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2017 Timeline Predictions


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#1
Miky617

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If this topic has already been covered in another thread, I apologize.

 

Now that we're about 3/4 of the way through with 2017, I'd like to take a little bit of time to discuss what else has yet to happen this year, particularly with regard to the predictions listed on the timeline. Some of which have already occurred, others of which will not occur (the timeline could probably use an update in that respect) and others that are still on the fence.

 

First off, the 2017-2060/2037 earthquakes

 

I'm not anticipating that this is the year that we'll be struck, but I'm no expert and it could still very well happen. I'm curious to hear what other forum members might think, especially in light of the recent earthquake in Mexico and the tremors under Yellowstone. Speaking of Yellowstone, what risk is there that it might erupt if there were a major earthquake on the west coast?

 

Crisis in Yemen

 

This has been a pretty interesting year in Middle East conflict, so I'd like to know what you guys think about how this crisis is developing and what role it plays in the ongoing conflicts. This prediction is pretty vague so there's not a particularly objective way to evaluate how on-point it is, but I think it still merits discussion

 

China Establishes Megacity

I think this one has just about come to pass. Do you think that it will be acknowledged as one autonomous city, or will it remain as 9 separate cities sharing the same infrastructure? Or somewhere in between? The development of this megacity is one of the projects I'm most excited to hear input on

 

JFK Files

 

I don't think anyone will argue that this one won't come to pass, but what are the implications for this and why might it be relevant? What will this mean for conspiracy theorists, and what information could be in the files that we don't already know? These are not rhetorical questions, I'm genuinely interested

 

China launches unmanned sample mission to the moon

This prediction is pretty old and is no longer accurate; the date has been pushed back to 2019. 

 

Launch of the TESS

This one has also been pushed back and is no longer in line with the timeline

 

Cheops Satellite

Also pushed back 

 

EV and Hybrid Sales

This one has just about been surpassed, as of June 2017, with nearly 90,000 sales. How will emerging developments and companies like Tesla influence these numbers? 

 

 

That's all I've got for now, but I'm eager to hear your thoughts and updates


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#2
marvin5881

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Unfortunately, I don't see this happening this year, "2017: Electronic paper is seeing widespread use" I could be wrong though.



#3
dekoomer

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Unfortunately, I don't see this happening this year, "2017: Electronic paper is seeing widespread use" I could be wrong though.

 

I hear humans tend to overestimate the near future, And vastly underestimate the distant future.

 

Electronic paper may never see light. But It won't matter when you have the more economical and powerful Augmented Reality devices,

That can display interactive information on any surface. Perhaps late in the next decade you can pick one up as easy as a bluetooth headset today.



#4
ninja9351

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Unfortunately, I don't see this happening this year, "2017: Electronic paper is seeing widespread use" I could be wrong though.

 
I hear humans tend to overestimate the near future, And vastly underestimate the distant future.
 
Electronic paper may never see light. But It won't matter when you have the more economical and powerful Augmented Reality devices,
That can display interactive information on any surface. Perhaps late in the next decade you can pick one up as easy as a bluetooth headset today.

We actually have the capability to make what could be seen as electronic paper, we just don't need it. Honestly, why do we need something like that when we already have iPads that can function as paper, a computer, can send texts, and more? Simple answer, we don't, and thus, I highly doubt electronic paper will ever see widespread use.

Conservative Socialist


#5
Miky617

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Unfortunately, I don't see this happening this year, "2017: Electronic paper is seeing widespread use" I could be wrong though.

 
I hear humans tend to overestimate the near future, And vastly underestimate the distant future.
 
Electronic paper may never see light. But It won't matter when you have the more economical and powerful Augmented Reality devices,
That can display interactive information on any surface. Perhaps late in the next decade you can pick one up as easy as a bluetooth headset today.

We actually have the capability to make what could be seen as electronic paper, we just don't need it. Honestly, why do we need something like that when we already have iPads that can function as paper, a computer, can send texts, and more? Simple answer, we don't, and thus, I highly doubt electronic paper will ever see widespread use.

 

I agree with this statement.

 

I feel that the electronic paper as we know it will take the form of very thin electronic displays. Pretty much poster-fitted televisions that can be peeled on and off of surfaces. They might be useful for temporary venues and quickly outfitting a room with monitors, but they'll still be far from the disposable and/or cheap "electronic paper" image that the prediction is making. 

 

Electronic paper seems to be one of those fad predictions that sounds cool at first glance, but quickly becomes impractical and unwieldy. 

 

10 nm chips enter mass production

I can't say for sure how well we are on this track, I'm sure some of the more tech-savvy forum members are better in touch with this topic. But it seems like we're well on our way. 

 

Web-connected video devices exceed global population

I feel like this is going to be a difficult one to quantify, but it wouldn't surprise me at all if it gets accomplished soon. I feel like this is one of those predictions that is just sort of a checkpoint along the way, but on its own doesn't stand for much. At least it has a pretty solid definition, nothing vague about it.

 

Tooth regeneration treatments

I was actually surprised to see that there were a few articles released this year about tooth regeneration. Of course, they seem pretty sensational and hyped, so I'm taking them with a grain of salt. I don't expect any cosmetic orthodontists or dentists to be offering anything new before the year ends. In any case though, I can imagine that perhaps before 2020 there will be more options available for middle-class consumers. 

 

The first human head transplant

I'm fairly certain the procedure will get carried out this year. If not, it'll either be postponed just a few months or it'll never happen. The doctor involved has gotten himself into a publicity pit and he'll never live it down if he doesn't go through with it, so I feel like this one has a very strong possibility of coming true. As for the results of the procedure? I'm neither optimistic nor pessimistic about it. I'm going to reserve judgment about the outcome. There are many questions and obstacles involved in the procedure that would make it one of the most challenging operations in medicine, but I'm sure the doctor has had plenty of time to consider each one of them. I doubt there's any question a layperson could ask that he hasn't already thought of, so I'm going to trust that the team of doctors involved knows what they're doing. I'm eager to hear about it when it's over.

 

Wireless implantable devices that monitor health in real-time

I suppose this one is a case where the technology exists currently, it's just not out to market yet. In fact, I imagine many of the predictions on the timeline might come into existence sooner than anticipated, but released publicly much later than anticipated. Mass marketing and production, especially for controversial products and devices like this, is a difficult thing to pull off. This is another one that I don't expect to see with my own eyes until some time in the '20s.

 

The world's first HIV vaccine is available

We still have some time before the year ends for this one, but I'm not too optimistic about its release this year. I haven't kept up with any clinical trials regarding this so if anyone would like to provide some links or further information, I'd be glad to read about it. Whenever the vaccine does get released though, I imagine it'll spark lots of debate and media attention. Especially with the ridiculous AV crowd trying to spread their ideals.

 

A new treatment for prostate cancer

Like the above mentioned vaccine, I don't know much about progress being done in this field. I don't see anything happening this year about it so this may end up being postponed as well. I really wish the articles linked on the timeline were updated more often, it feels like the timeline is losing touch with modern developments the longer it goes without adjustments. Though I could be wrong and this could very well be a thing before January rolls around. Though in any case, I imagine it'll take a while before oncology clinics are able to adopt the new treatments

 

BioCassava Plus receives regulatory approval

It looks like this project has been abandoned in light of other projects being developed that have beat them to the punch.

 

The world's largest mud volcano stops erupting

I get the feeling that this is something that won't be reported even if it occurs since it's such a niche news topic. Aside from the news source posted on wikipedia and the timeline, it looks like there's been no further updates on the volcano. 

 

To be honest, I'm somewhat disappointed in 2017 so far. As much of a mess as 2016 was, at least it was a stellar year for science and tech. So far, many of the developments that were supposed to come out this year have been either abandoned or postponed. We still have a few months left so there's still an opportunity for a nice surprise before the end of the year, but I'm hoping that 2018 will be a much more active year in getting things off paper and into the real world. I'm very excited about the James Webb telescope in particular. 


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#6
Vivian

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For anti-HIV vaccine, a large trial may begin in the end of the year, so it might be avaiable in early  2018.

https://www.vox.com/...iety-conference

 

For prostate cancer, this drug is sold already, so, its avaiable, these news was from june of this year: https://medicalxpres...ate-cancer.html



#7
Miky617

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For anti-HIV vaccine, a large trial may begin in the end of the year, so it might be avaiable in early  2018.

https://www.vox.com/...iety-conference

 

For prostate cancer, this drug is sold already, so, its avaiable, these news was from june of this year: https://medicalxpres...ate-cancer.html

The prostate cancer treatment you linked to is not the same as the treatment that is cited on the timeline. The timeline's treatment is a form of ultrasound therapy (which according to the oncologist that I shadowed over the summer, seems to be pretty unreliable and dodgy). Though in any case, it's great that newer treatments are being released. I'm all about that



#8
Vivian

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Well, HIFU treatment is avaiable, its just  not as good as standart previous treatment for people that can take standart treatment. But some people would die if they took the standart treatment, so for these people, this treatment actually means better survival rates and comfort. 

 

https://prostatecanc...treatments/hifu

https://www.ncbi.nlm...les/PMC5225650/



#9
Miky617

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Well, HIFU treatment is avaiable, its just  not as good as standart previous treatment for people that can take standart treatment. But some people would die if they took the standart treatment, so for these people, this treatment actually means better survival rates and comfort. 

 

https://prostatecanc...treatments/hifu

https://www.ncbi.nlm...les/PMC5225650/

Thank you for the links, I'm glad to see that those treatments are out! Even if they're still preliminary, it seems like specialized clinics do offer it for qualifying patients. I was unaware of this. Nice to know that one of the predictions was not vaporware and actually was released on schedule. Now hopefully as time passes, the techniques will be refined or even made obsolete as better methods are uncovered. Is there any news about other topics of the year? 



#10
Vivian

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On the prediction that web connected things will surpass the number of people, this link says that in january of 2017, there were 3.448 bilions of smartphones in the world. Smartphones have 50% of the traffic of the web. Desktops, laptops, videogames have the other 50% of the trffic. If desktops, laptops and other devices numbers are proportional to their traffic, there were 6.896 bilions web devices in january. Population was at 7.476 bilions. 

 

https://wearesocial....global-overview



#11
JonahTron23

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Unfortunately, I don't see this happening this year, "2017: Electronic paper is seeing widespread use" I could be wrong though.

Electronic paper can be like on online doc or other typing, writing program.



#12
Alpha Centari

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Unfortunately, I don't see this happening this year, "2017: Electronic paper is seeing widespread use" I could be wrong though.

Electronic paper can be like on online doc or other typing, writing program.
Not necessarily, Electronic paper is basically things like smart notepads, touchscreen or interactive flipbook devices, etc. So the prediction that e-paper will see widespread use in 2017 isn't so far off

#13
BasilBerylium

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Not necessarily, Electronic paper is basically things like smart notepads, touchscreen or interactive flipbook devices, etc. So the prediction that e-paper will see widespread use in 2017 isn't so far off

With "Electronic Paper" I imagine something like this:

window-holographic-rear-screen-film-Proj

Not this:

454684-439999-amazon-kindle-2.jpg?itok=m

There are not many differences, that is true, but I would not consider the current technology at that level.



#14
AgrimAbhi

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As I am new to this community i just want to knw about the technology and methods are applied to fine future prediction in that detailed manner.



#15
wjfox

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Trump does not plan to block release of JFK assassination documents

 

Saturday 21 October 2017 19.12 BST

 

Donald Trump does not plan to block the scheduled release of thousands of never publicly seen government documents related to the assassination of President John F Kennedy.

 

In a tweet on Saturday morning, Trump said: “Subject to the receipt of further information, I will be allowing, as president, the long blocked and classified JFK FILES to be opened.”

The National Archives has until Thursday to disclose the remaining files related to Kennedy’s 1963 assassination. The documents include more than 3,000 that have never been seen by the public and more than 30,000 that have been released with redactions.

Trump could block the release on the grounds that making the material public would harm intelligence, law enforcement, military operations or foreign relations.

A statement from the White House on Saturday said: “The president believes that these documents should be made available in the interests of full transparency unless agencies provide a compelling and clear national security or law enforcement justification otherwise.”

 

https://www.theguard...MP=share_btn_tw

 

 

r45gxYK.jpg


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