Jump to content

Welcome to FutureTimeline.forum
Register now to gain access to all of our features. Once registered and logged in, you will be able to create topics, post replies to existing threads, give reputation to your fellow members, get your own private messenger, post status updates, manage your profile and so much more. If you already have an account, login here - otherwise create an account for free today!

These ads will disappear if you register on the forum

Photo

The Future of the U.S. House of Representatives

U.S. House of Representatives Politics Chelsea Clinton 2018 Election

  • Please log in to reply
119 replies to this topic

#61
caltrek

caltrek

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,598 posts

The Districts have been Republican.  The special elections were mostly a matter of filling vacancies left by Trump appointments to higher office.

 

Montana was really disappointing.  A Democratic governor, a Democratic Senator, and still the Republicans (barely) won the State's only Congressional seat. (See also #49 above). All five seats you mentioned are otherwise in Republican states.  Still, some Republicans states do have districts that elect Democrats.

 

It is kind of a crazy system tracing its origins back to the founding in the 1776-1789 period. It is in that period that the establishment of a bi-cameral legislature to act as a check and balance on presidential authority was developed.  That is also when the emoluments clause was inserted into the Constitution.  A clause Trump now treats with contempt.  Congress won't even subpoena Trump on that issue.  There goes the republic.  Might as well start referring to kings instead of presidents.


  • Yuli Ban likes this

The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#62
caltrek

caltrek

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,598 posts

House Democrats Tell Republicans: Investigate the Comey Firing Now

 

http://www.motherjon...comey-letter-1/

 

Introduction:

 

House Judiciary Committee Democrats on Wednesday renewed a demand for Rep. Bob Goodlatte (R-Va.), who chairs the committee, to schedule hearings to examine President Donald Trump’s firing of FBI Director James Comey and other questions surrounding the Department of Justice.

 

“The House Committee on the Judiciary has a responsibility to step up and do its job,” 16 Democrats* on the panel say in the letter.

 

The letter highlights a problem confronting Republicans on the House and Senate committees charged with overseeing the DOJ. Many have no taste for investigating a chief executive in their own party, but Trump’s removal of Comey—along with questions arising from Attorney General Jeff Sessions’ inaccurate testimony to Congress about his contact last year with Russian officials—sits squarely within their jurisdiction.

 

Democrats on both committees are clamoring for those bodies to take lead roles in investigating whether Trump obstructed the FBI’s investigation into Russian meddling in the 2016 election, leaving the GOP committee chairmen struggling to justify their foot-dragging.

 

The letter from House Democrats details a series of rationales Goodlatte has offered for not looking into the matter. Goodlatte has argued for holding off because “the House and Senate Intelligence Committees are also conducting investigations,” the Democrats note, despite the Judiciary Committee’s primary responsibility for overseeing the Justice Department. Goodlatte has said the panel should steer clear of Comey and Russian interference because “investigations into these matters are ongoing,” an apparent reference to the investigation now being led by special counsel Robert Mueller. But the Democrats cite ample precedent for Congress and DOJ investigating matters at the same time.

capital-master.jpg?w=990

franckreporter/Getty/iStock


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#63
caltrek

caltrek

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,598 posts

Here is an interesting article discussing the Ossoff race (see also post #46, #53, and #59 on page 3 of this thread) and the efforts of younger candidates to run for office, especially other House seats.

 

 

http://www.truth-out...llennial-voters


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#64
caltrek

caltrek

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,598 posts

How great it would be to take out Poliquin in the next election.  Unfortunately, the northern Maine district that he represents is Trump country. So it will be an uphill battle to replace him.

 

Mainers Angry Over Health Care Repeal Find Representative Poliquin in Boston

 

https://ourfuture.or...iquin-in-boston

 

Introduction:

 

Second-District Representative Bruce Poliquin has mostly been avoiding public appearances in Maine following his vote in favor of the Republican health care repeal bill last month, but several dozen of his constituents managed to find him in Massachusetts on Monday, where he was giving a speech to a regional business lobby.

 

Holding signs reading “I drove here from Maine” and “Hands off of my health care,” carloads of Mainers, some of whom traveled up to six hours to join the picket, stood outside the Hampshire House in Boston and castigated Poliquin for his vote and his failure to  engage with his constituents on health care.

 

“Every day I see the tough choices people have to make to ensure that they can afford medical care. People shouldn’t have to decide whether or not to have lifesaving treatments because of cost. The Affordable Care Act is something that is in place to help these people,” said Tim Conmee, a nurse from Orrington.

 

“Those who depend on the many different hospitals we have out in rural Maine will be deeply hurt by this bill. Representative Poliquin would know that these bills have the potential to hurt Mainers if he actually met with his constituents at home in his district, instead of big business groups way down here in Boston.”

 

After weeks of refusing to publicly state a position, Rep. Poliquin joined his Republican colleagues last month in voting to repeal the Affordable Care Act, make deep cuts to Medicaid and give hundreds of billions of dollars in tax breaks to high-income earners.


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#65
caltrek

caltrek

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,598 posts

Meanwhile, over in New Jersey another interesting race is shaping up.

 

People’s Summit Drives New Wave of Progressive Candidates

 

https://ourfuture.org/20170612/peoples-summit-drives-new-wave-of-progressive-candidates

 

Introduction:

 

The Cook Political Report, one of the most respected handicappers of political races, doesn’t count New Jersey’s fourth congressional district – which encompasses most of central New Jersey – as even plausibly competitive for a Democrat. It’s now represented by a Republican, Christopher Smith, who is in his 19th term. In 2016, the district voted 56 percent for Donald Trump.

 

But Jim Keady – a restaurant owner who has also been active with New Jersey Organizing Project, a People’s Action affiliate – believes he can unseat Smith as a Democrat by throwing out the traditional “centrist” playbook political consultants say you have to use to win in a district like the New Jersey Fourth and instead running boldly as a progressive, Bernie Sanders-style populist.

 

He sees a sign that he may be right in the response he gets at events in his district when he declares his “unapologetic support for a national, single-payer health care system.”

 

“I can talk about 15 different issues in a meeting; that’s the one that gets the loudest applause,” he said.

 

The theme of the People’s Summit, a gathering of several thousand activists that concluded Sunday in Chicago was “beyond resistance,” and Keady was one of the more prominent embodiments of that theme. He was among dozens of current and prospective political candidates at the Summit striving to build upon the opposition to the Trump administration a drive toward taking real governing power.

 

 

 

But for policies regarding citation of too much of an article, I could have otherwise easily extracted the rest of the article and placed it in The Future of Our Revolution thread.  It involves further discussion about candidates stepping forward to run for office in order to promote progressive values.


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#66
caltrek

caltrek

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,598 posts

Not much hope for a Democratic victory here, but still a fun one to watch.

 

Can This Progressive Ironworker (and His Mustache) Swipe Paul Ryan's Seat?

 

http://www.alternet....paul-ryans-seat

 

 

Introduction:

 

A progressive, mustachioed Bernie Sanders supporter has shot to fame after announcing a challenge to Republican house speaker Paul Ryan.

 

Democrat Randy Bryce, who goes by @IronStache on Twitter, is an ironworker, union organiser and veteran who launched his bid for Wisconsin’s first congressional district on Monday.

 

Since then, his evocative campaign advert, which shows a denim- and boot-clad Bryce discussing healthcare with his mother and engaging in various forms of metalwork, has been watched more than 330,000 times, and the 52-year-old has attracted a level of internet acclaim rarely seen among political candidates.

 

“I knew that we would have a successful launch,” Bryce told the Guardian on Thursday. “But I honestly did not have any kind of idea it would blow up as big as it has.”

 

His popularity has been fuelled by his progressive agenda – he is in favor of a single-payer healthcare system and spoke at a Sanders event during the Democratic primaries – but appears to have also been aided by his all-American appearance and luxuriant moustache.

randy_bryce2.jpg?itok=xAH9Cq0w

Photo Credit: Screenshot / Randy Bryce for Congress


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#67
Alislaws

Alislaws

    Democratic Socialist Materialist

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 751 posts
  • LocationLondon

 

Can This Progressive Ironworker (and His Mustache) Swipe Paul Ryan's Seat?

 

I would vote IronStache.

 

I really hope he wins!


  • caltrek likes this

#68
caltrek

caltrek

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,598 posts

Can This Berniecrat Congressman Win Silicon Valley Over to His Progressive Agenda?

 

http://www.motherjon...ressive-agenda/

 

Extract:

 

On an unseasonably warm day in June, Silicon Valley’s newest member of Congress held a town hall meeting in the gym of Milpitas High School—home of the Trojans. It was an apt venue for US Rep. Ro Khanna, a Berniecrat of recent vintage who’d pulled his own daring Trojan horse maneuver: He’d established a reputation in his district as a business-friendly centrist, ousted liberal incumbent Rep. Mike Honda in the state’s top-two election system in November with the backing of wealthy techies, and then quickly repositioned himself to Honda’s left. “If Donald Trump thinks we can explore a $3 trillion tax cut for the investor class, we can certainly afford a trillion-dollar raise for the working class,” Khanna proclaimed, drawing hearty applause from a crowd of 150, including a former Honda voter and a Republican wearing a “Ro Khanna” polo.

 

In many other districts, talk of a $1 trillion, government-funded wage subsidy would be written off as ludicrously socialist. But in Milpitas it now strikes many people as reasonable—a fact that says a lot about both the rapid political evolution of Khanna and of Silicon Valley itself.

 

…The Valley’s reaction to the $1 trillion EITC surprised Khanna for how positive it was—but maybe it shouldn’t have. In fact, an even more radical idea has been batted around in the Valley for several years now: a universal basic income. Since 2014, the tech press has written dozens of stories on the concept. The San Francisco tech incubator Y Combinator began rolling out a UBI pilot project in Oakland early last year and is now giving 100 local families around $1,500 a month, no strings attached. In December, Facebook co-founder Chris Hughes and others launched the Economic Security Project, a $10 million fund aimed at researching and promoting UBI. The group has been endorsed by venture capitalist Vinod Khosla, whose Khosla Ventures has invested heavily in artificial intelligence startups. Silicon Valley sees a need to counteract the negative effects of AI and automation on a blue-collar workforce, says Economic Security Project co-chair Natalie Foster. But “Ro Khanna talking about it is really a first for Congress.”

 

ro-khanna-master-final.jpg?w=990


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#69
caltrek

caltrek

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,598 posts

Pramila Jayapal is Defending Immigrants and Fighting the Muslim Ban.

 

http://www.motherjon...attle-congress/

 

Extract:

 

On January 27, Trump had signed an executive order halting travel from seven predominantly Muslim countries. The next morning, following an example set by a few colleagues in New York, ...(Representative) Pramila Jayapal, a member of Congress for all of 25 days, drove to Sea-Tac in the hopes of staging an intervention. One Somali man had already been put on a flight back to Europe before she arrived, but she feared that more deportations might be imminent.

 

There was a problem, though—Jayapal had no idea who or how many people were being detained, because Customs and Border Protection officials were refusing to come out and speak with her.

 

So after hours of haggling and waiting to no avail, Jayapal and a few allies, including fellow… (Representative) Suzan DelBene, piled into a Port of Seattle bus that snaked around the airport to the baggage handling area. They walked across the tarmac to the CBP office and banged on the door. When it finally opened, they told the CBP agents they had the governor on the line and needed answers. That got them the information they needed—the names of passengers set to be deported—and their intervention bought time for the courts, where lawyers had filed a challenge to the executive order. Late that night, with two would-be deportees already aboard a plane waiting to depart, a federal judge in Seattle, Thomas Zilly, issued a temporary restraining order halting the deportations. When the ordeal was over, Jayapal grabbed a megaphone to address a crowd of about 3,000 protesters inside the terminal.

 

Jayapal’s intervention was a stopgap fix—a few weeks later Trump would unveil a modified travel ban, parts of which the Supreme Court allowed to go into effect on Monday—but a jolt of life nonetheless for a party struggling with its new role as the opposition. That weekend of spontaneous demonstrations and showdowns with Homeland Security officials has taken on an almost sacred significance as the moment when Democrats stopped playing nice and started getting real.

 

For the 51-year-old Jayapal, a naturalized citizen from India who spent most of her career as an immigration activist, it was also a return to her roots.

jayapal_630.jpg

Pramila Jayapal.

 

Gluekit; Bill Clark/CQ Roll Call/Zuma


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#70
caltrek

caltrek

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,598 posts

Purple Heart Veteran Seeks to Unseat Texas 14-Year GOP  Incumbent

 

 

https://www.texastri...-hero-mj-hegar/

 

 

 

 

In a Texas congressional district that includes one of the country's largest military bases, a military hero is betting she can stage a political upset.

 

Air Force veteran MJ Hegar is launching a Democratic challenge against U.S. Rep. John Carter, R-Round Rock, in Texas' solidly red 31st Congressional District

 

"I see a threat to our Constitution, our democracy," Hegar said in a recent interview, "and I feel compelled to do something more about it."

 

Hegar served three tours in Afghanistan as a search-and-rescue pilot, and in 2009, she saved the lives of her passengers after her medevac helicopter was shot down by the Taliban. She subsequently received the Purple Heart as well as the Distinguished Flying Cross with Valor Device.

 

She went on to become a fierce advocate for women in the military, helping lead a 2012 lawsuit against the Defense Department over its now-repealed policy excluding women from ground combat positions.

 

 

http://https://www.d...incumbent-in-TX

 

 

Hegar is pretty clear about her progressive positions.

 

"And I believe that you should be free to do what you want to with your body and marry who you want to. And have the freedom of being able to get quality health care and quality education. The idea that those things could be taken away from us is unacceptable.

 

I think one of the things that sets me apart is I have a proven track record of standing up to bullies and not buckling under intimidation, which I think is a huge part of the problem in D.C. right now. And there are people who are just falling into line and signing things and and voting yes and doing as they’re told because they’re trying to protect their career instead of trying to protect their country.

 

I feel like our democracy and our Constitution are under threat. I feel called to go to D.C. and uphold the oath that I took when I joined the Air Force, which was to support and defend the Constitution against all enemies, foreign and domestic.

 

I have small kids, and I need to be able to look at them and say, 'Mommy stood up for your freedom. Mommy stood up for your rights.'" 

MJHegar_2_BD_TT_jpg_800x1000_q100.jpg

 

Decorated Air Force veteran MJ Hegar with her son, Daniel, in her home in Round Rock on June 29, 2017.

 Bob Daemmrich for The Texas Tribune


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#71
Sciencerocks

Sciencerocks

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 7,120 posts

 

 

Can This Progressive Ironworker (and His Mustache) Swipe Paul Ryan's Seat?

 

I would vote IronStache.

 

I really hope he wins!

 

 

 

For the sake of civilization I do too.


To follow my work on tropical cyclones


#72
caltrek

caltrek

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,598 posts

House Committee Allocates $1.6 Billion for Trump Border Wall

 

http://www.courthous...mp-border-wall/

 

Introduction:

 

WASHINGTON (CN) – The Trump administration is one step closer to building a security wall along the U.S.-Mexico border after the House Appropriations Committee released a bill allocating $1.6 billion for its construction.

 

The bill, unveiled July 11, divvies up a total of $13.8 billion, allocating $1.6 billion for the wall, $131 million for new border surveillance technology, $109 million for “non-intrusive inspection” equipment, $106 million for aircraft and sensors and $100 million for 500 additional border patrol agents.

 

What the bill did not include was a delivery on President Donald Trump’s campaign promise that Mexico would pay for the wall. Allocations for the budget will come from U.S. tax payer dollars instead.

 

The Department of Homeland Security reports that the $1.6 billion request covers 74 miles of construction or 32 miles of barrier wall, 28 miles of levee wall along the Rio Grande Valley and 14 miles for secondary fencing replacements near San Diego.

 

In addition to the 500 new border patrol agents, the budget also secures funding for Immigration and Customs Enforcement who are expected to hire some 1,600 employees with the windfall.

 

The "bill did not include ...a...delivery on President Donald Trump's campaign promise that Mexico would pay for the wall."   No great surprise there.


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#73
caltrek

caltrek

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,598 posts

9 House Districts California Democrats Are Trying to Flip

 

 

http://www.motherjon...trying-to-flip/

 

Introduction:

 

 

California, one of America’s most deep-blue states, still has 14 increasingly vulnerable Republican members of Congress. Here (see link provided above) are the districts the Democratic Congressional Campaign Committee considers most likely to flip based on demographics, GOP scandals, and the committee’s own polling for generic Democrat versus Republican matchups. (Also read our companion piece: “Democrats’ Quest to Win Back the House Begins in California.”)

The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#74
caltrek

caltrek

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,598 posts

More Than a Dozen Democratic Candidates With Scientific Backgrounds are Running for Congress

 

http://www.motherjon...ig-side-effect/

 

Introuduction:

 

There’s something different about the crop of Democrats running for Congress in 2018. As in previous years, the party has recruited a small army of veterans in high-profile races and in Republican-held districts. There are loads of state legislators, business owners, and government officials.

 

But the candidates also include a volcanologist who’s worried that her favorite research spot will be opened up for development; an aerospace engineer who’s running against the climate-denying head of the House Science Committee; a pediatrician who spends part of the year treating leprosy patients in Vietnam; and a physicist who worries what budget cuts would mean to the federal research facility where she spent her career.

 

All told, more than a dozen Democratic candidates with science backgrounds have announced their candidacies for Congress or are expected to in the coming months. The boomlet of STEM-based candidates amounts to a minor seismic event in a community where politics and research have traditionally gone together like sodium and water. Trump has been in office just six months, but he’s already done something remarkable—he’s gotten scientists to run for office.

 

The surge of science-based candidates has been aided by a new political outfit called 314 Action, launched last summer by Shaughnessy Naughton, a breast cancer researcher from Pennsylvania who ran for Congress in 2014 and 2016 . The group, named for the first three digits of Pi, aims to do for candidates with scientific backgrounds what EMILY’s List has done for pro-choice women—funding, recruiting, and training candidates at every level of government. So far 6,000 scientists have reached out to the group about running for federal, state, and local offices; and 314 plans to also back candidates in three dozen school board races this fall. Washington has plenty of lawyers; maybe it’s time for a fresh experiment.

20170729_scientistpolitician_2000px.jpg?


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#75
caltrek

caltrek

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,598 posts

Diluting the Vote: Redistricting Violations Threaten the US Election System

 

https://nonprofitqua...lection-system/

 

 

Introduction:

 

While chaos and staff turnover at the White House have been receiving national attention, Texans have been tuning into preparations for the 2018 mid-term elections. Those preparations could include redrawing the Congressional district map, for which Texas came under fire after a federal court ruled that the 2011 map was in violation of the Voting Rights Act and the U.S. Constitution. The map drawn by the Republican-majority Texas legislature was found to be discriminatory against Black and Latin@ voters, particularly in two districts, South and West Texas and the Dallas-Fort Worth area, which have significant Black and Latin@ populations.

 

Some say the map was created to intentionally diminish the voting power of Democratic minority voters in favor of Republican White voters, while others, including one judge prevailing on the case, felt the map was partisan-biased but not racially driven. Nina Perales, the vice president of litigation for the Mexican American Legal Defense and Educational Fund (MALDEF), said, “The court’s decision exposes the Texas legislature’s illegal effort to dilute the vote of Texas Latinos. Moving forward, the ruling will help protect Latinos from manipulation of district lines in order to reduce their political clout.”

 

How the state will move forward after this is unclear, but what is definite is that Republican House seats are potentially under threat. Demonstration plans have been released that indicate how Republicans will fare depending on who draws up the Congressional map. Republicans presented a worst-case scenario “Armageddon” map that shows the party would stand to lose half a dozen seats. It’s possible that a court-drawn map would just remedy the two districts found to be in violation of the Voting Rights Act in 2011. A third district, in the San Antonio area, was later found to be in violation, and a court-drawn map could potentially fix this issue as well, leading to a lost seat for that district, too. Additionally, there has been talk about adding a new “minority opportunity district” to the Dallas-Fort Worth area, where the goal would be for ethnic minorities to elect a candidate of their choice—the likely result being another lost seat for Texas House Republicans.


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#76
caltrek

caltrek

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,598 posts

Three Republicans Face Off in Utah Primary for Vacant House Seat

 

http://www.msn.com/e...ID=ansmsnnews11

 

Introduction:

 

SALT LAKE CITY — Three GOP candidates hoping to replace former Rep. Jason Chaffetz in Congress faced off Tuesday in a primary election after weeks trying to burnish their conservative credentials and fend off attack ads from deep-pocketed outside groups.

 

Chaffetz abruptly stepped down from his seat in June after making a name for himself as the Republican who relentlessly investigated Hillary Clinton and her emails while he was chairman of the House Oversight Committee.

 

His departure opened up a congressional seat in a district where Republicans outnumber Democrats five-to-one, offering voters and donors a choice between three candidates emblematic of the divisions roiling the GOP under President Donald Trump.

 

Moderate Utah Republicans have backed a popular mayor, John Curtis, who was once a Democrat and said he had strong moral concerns that kept him from voting for Trump.

 

Those further to the right have split their support behind Chris Herrod, a former state lawmaker known for strict immigration positions, and Tanner Ainge, a business consultant, first-time candidate and son of Boston Celtics president Danny Ainge


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#77
caltrek

caltrek

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,598 posts

Utah Election Results: Curtis Wins Republican Primary for U.S. House Seat

 

https://www.nytimes....lection-primary

 

 

John Curtis, the mayor of Provo, Utah, won the Republican primary on Tuesday to fill the United States House seat vacated by Jason Chaffetz, a Republican who resigned from Congress on June 30.

 

Mr. Curtis will be the favorite against the Democrat Kathie Allen, who was nominated at her party’s June convention. But the general election in November does have a wrinkle that could complicate things for the Republicans: A federal judge ordered the newly created United Utah Party to be allowed on the ballot. The party, billing itself as a moderate alternative, has nominated Jim Bennett, the son of the former Utah Senator Robert F. Bennett, for the seat.

 

 

john-curtis.jpg

 

 

Provo Mayor John Curtis celebrates after winning Utah's Republican primary to fill the U.S. House seat vacated by Jason Chaffetz Tuesday, Aug. 15, 2017, in Provo, Utah.

AP Photo/Rick Bowmer


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#78
caltrek

caltrek

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,598 posts

Movements Are Driving Democratic Party Debate

 

https://ourfuture.or...ic-party-debate

 

Conclusion:

 

No one can predict 2018. Will the economy continue to generate jobs, finally leading to wage increases? Will Trump lead us into a global catastrophe?

 

We do know that Trump will help mobilize Democrats, liberals, progressives, and activists. We know that liberal money is likely to match what exists on the right. We know that taking back the majority is an uphill climb. Gerrymandering has dramatically limited the number of contested districts. Voter suppression laws will have even greater scope. Congressional Republicans now earn record low favorability; Democrats aren’t much better.

  

But with Democrats at their nadir, in need of new ideas, new strategies, new thinking and new energy, the call for coming together in 2018 cannot and should not suppress the much-needed and necessarily fierce battle over the party’s direction, future and leadership.

 

When the Tea Party movement began challenging establishment Republicans, Republicans lost some Senate seats that they might have won. Sanctimonious leaders like Eric Cantor were unceremoniously rejected in primaries. Reports of the party’s tearing itself apart were ubiquitous. Yet Republicans enjoy more electoral success than any time in the last half-century. Their internal divisions may make it hard to govern, but they don’t get in the way of winning elections.

 

There are fundamental questions to be decided. Democrats are lucky that at this point the debate is taking place within the party as well as without. The cost of suppressing this debate will be far greater than the costs of waging it.


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#79
caltrek

caltrek

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,598 posts

The Sheer Number Of Democrats Running For Congress Is A Good Sign For The Party

 

https://fivethirtyei...-for-the-party/

 

Extract:

 

What are the chances that Democrats will take over Congress next year? Obviously, it’s early, and polling isn’t going to give us a very reliable picture just yet. But the number of candidates from each party getting in line to run can give us some useful hints about how things will shake out.

 

Last year, I wrote a few pieces about the numbers of candidates who had filed to run for Congress. Since 2010, there had been more Republicans than Democrats filing to run for Congress in every election cycle.

 

Ed Kilgore ran a similar analysis recently at New York Magazine, drawing from a longer time series made available by the Campaign Finance Institute. The main finding was that Democrats hold an enormous advantage in early candidate filings for the 2018 midterm elections. In particular, if we limit the analysis to the number of challengers to House incumbents who have filed for next year and have raised at least $5,000 — in an effort to narrow our sample to truly viable candidates — we see a record advantage for Democrats right now.

 

But what exactly does this mean? Yes, Democrats had twice the number of challengers that Republicans did in 2006 and then took over the House in that election, while a similar advantage yielded similar payoffs for Republicans in 2010. But should we necessarily expect an advantage in the number of early candidates to lead to election victories?

…It’s not precisely that the number of candidates causes a party to win more seats. After all, there are only so many House seats in play. What a large number of challengers does create is a better recruitment environment. If there are several challengers from whom to choose in a particular race, a party can pick the strongest nominee.

masket-recruit-1.png?w=575&h=671&quality


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#80
caltrek

caltrek

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,598 posts

.


  • rennerpetey likes this

The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls






Also tagged with one or more of these keywords: U.S. House of Representatives, Politics, Chelsea Clinton, 2018 Election

0 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users