Jump to content

Welcome to FutureTimeline.forum
Register now to gain access to all of our features. Once registered and logged in, you will be able to create topics, post replies to existing threads, give reputation to your fellow members, get your own private messenger, post status updates, manage your profile and so much more. If you already have an account, login here - otherwise create an account for free today!

These ads will disappear if you register on the forum

What are your 5 years from now predictions


  • Please log in to reply
14 replies to this topic

#1
Guest_Jackc_*

Guest_Jackc_*
  • Guests
I don't think much will change in 5 years but naturally the speed of tech progress will increase

#2
Maximum7

Maximum7

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPip
  • 72 posts
Holograms
Crispr therapy
Landing on the moon again
iPhone 15

#3
Sciencerocks

Sciencerocks

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 6,742 posts

I don't think much will change in 5 years but naturally the speed of tech progress will increase

 

Depends on where we go politically...I can't see us advancing very much in the face of civil war, being in massive world wars with China or such.

 

I'll guess that human rights will be crapped on during the next 4-8 years and America will become quite hated world wide.


To follow my work on tropical cyclones


#4
Alislaws

Alislaws

    Democratic Socialist Materialist

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 722 posts
  • LocationLondon

 

I don't think much will change in 5 years but naturally the speed of tech progress will increase

 

Depends on where we go politically...I can't see us advancing very much in the face of civil war, being in massive world wars with China or such.

 

I'll guess that human rights will be crapped on during the next 4-8 years and America will become quite hated world wide.

A world war could lead to massive tech investment, assuming it looked like it might take a while (if its over in less than 6 months, then not such a big deal) but it would be tough to predict exactly where, because nations don't publish their military research roadmaps. 


  • Sciencerocks likes this

#5
Jakob

Jakob

    Fenny-Eyed Slubber-Yuck

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,236 posts
  • LocationIn the Basket of Deplorables
  • High Elon's Mars ship will be tested by 2022, but it won't have flown to Mars as he claims. NASA abandons SLS and plans to buy BFS seats instead.
  • One or more exaflop computers will be built around 2021, plus or minus one year. 2018 is no longer a plausible date.
  • Neuralink will have built something. Nothing drastic, nor widely released, but they will have something.
  • First Hyperloop is completed somewhere in the world by 2021-22. I won't hazard a guess where in the world in might be.
  • Vertical farming is a $7 billion industry by 2022 and rapidly rising.
  • We'll have two starscrapers, including the 1300-meter Dubai Creek Tower, which will probably not be surpassed for 20-30 years.
  • The first CRISPR baby will be born by 2022-23. If the US shoots itself in the foot by banning it, China will take the lead.
  • Low-level mass production of quantum computers. Decades away from home use, but major companies and universities will have one.
  • Hyper-thin flexible smartphones.
  • Oh and, I'll be finished with my Master's, if I get one, and have to face the real world.

  • Casey and sasuke2490 like this

Click 'show' to see quotes from great luminaries.

Spoiler

#6
TranscendingGod

TranscendingGod

    2020's the decade of our reckoning

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,551 posts
  • LocationGeorgia

Most humans will be cybernetically enhanced individuals with the smartphone having been converted into something internal and more fully integrated into ourselves than our current primitive means. 

 

Additive manufacturing is the defacto method of producing anything from clothing to rocket parts hence obviating the need for most of worldwide manufacturing. The trillions of dollars which manufacturing contributes to low income countries like Pakistan, Bangladesh, and even China to a lesser extent will have to be replaced. 

 

Universal basic income is implemented in a majority of countries in some way or another except for in those few failing states. 

 

Global warming, 800 million hungry people, health necessities, and a myriad of other problems will wholly be a thing of the past. 

 

Regular trips to space with bases being built throughout the solar system. 

 

China is the largest economy in the world in terms of nominal GDP. 

 

Coal is less than 1% of energy production mix with Natural Gas accounting for less than 20% and Oil almost wholly gone from the transportation sector reducing the Oil industry to a skeleton of its former self with most companies having oil as only a minor project instead of their bread and butter as it is today. 

 

Supercomputers capacities measure in the tens of exaflops and  most people have the computation capacity of the human brain in the their personal devices. 

 

Many inventions are now attributed to artificial intelligences with the majority of patents being filed by cybernetically enhanced individuals.

 

Heart disease, Cancer, infectious diseases, and many other ailments are at almost negligible levels with the only real risk of death being from accidental causes. Most people expect to live well past 100 years. 

 

So many other things which I can't even begin to fathom. 


  • Casey likes this

The growth of computation is doubly exponential growth. 


#7
Jakob

Jakob

    Fenny-Eyed Slubber-Yuck

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 5,236 posts
  • LocationIn the Basket of Deplorables

Most humans will be cybernetically enhanced individuals with the smartphone having been converted into something internal and more fully integrated into ourselves than our current primitive means. 

 

Additive manufacturing is the defacto method of producing anything from clothing to rocket parts hence obviating the need for most of worldwide manufacturing. The trillions of dollars which manufacturing contributes to low income countries like Pakistan, Bangladesh, and even China to a lesser extent will have to be replaced. 

 

Universal basic income is implemented in a majority of countries in some way or another except for in those few failing states. 

 

Global warming, 800 million hungry people, health necessities, and a myriad of other problems will wholly be a thing of the past. 

 

Regular trips to space with bases being built throughout the solar system. 

 

China is the largest economy in the world in terms of nominal GDP. 

 

Coal is less than 1% of energy production mix with Natural Gas accounting for less than 20% and Oil almost wholly gone from the transportation sector reducing the Oil industry to a skeleton of its former self with most companies having oil as only a minor project instead of their bread and butter as it is today. 

 

Supercomputers capacities measure in the tens of exaflops and  most people have the computation capacity of the human brain in the their personal devices. 

 

Many inventions are now attributed to artificial intelligences with the majority of patents being filed by cybernetically enhanced individuals.

 

Heart disease, Cancer, infectious diseases, and many other ailments are at almost negligible levels with the only real risk of death being from accidental causes. Most people expect to live well past 100 years. 

 

So many other things which I can't even begin to fathom. 

Did you come here from the 50s or what? Because that has not been realistic for decades. Or are you just attempting to troll me for my relatively conservative predictions? Or did you think the OP said 50 years?


Click 'show' to see quotes from great luminaries.

Spoiler

#8
TranscendingGod

TranscendingGod

    2020's the decade of our reckoning

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,551 posts
  • LocationGeorgia

 

Most humans will be cybernetically enhanced individuals with the smartphone having been converted into something internal and more fully integrated into ourselves than our current primitive means. 

 

Additive manufacturing is the defacto method of producing anything from clothing to rocket parts hence obviating the need for most of worldwide manufacturing. The trillions of dollars which manufacturing contributes to low income countries like Pakistan, Bangladesh, and even China to a lesser extent will have to be replaced. 

 

Universal basic income is implemented in a majority of countries in some way or another except for in those few failing states. 

 

Global warming, 800 million hungry people, health necessities, and a myriad of other problems will wholly be a thing of the past. 

 

Regular trips to space with bases being built throughout the solar system. 

 

China is the largest economy in the world in terms of nominal GDP. 

 

Coal is less than 1% of energy production mix with Natural Gas accounting for less than 20% and Oil almost wholly gone from the transportation sector reducing the Oil industry to a skeleton of its former self with most companies having oil as only a minor project instead of their bread and butter as it is today. 

 

Supercomputers capacities measure in the tens of exaflops and  most people have the computation capacity of the human brain in the their personal devices. 

 

Many inventions are now attributed to artificial intelligences with the majority of patents being filed by cybernetically enhanced individuals.

 

Heart disease, Cancer, infectious diseases, and many other ailments are at almost negligible levels with the only real risk of death being from accidental causes. Most people expect to live well past 100 years. 

 

So many other things which I can't even begin to fathom. 

Did you come here from the 50s or what? Because that has not been realistic for decades. Or are you just attempting to troll me for my relatively conservative predictions? Or did you think the OP said 50 years?

 

None of the above. Just seems like that's where we are headed. 


The growth of computation is doubly exponential growth. 


#9
Casey

Casey

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 572 posts
As much as I genuinely appreciate TG's optimism (it's a nice change from the KurzweilAI forums), I can't say I'm quite that optimistic.
 
 

 

Most humans will be cybernetically enhanced individuals with the smartphone having been converted into something internal and more fully integrated into ourselves than our current primitive means.
 
 
I think it's possible that some form of augmentation will be available by 2022/2023 (since implants to improve memory and such are already being worked on), but it will almost certainly be a small minority if they do exist. There will be some societal lagtime since we're dumb and have been brainwashed into fearing everything by Dystopian science fiction. My guess would be that such implants come into being during either the mid or late 2020s (leaning slightly towards mid), and that they reach the 50 percent penetration mark around the mid to late 2030s. 
 
 
 

 

Additive manufacturing is the defacto method of producing anything from clothing to rocket parts hence obviating the need for most of worldwide manufacturing. The trillions of dollars which manufacturing contributes to low income countries like Pakistan, Bangladesh, and even China to a lesser extent will have to be replaced.
 
 
Sounds perfectly reasonable to me. Maybe not literally everything, but pretty close to it. We're already well on our way.
 
 
 

 

Universal basic income is implemented in a majority of countries in some way or another except for in those few failing states.
 
 
I wish, but I doubt there's any way things could move this fast. I do expect the situation to be substantially better in five years, though, with UBI being much more of a mainstream concept among the general public and having been tested in a lot more areas. I would expect UBI to begin taking off like wildfire around the second half of the 2020s.
 
 
 

 

Global warming, 800 million hungry people, health necessities, and a myriad of other problems will wholly be a thing of the past.
 
 
Not wholly, but things should certainly be better. 10 years was enough to lower the absolutely poverty percent worldwide from 21 to 9 point something (2005 vs. 2015), so 5 years can make a big difference. 2017 has seen a lot of car companies pledge to electrify their fleet and many governments are planning to be powered by renewables only by 202x or 203x, so I think the 2010s will certainly be much more old-fashioned than the 2020s when it comes to a great number of things.
 
 
 

 

China is the largest economy in the world in terms of nominal GDP.
 
 
I could see this happening, and I would be glad because, despite obviously being awful in plenty of ways, China can get the technological world moving faster thanks to its unfettered nature. 
 
 
 

 

Coal is less than 1% of energy production mix with Natural Gas accounting for less than 20% and Oil almost wholly gone from the transportation sector reducing the Oil industry to a skeleton of its former self with most companies having oil as only a minor project instead of their bread and butter as it is today.
 
 
I'm not sure when I would place this. To me it sounds more like a description of 2032 than 2022. I'd probably guess late '20s at the earliest. That doesn't mean the situation won't be vastly different for the better five years from now, though.
 
 
 

 

Supercomputers capacities measure in the tens of exaflops and  most people have the computation capacity of the human brain in the their personal devices.
 
 
I don't think that the second part will hold true, but that the first essentially will. I expect that the most powerful supercomputers of 2022 to be between 1-3 exaflops, but since FP16 Mode is becoming more valuable thanks to the fact that it works fine for Deep Learning, that would put the practical number of exaflops between 4 and 12. Quantum computers could also make these estimates conservative, seeing as one company aims for a 1,000,000 Qubit computer by 2025, which in -flop terms might be so fast that no prefix for it exists. I know that quantum computers are only supposed to help in "limited areas," but those areas are so important (AI being one) that it doesn't seem like much of a handicap.
 
 
 

 

Many inventions are now attributed to artificial intelligences with the majority of patents being filed by cybernetically enhanced individuals.
 
 
The latter half's qualifier seems more like '30s stuff to me, but I agree with the first half. I definitely think that many inventions will be the result of AI by 2022. I could see that being the case by 2019/2020.
 
 

 

Heart disease, Cancer, infectious diseases, and many other ailments are at almost negligible levels with the only real risk of death being from accidental causes. Most people expect to live well past 100 years.
 
I think that we might be able to reach this point by 2040 or so thanks to 2020s and 2030s technologies (Quantum computers, increasingly more detailed and broad body simulations, AI, etc). I do expect the 2010s to be the last decade where the medical world is notoriously slow, at any rate.

  • rennerpetey likes this

#10
dekoomer

dekoomer

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPip
  • 13 posts

5 years is half a decade, a few things can happen, I will list four.

 

___________________________________________________

 

Moore's law is in trouble, CPU manufacturers are looking for new tech to use. We're entering into a plateau, We may break out if new tech is found to continue Moore's law.

We may enter into a period where software optimization is what drives progress. Smarter more reliable code of our firmware, OS, programs is what could drive us forward.

 

 

VR is a new hot frontier as we enter another wave of popularity in the dawn of a new decade (2020). After the release of the 2nd generation of headsets which improved on many of the short comings of the 1st along with a even wider array of improved software and experiences. The masses will start to become interested in the new tech.

 

 

5G cellular standard is deployed, This new standard improves a few keys areas over previous 4G standard. Starting with lower network latency, A major increase in bandwidth cap, More reliable data that's nearly 2 to 10 times faster. Nation wide 5G later on the 2020's opens up new opportunity for emerging technologies.

 

 

Self driving vehicle technology is reaching a critical point. New opportunity and controversy will arise around this time.


  • Casey, Jakob and rennerpetey like this

#11
Sciencerocks

Sciencerocks

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 6,742 posts

Holograms
Crispr therapy
Landing on the moon again
iPhone 15

 

I think we'll probably orbit the moon

Holograms may get more advanced

Medicare and any help for the old will be cut to the bone


To follow my work on tropical cyclones


#12
therewillbewar

therewillbewar

    New Member

  • Members
  • Pip
  • 6 posts

Massive game changing cyber-attack.

 

First ground based semi autonomous drones, capable of killing, deployed in limited numbers.

 

WWIII starting, conflict everywhere but a lot of it is economic, cyber and misinformation. Outright shooting has not started. Armies are being built up.

 

Some white-collar jobs lost to automation/A.I. Mainly in accounting.  There is talk of a white-collar backlash but nobody is taking it seriously... yet

 

Home grown CRISPR/biological terrorism is being taken more seriously. Muslim/Black Live Matter/White Supremacist group busted trying to create a virus tailored to target specific race.

 

The culture wars turn into the Culture Cold War...


  • MrDusk likes this

#13
techchic22

techchic22

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPip
  • 16 posts
  • LocationDublin

5 years are not many, I don't think there will be big change. I predict there would be:

- Growing trend for data mining, data analysis, quantitative market research

- Immigration issue, no way for immigrants to get in UK and US

- Cure for cancer and HIV (I hope)

- Climate change continue

- Bio meat maybe??


'The statement below is true.
The statement above is false'

:girlcrazy: :girlcrazy:


#14
Guyverman1990

Guyverman1990

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 734 posts
1TB mobile devices
While Electric vehicles will be more common, they will ultimately be outnumbered by hybrids.
Virtual reality will begin to be fully mainstream.
At least one type of cancer will be fully curable in the early stages.
  • Casey likes this

#15
MrDusk

MrDusk

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPip
  • 27 posts
  • LocationVariable

in 5 years I should have my diploma and my bachelors if I'm lucky.

 

Massive game changing cyber-attack.

 

First ground based semi autonomous drones, capable of killing, deployed in limited numbers.

 

WWIII starting, conflict everywhere but a lot of it is economic, cyber and misinformation. Outright shooting has not started. Armies are being built up.

 

Some white-collar jobs lost to automation/A.I. Mainly in accounting.  There is talk of a white-collar backlash but nobody is taking it seriously... yet

 

Home grown CRISPR/biological terrorism is being taken more seriously. Muslim/Black Live Matter/White Supremacist group busted trying to create a virus tailored to target specific race.

 

The culture wars turn into the Culture Cold War...

 

theres game changing cyberattacks every week,

 

we're a year or two away from that sort of thing coming into play if it isnt in the testing or design faze now.

 

theres still a shittonne of nukes so unless someone does something incredibly stupid the major world powers wont be attacking eachother directly but via proxies as they do now. It'll probably be a bunch of nations without nukes duking it out with the sponsorship of the big three.

 

a lot of jobs will be lost to automation. it'll be a growing trend in the coming years. things like Amazon are coming to Australia and will majorly disrupt the department stores we got over here like it's doing in America. As is we have them all listing their crap on ebay now in preparation. Though for now our malls are still bustling and full of people. Ubers already taken the jobs of a lot of taxi drivers and by then self driving cars will have eliminated the Uber drivers too.

 

ask any geneticist and they would tell you that it is incredibly hard to create a new virus or bacteria. that might change in the future, but I dont think anyone will be eliminating the other with tailored pandemics

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

 

A lot of what follows will be what I think realistically can happen, what I hope might happen and largely will be from my perspective and use case as to how the developments will affect me since that will prove to be a tad more accurate than just trying to guestimate the progress of tech and science.

 

 

computer core clocks, pcie lanes and cores for CPU's will increase. at some point someone will go down to a smaller nanometer manufacturing process. embedded systems such as IoT will become smarter, VR will gain more popularity as the tech increases. 3d printing and additive manufacturing will indeed become more popular than it is now. things like the cnc machine and laser cutter will become the geeky thing all geeks lust over.

 

mainstream society might end up understanding bitcoin and cryptocurrency a bit more and I see no reason why its value wont continue to rise with its deflationary nature and what seems to be larger adoption of blockchain technology in todays day and age. I dont know what it means for the economy as a whole but it is certainly hugely disruptive.

 

mobile devices will continue with their incremental ass improvements and wont become different until flexible displays are finally a thing. even then it might just be a hugely expensive gimmick noone will buy or adopt in droves until the tech improves or theres a better use case. personally I'd much rather see a rigid framed phone that can open like the flip phones of old to become a small tablet. if that can be pulled off and they include a stylus I might be sold on it.

 

there may still be a place for wearables. I wouldnt mind an e-ink wrap around display wristband that can function as an nfc/rfid device so I can just use that to pay for things or tag onto public transport. even better if the screen can be programmed to show whatever the fuck you want. Things like the hololens or Meta's spaceglasses are still a while away from a proper release. We could see some better revisions of the dev kits around now, but I wouldnt hold out hope for a commercial release anytime soon.

 

medicine will have improved somewhat.

 

I'm holding out hopes for lab grown meat, but until then I'll keep eating slaughtered fish, mammal and avian with a side of eel now and then. either that or I'll transition to soylent like I've been planning for fucking ever now. I think the campaign to try and increase vegetarianism will see a bit more success as science and research brings about plants that can replace meat and animal based products like is already happening. Just needs larger scale production to drive down cost.

 

vertical farming, hydro, aqua and aeroponics will all become more popular due to the higher production areas and rates of growth on less land. I've been thinking about setting up my own little outdoor system myself at some point so I dont spend as much on produce. but alas that aint happening for a while.

 

Corporations will continue to be horrible as a whole. But they're not going away anytime soon and their power is only going to grow. Basically we just gotta deal with their crap and not let em get too much control.

 

home crispr setups will become popular for a lot of things, like glowing beer, gm animals and pets. I wouldnt mind injecting my cat with a crispr setup if it gave me a decade more time with him and eliminated the potential for a lot of diseases. hell I'd do it to myself. communities

 

centered around community farms have arised and it will no doubt become increasingly popular in the future with the way trends are going. replacing the golf club cummunities somewhat.

 

higher density mixed use developement will become the name of the game going forward in city planning and design. though I for one want to live in a preexisting suburban dwelling for my own personal reasons. with options to work from home becoming more popular. though I wouldnt turn down a large appartment if it was cheap enough (unlikely) so I'd have the same space for experiments, projects and my own hobbies/interests.

 

smart homes will become more popular. Even among privacy advocates today it's gaining traction. You just wont see me or them relying on proprietary solutions or factory settings. I'll be building my IoT setup out of open source solutions and keeping most of it on the LAN and not the net. the only real thing I could see myself wanting on the internet is my houses heating/cooling system. even then I'd probably just automate it to warm up or cool the house when I plan to come home. or better yet to turn on when I enter the house.

 

the number of people looking for work is only going to increase. networking, qualifications, certificates and degrees will become ever more important. what I've found some people call a competitive job market will really just be a lot of skilled people and no jobs to go around. for that purpose I sincerely hope that Universal Basic Incomes becomes a more tried thing going forward with initiatives to retrain people into fields with job growth. It'll take some mighty huge doing though with Australias Liberal party and America's Republicans in their case.

 

the worlds manufacturing will grow ever more automated. Jobs will be lost. ultimately it will become a very strange and wierd time and will get a lot worse before it gets better on that front

 

 

 

 

cant think of anything else right now to say but thats how I see things developing from my standpoint.


  • Casey likes this




0 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users