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alas! I am become an Icarus: My final apology, and warning


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10 replies to this topic

#1
Recyvuym

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O how foolish is the ignoble revealed in his pursuit of greatness! O how the folly of the mortal in hubris does manifest his own downfall, as he dares for a seat at lavatory of knowledge moste divine! O how you have fallen from the heavens, Lucifer Morningstar, Son of the Dawn, who once did fell nations! etcetera, etcetera...

 

I was wrong! WRONG! RIGHT! WRONG!

 

Forgive me my fellow forum members. I have led you astray all this time. Even you, Yuli Ban. This month of April I have made thirty posts, in anticipation that by the time I had reached the final, the financial crisis of which I spoke since I came here would be clear to you all. But the global economy is fine.

 

Yes, the mighty United States of America is still chugging along at sprightly growth rate of, er, 0.7%. Retail stores are closing at record pace across the country topping levels seen in 2008, but this is fine. US national debt is bordering on twenty trillion and their debt-to-GDP ratio is over 100%, but that's not a problem! President Trump brought the world to the brink of nuclear war twice in just three weeks and investors said "Oh boy, war stocks!" The systemically vital Italian banking system is in meltdown, but don't sweat it! See, stocks have soared for six months straight now under Donald Trump, so, financial crisis? Fuck that noise - praise Kek!

 

The mistake I made you see, was to assume the people on this planet live on Earth like I do. It turns out however that they live on Neptune, where climate change doesn't exist and the apocalypse is good for business. They do have to come back down to Earth and face the music eventually, but I have given up trying to guess when that will happen, because those guys are fucking high.

 

My predictions suck. I'll just show myself out. For real, this time. This will be my last post. An apology, for having wasted your time. Nobody needs someone spouting doom while the world is in fact clearly heading for such a bright and sunny future. Thanks everyone - if you'd like to stay in touch PM me about it - but whatever you do, don't take anything I say or do seriously ever, ever again, for I have failed you, and must now depart humbly with my tail between my legs. Just ignore everything I say.

 

Le Pen will win.


  • Yuli Ban, nomad and Erowind like this

I loudly predicted the second wave of the Global Financial Crisis would begin by the 31st of March 2017. But I was wrong! Observe my well-deserved public humiliation here, here and here. Let this be a warning to all of you who try to guess the future. Yes, that means you, reading this now! Put that prediction back in your pocket! Do it now, before it's too late! (Also check out my userpage, it's even funnier.)


#2
Erowind

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It was awesome having you here Rec, I'll keep in touch over the  years, however infrequently those communications may be.  :)

 

 

Edit: Very poetic leaving on your 999th post BTW


  • Recyvuym likes this

Current status: slaving away for the math gods of Pythagoras VII.


#3
wjfox

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This will be my last post.

 

No it won't.


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#4
Mike the average

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The stock market has always been a fraud Rec.
  • wjfox and Recyvuym like this
'Force always attracts men of low morality' - Einstein
'Great spirits always encountered violent opposition from mediocre minds' - Einstein

#5
PhoenixRu

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Yes, the mighty United States of America is still chugging along at sprightly growth rate of, er, 0.7%. Retail stores are closing at record pace across the country topping levels seen in 2008, but this is fine. US national debt is bordering on twenty trillion and their debt-to-GDP ratio is over 100%, but that's not a problem! President Trump brought the world to the brink of nuclear war twice in just three weeks and investors said "Oh boy, war stocks!" The systemically vital Italian banking system is in meltdown, but don't sweat it! See, stocks have soared for six months straight now under Donald Trump, so, financial crisis? Fuck that noise - praise Kek!

 

The mistake I made you see, was to assume the people on this planet live on Earth like I do. It turns out however that they live on Neptune, where climate change doesn't exist and the apocalypse is good for business. They do have to come back down to Earth and face the music eventually, but I have given up trying to guess when that will happen, because those guys are fucking high.

 

My predictions suck. I'll just show myself out.

 

Well, this is always easier to see the global trends than current fluctuations. Sometimes it is easier to predict what will happen within next 2-3 generations than within next 2-3 months. Don't worry, you're not alone, we are - and i mean literally EVERYONE on this forum - the club of failed prophets.

 

For example, my last mistake: i was sure this recent chemical attack in Syria and all the ugly spectacle that followed later - US representative posing with photos of dead "beatiful babies" in UN, arrogant ultimatum to Russia "join us in fight against mad tyrant, or else..." - were the last preparations for big local war. This would be bad, but logical course of events. But NO, nothing happened. US ultimatum was simply rejected and ignored, and what was supposed to demonstrate the American "might and decisiveness", rather revealed their weak and chaotic foreign policy (if they have one at all). Who would have guessed...


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"And the Russian land, let God keep it! Under heavens, there is no other land like this. And although Russian nobles are not righteous neither kind, let God arrange the Russian land and give us enough justice" - Afanasy Nikitin, medieval traveler of XV century.


#6
caltrek

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It was awesome having you here Rec, I'll keep in touch over the  years, however infrequently those communications may be.  :)

 

 

Edit: Very poetic leaving on your 999th post BTW

 

Maybe you are reading it upside down and it is supposed to be 666.


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The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#7
Yuli Ban

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You're gonna regret clocking out on Walpurgisnacht, I'll tell ya that.


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Nobody's gonna take my drone, I'm gonna fly miles far too high!
Nobody gonna beat my drone, it's gonna shoot into the sky!

#8
Pisiu369

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I love war economies, always helping us from/recovering us out of the Great Depression



#9
Pisiu369

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Good bye, Recyvuym I hope our paths will meet again in the future.


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#10
BasilBerylium

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From Recyvuym profile: 

"Look back over the past, with its changing empires that rose and fell, and you can foresee the future, too." - Marcus Aurelius

The future, with no particular timeframe, because putting a date on these things hasn't been working out for me:

  • The election of Marine le Pen.
  • The second wave of the Global Financial Crisis.
  • World War III.
  • The end of the global financial system, the breakup of China and the USA.
  • The rapid decline of global population for at least the rest of the century.
  • The ascent of a totalitarian coprorate world government to conveniently fill the power vacuum.
  • The rise of Artificial General Intelligence.
  • The subsequent rise of the Singularity.

Get that damn grin off your face, that's bad. From that point, the civilisation no longer belongs to the human race, and we get locked away inside virtual reality and experimented on like lab rats. The nightmare will only end with the extinction of our entire species by genetic devolution, or with the crashing of the machine intelligence.

There is no avoiding this, without it we will not survive the 21st century. Or at least, that's the false dichotomy we will be presented with. Just remember the tinfoil hats were right all along: the government really is watching, and if you get microchipped, you are fucked. Have fun managing the apocalypse, kids!

 



#11
Alislaws

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I think you overestimate the importance of exact timing! none of the systemic issues you've pointed out have gone away, I'd love to see everyone pull through and end up doing well, but i'd give it a few years before declaring the danger over. 

 

After all, if there's no trade agreement after Brexit (and its looking like there might not be) then UK-EU trade would collapse and you'd definitely have a recession in the UK, and it would be a big hit to the EU as well, (and we've talked about how fragile parts of the EU are).


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