19 replies to this topic

[wjfox]

[Craven]

Nice but they clearly jumped it with dates.

[Saradus]

Yeah it was really interesting but far too optimistic. Flying cars and making "Surrogates" a reality in the next 5 years?! Way too hopeful, even for future-loving guys like us

[MarcZ]

Yeah, that's not realistic.

[Italian Ufo]

Nice Video but yeah a bit unreal. However I think it is nice that pepole talk about these things.

[CyberMisterBeauty]

How can you say it's bullshit?Depending on how tehnology advances,it's very lileky to be true...For exemple who would imagine in 1970 that in 2012 we would have Internet,notebooks,Iphones,led tvs,etc.In 1970 cellphones and pcs didn't existed yet...

[Immortal]

CyberMisterBeauty, that's true but they thought that by now we would live on the moon and be exploring pluto.

[Craven]

There won't be avatars/surrogates between 2015 and 2020, it's too soon. Especially not as popular as cars.

[Alric]

I agree its an optimistic view, but still within the realm of possibility. We can create androids right now, we have them today. We can created thought controlled robots today as well. I remember it was like 5 years ago or something some guy implanted a chip in his arm and used it to control a robots arm. Anyone remember that?

So this is all stuff we already have. They just need to work out the bugs, get them a little smarter and figure out ways to mass produce them efficiently. 8 years is a long time to resolve those issues and once they resolve them it wont take very long for them to catch on. Probably only a few months.

[Italian Ufo]

CyberMisterBeauty, that's true but they thought that by now we would live on the moon and be exploring pluto.

Exactly I have an astronomical encyclopedia at home from 1985 that claimed that by 1998 we would have seen the first child born on the moon.

[SG-1]

We don't have androids man. It takes eight hours average to progran asimo to walk across a room. It cannot walk on its own.

[Alric]

You assume having good walking skills is a requirement for an android. Which is true if you want a practical one that is going to do house work but there are androids that have been build. It isn't fair to say they are not androids because they don't walk well, because a lot of them do have a lot of practical uses even if they are not good at moving around. Some are actually very life like, if they remain sitting around which is why some people propose using them at help desks and stuffs.

There is already stuff in development as well, so saying that we can have a walking robot that has good balance and is able to recognize objects laying around in 5 years isn't an extreme leap by any means.

[Saradus]

How can you say it's bullshit?Depending on how tehnology advances,it's very lileky to be true...For exemple who would imagine in 1970 that in 2012 we would have Internet,notebooks,Iphones,led tvs,etc.In 1970 cellphones and pcs didn't existed yet...

Yes but they're not talking about 40 years time...they're talking about 3-5 years time.

[SG-1]

You assume having good walking skills is a requirement for an android. Which is true if you want a practical one that is going to do house work but there are androids that have been build. It isn't fair to say they are not androids because they don't walk well, because a lot of them do have a lot of practical uses even if they are not good at moving around. Some are actually very life like, if they remain sitting around which is why some people propose using them at help desks and stuffs.

There is already stuff in development as well, so saying that we can have a walking robot that has good balance and is able to recognize objects laying around in 5 years isn't an extreme leap by any means.

an·droid
   [an-droid] Show IPA
noun
an automaton in the form of a human being.

Androids have great skin, but their AI is lacking a lot. Also for a very intelligent AI they will have to at least be able to see, hear and walk (without any thought or pre-programming) to grow smarter. Try teaching a blind deaf kid who can't walk how to understand anything more basic than his needs. They aren't even there yet so don't say Helen Keller.

[Alric]

A lot of them look really human now, and they can move their arms around and stuff, so they can do things. They are getting pretty good at hearing too, and we got a lot of voice recognition stuff. Also it is silly to ask if they can't walk without thought, because even people still need to think when walking, and there was a period were we all had to learn walking. It isn't like humans a born walking or anything, so that isn't a fair comparison.

[SG-1]

Yes it is, because you don't have to think "left..right..left" and that is what they are doing after the programmer takes his time to tell it how to walk around in a room. If you took it and moved the Asimo into another room it wouldn't be able to do anything.

[GNR Rvolution]

Nice video but waaay too optimistic! Anyone else notice they reckon we'd have flying cars by 2020?! The whole thing was a PR job...

And the whole android thing is BS too we have some clever stuff out there but no true Android...

Edited by GNR Rvolution, 06 May 2012 - 07:24 AM.

[Alric]

We can already make fully functional flying cars. In fact there are even some out of the market and street legal(though you can't just take off and fly in the middle of the street).

[FlameWave]

Thats bs..... look at there website. Just over 10,000 people have joined it, give it 45 years and this program will fade away from a lack of support.

[FutureIsUtopia]

I admire their ambition, and i bet they know damn well that their predictions are wrong, but i believe they did that on purpose in an attempt to push forward the research to it's maximum given the timeframe (aim for the sky hit the ceiling comes to mind).