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2020 Computers


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51 replies to this topic

#21
H3llion

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Who knows, but Apple abandoning the Desktop and Laptop market seems unlikely, but plausible (anything is plausible).

#22
stevo

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i see it coming down to Google vs. Microsoft by 2020 due to the fact that Apple charges way to much for it's products and Google and Microsoft don't.

#23
science man

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I think things will pretty much be the same except faster and new OSes. Also new tablets. Edit: I don't mean to not be that imaginative, just trying to be realistic.

Edited by science man, 25 May 2012 - 07:36 PM.


#24
Nick1984

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Like I said I think Windows, iOS/OSX, Android will still be the big 3 OS in 2020. They'll evolve, just look at Windows 8.

#25
rennerpetey

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Laptops will be dead by 2020. They take all of the bad things from desktops and tablets and put it into one device. As for desktops, 85-95% will be Macs. Not sure about tablets. The iPad will be the best seller still, though.

wow, ok not accurate at all.  these people were too optimistic.


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#26
Vivian

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Im in the end of  2017 and im posting this post on a lap top. I dont think they will disappear in 2 years. But smartphones are more and more used to access internet. Laptops, desktops and tablets together have the same internet data flow  as smartphones alone. Smarthphones are growing more than all, so in 2020, most internet access should be made by smartphones.



#27
sasuke2490

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I use laptops and smartphones too


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#28
Raklian

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Am I the only one who uses a PC?

 

I think wjfox uses one, too. The thing is... we're in our 30s so it must be a generational gap.

 

lol


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#29
Erowind

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Am I the only one who uses a PC?

 

I think wjfox uses one, too. The thing is... we're in our 30s so it must be a generational gap.

 

lol

 

I use a desktop computer too. I've two monitors and a bunch of wires held up by zipties running all over my desk. The only other people my age that I know use desktops also play video games. It seems most people either use a laptop or rely entirely on a smartphone nowadays--I would die.


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#30
Alislaws

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Desktop PC user here... also coincidentally am in early 30s, also a PC gamer.

 

I think no one uses desktops unless they need serious power, and the only reason to need that is because you're playing PC games, or doing graphical rendering or major data handling. As more and more stuff moves to the cloud there will be fewer and fewer use cases for having all that power in your home. Most big data stuff is done in the cloud these days.

 

Once 5G comes out (or maybe the generation after, depends how fast & reliable 5G is) we will probably see phones/tablets/laptops/PCs/consoles all turning into terminals which access the cloud, where all the major processing occurs.


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#31
TranscendingGod

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Desktop PC user here... also coincidentally am in early 30s, also a PC gamer.

 

I think no one uses desktops unless they need serious power, and the only reason to need that is because you're playing PC games, or doing graphical rendering or major data handling. As more and more stuff moves to the cloud there will be fewer and fewer use cases for having all that power in your home. Most big data stuff is done in the cloud these days.

 

Once 5G comes out (or maybe the generation after, depends how fast & reliable 5G is) we will probably see phones/tablets/laptops/PCs/consoles all turning into terminals which access the cloud, where all the major processing occurs.

I use my desktop and my phone daily. 


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The growth of computation is doubly exponential growth. 


#32
caltrek

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Am I the only one who uses a PC?

 

I think wjfox uses one, too. The thing is... we're in our 30s so it must be a generational gap.

 

lol

 

I use a PC, and I am not a PC gamer.  Of course, I am also 62, so maybe the "generational gap" idea has merit.  


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#33
Zaphod

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I also use a PC daily and am 25. I supposedly use it for work and bioinformatics stuff, but in reality it's used for gaming and VR.


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#34
MrDusk

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Since manufacturers of chips arent going down to smaller sizes like 10 or 7 nanometer at the moment we can assume that commercial grade computers will instead have more cores with a focus on improving multithreaded performance for intel and single core clock for AMD. AMD will still be the value king since that is what they are known for. However competition in the CPU market might drive both to innovate in ways I cant really predict.

 

Ram will probably go up to DDR5 with no real improvements on performance because theres a bottleneck elsewhere preventing it even for DDR4.

 

Consumers will lag behind the latest generation of cards if the cryptominer craze keeps up (thanks etherium) otherwise you'll be paying 2 - 300 dollars more for current gen CPU's.

 

HDD's wont be going out of fashion anytime soon as its been recently announced that 40TB versions will be available by 2019. considering the current trend of phones taking up USB-C and doing away with the headphone jack we can assume headsets will be released to match the new industry standard and regular computers to follow suit.

 

the main OS will still be windows. servers will still be predominantly linux. Apple will survive cause of its loyal customer base who continue to buy their crap and suffer for it. Linux people will still tirelessly try to get their friends and family to move over. gaming is quickly becoming something you can do without missing out too much on the OS and even then you can just use wine or a VM. (but the mainstream will never do that because its seen as too much work. unless of course the linux community adapts and innovates so GPU passthrough and VM's are easy.

 

Phones and tablets will continue to increase in power and performance. One of these days samsung will release flexible options... one of these days. wearables will hopefully grow to be less of a gimick or geek thing.

 

Regular PC's will shrink in size as gamers and regular users dont need huge clunkers to do their thing anymore.

 

VR may eventually replace monitors for some people as you can just plop a headset on and have as many screens as you please. programs like Janus VR will revolutionize the way we explore the web at least in the geek space even if it isnt aquired by anyone.

 

 

 

 

Theres probably a heap of other stuff that will happen too.



#35
dekoomer

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I've took a look at the first part of this thread 2012/13

 

This is NOT how you make predictions.

 

The thread overshot projections of the time.

The thread undershot the influence of new tech.

And no one mentioned VR/AR and how it may affect computing in 2020.

 

Lets learn a lesson from

this and make more realistic and accurate predictions.

 

2020 is still shaping up to be a great year technology wise, and in certain ways

will be even more amazing then what those 2012/13 folks predicted.



#36
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Here's another possibility.

i think this is evidence we must be very conservative about the future



#37
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I've took a look at the first part of this thread 2012/13

 

This is NOT how you make predictions.

 

The thread overshot projections of the time.

The thread undershot the influence of new tech.

And no one mentioned VR/AR and how it may affect computing in 2020.

 

Lets learn a lesson from

this and make more realistic and accurate predictions.

 

2020 is still shaping up to be a great year technology wise, and in certain ways

will be even more amazing then what those 2012/13 folks predicted.

i think we need to double the dates for many predictions we are far to optimistic



#38
Vivian

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Here's another possibility.

i think this is evidence we must be very conservative about the future

 

The pen pc might still come on 2020. Its up to users to decide if regular pcs will disapear or not.  You can buy this, already: https://www.amazon.c...d/dp/B008D6IUG4

 

Its basically the same tecnology of the pen pc in the video. 



#39
dekoomer

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i think we need to double the dates for many predictions we are far to optimistic

 

 

I agree. 

 

I have been taking a look at the 2020 future predictions at the main site. And I can already tell some of those things are unlikely to happen.

 

Here's one ... "Texting by thinking", Not happening by 2020.

 

Another one ... "Holographic TV is going mainstream", Nope.

 

 

They're are some hits like "Ultra High Definition Television is common in homes", This is very accurate. Nearly all new mid/high end TVs today are UHD/4k

 

 

Again, lets be careful and provide a range of possible dates for a prediction. 

 

2020 is just 2 years and 2 months away. By that time lets get together and make a new round of predictions. many of this site predictions was made during the early 2010's.



#40
Vivian

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Holographic tv might not be too far away. Samsung has a patent of it http://www.techradar...-holographic-tv.

 

Also, this interview happened this year, and they are still hoping to release holographic tvs on 2020: http://variety.com/2...-tv-1202032848/

 

Ive been thinking about it, and I dont want a pc pen at all. Smarthphones are so much better. The point of having a pen pc would be to be able to take it very easily with you. But we alread have this with smartphones. But for pc pen to work, you need a flat surface. Flat surfaces might not be always avaiable. So, in order to use it outside a building , you would have to carry a flat surface with you. You would have to hold both the pen and the flat surface. If you want a bigger screen, its easier to have a tablet, or a lap top. Tablets and lap tops are bigger and heavier, but you can use them when you are outdors, or when you dont have a flat surface avaiable. To use the pen pc you need 2 flat surfaces, so you cant type in the virtual keyboard in your lap, something both tablets and laptops are able to do. 






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