop it in fairly small pieces, and put it into a blender with water.

I was talking with a professor who works there about this, and he was saying that he reckins this simple technique will definitely help to bring graphene out of small-scale lab production and into mass manufacturing in the next few years.

Also, they're making stress meters from elastic bands coated in a thin layer of graphene, which turned out to be multiple times more effective than the regular version. I'm not sure many institutions are researching medical applications of graphene, but I don't think it's too many, so that also helps.
  • Yuli Ban and Jakob like this
"Build a man a fire, and he'll be warm for a day. Set a man on fire, and he'll be warm for life" -Terry Pratchett
"And when you gaze long into an abyss, the abyss also gazes into you"-Friedrich Nietzsche
"The biggest risk is not taking any risk.. In a world that is changing quickly, the only strategy that is guaranteed to fail is not taking risks* - Mark Zuckerberg

#19
PhoenixRu

PhoenixRu

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 2,514 posts
  • LocationRussia

The last news makes me very pessimistic. Main event of 2015 will most likely be the full-scale war in Ukraine & compared to this war (and its consequences) all the scientific "breakthroughs" and new models of hi-tech gadgets will seem really insignificant... 


  • Maximus likes this

--- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- --- ---

 

"And the Russian land, let God keep it! Under heavens, there is no other land like this. And although Russian nobles are not righteous neither kind, let God arrange the Russian land and give us enough justice" - Afanasy Nikitin, medieval traveler of XV century.


#20
Yuli Ban

Yuli Ban

    Nadsat Brat

  • Moderators
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 17,133 posts
  • LocationAnur Margidda
Then Yuli Ban will add one last prediction.

There will be total war in Ukraine. Bombs, probably even a nuke or two, foot soldiers rushing in...
And then Russia will face open revolt. The ruble collapses completely, but this may come before the invasion. Oil prices fall to single digit amounts. China abandons Russia in their time of need.

If the US doesn't respond (I bet we won't), I can't see it escalating. We will be avoiding nuclear war at all costs. Even if we do, logistics run against Russia.

To Russians: should war break out, run. Get away from any place where there may be a major military installation nearby.
Nobody's gonna take my drone, I'm gonna fly miles far too high!
Nobody gonna beat my drone, it's gonna shoot into the sky!




0 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users