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How many more years do you think cancer will become curable the way Tuberculosis and Leprosy are today?
#1
Posted 27 May 2012 - 06:36 AM
Anyway based on your knowledge on the subject, when do you think will (most) cancers be curable? 10 years? maybe sooner, or later? And when I mean curable, it would also mean that its already accessible and inexpensive for the masses to get.
#2
Posted 27 May 2012 - 07:32 AM
Major advancments have been made but for now prevention and regular checks are the only "cure".
If I have to give my personal opinion, I think around 2040-2055 90% of cancer can be curble.
I am instead more optimistic for HiV.
"No matter how hard the past, you can always begin again."
#3
Posted 27 May 2012 - 11:33 AM
I think that by the late 2020s, prostate, breast, skin, lung and other common cancers will be curable and targeted therapies will be available earlier. 2030s, you will realistically have nothing to worry about. So long as you have a non oil-intensive job
"People Aren't against you; they're for themselves"
"If you don't want people looking down at you then grow up"
"If you know the rules to the game, play; 'cause when we die we all know we'll be going the same way"
#4
Posted 27 May 2012 - 11:40 AM
#5
Posted 27 May 2012 - 07:30 PM
I'd say that the 2050s is quite pessimistic. 2030s more likely at the rate of advancements. 18 years is plenty of time for sufficient health and safety testing as well as refinement. If you take a quick browse through the medical breakthroughs news thread, you will see breakthrough after breakthrough in treatments and bidding cures.
I think that by the late 2020s, prostate, breast, skin, lung and other common cancers will be curable and targeted therapies will be available earlier. 2030s, you will realistically have nothing to worry about. So long as you have a non oil-intensive job
They have had news about cancer for about 50 years now. Even Angelo Vescovi ( famous italian resercher) said that many therapies are promising but to move them from the lab to humans is not a short trip.
Medicine is very complex and it travels at a very slow rate. There is a long road before we find a cure for cancer.
"No matter how hard the past, you can always begin again."
#6
Posted 31 May 2012 - 04:10 AM
They have had news about cancer for about 50 years now. Even Angelo Vescovi ( famous italian resercher) said that many therapies are promising but to move them from the lab to humans is not a short trip.
Medicine is very complex and it travels at a very slow rate. There is a long road before we find a cure for cancer.
Yes, medicine is very regulated and genetic medicine is very tricky. It will take time, but not 40 years. Technologies which are developed now can be tested and accepted within 20 years, especially as treatments and cures for a disease as collectively threatening as cancer. There are other treatments which are not genetic as well - simpler treatments. One quite publicised one being targeted nano particles which are likely to be in use from the early 2020s. 10 years is ample time for a technology such as that. Other technologies like genetic manipulation of the immune system to register cancer as an infection have already been tried on humans. There is no jump from mice to humans, it is already there, it needs only time for refinement and approval.
im hoping 2020's as well, but i want to know more on your opinion on the matter. btw, what exactly do you mean with oil-intensive job?
When I say oil intensive jobs, I mean jobs which are heavily dependant or based around oil, and with it reaching a peak, with sources pointing towards the mid 2010s (and if you still deny the peak oil theory, then you can at least see the rise in price of oil and economic hardship), you may be in danger of not finding work.
An oil intensive job is, for example a truck driver (and also because of self-driving vehicles), an airline pilot, and of course, an oil driller.
Edited by eacao, 31 May 2012 - 04:13 AM.
"People Aren't against you; they're for themselves"
"If you don't want people looking down at you then grow up"
"If you know the rules to the game, play; 'cause when we die we all know we'll be going the same way"
#7
Posted 31 May 2012 - 07:21 AM
#8
Posted 31 May 2012 - 07:32 AM
Thats where my pessimism orginates. Even if by 2030 we have a potential cure we still need at least 10 years of observation to see the effects of the treatment.
In any case for now one should get annualy checked to keep the body under control. Prevention is the key nowdays.
"No matter how hard the past, you can always begin again."
#9
Posted 31 May 2012 - 08:39 AM
http://www.zeitnews....perfection.html
Another tool in the fight for cancer is nanotechnology
http://www.zeitnews....r-research.html
As these tools become ubiquitous in our daily lives screening cancers may become as trivial as putting on a nicotine patch. Whereby active little nanoprobes can scour your bloodstream on a regular cycle alerting the wearer of any anomalous detection. I think in the near future, the war on disease will be analogous to any war. Whereby the price of freedom will be eternal vigilance, Or the price of freedom from disease will be continual and pervasive cell surveillance by all means possible. One can only hope at this point that these tools are ready sooner rather than later.
#10
Posted 01 June 2012 - 02:39 PM
I mean I believe that in 10-20 years cancer treatment will be much more effective- but I dont know as a patient in 2005-6 I expected lots of treatment to be available now but they are still on the lab and rarely on trial.
Thats where my pessimism orginates. Even if by 2030 we have a potential cure we still need at least 10 years of observation to see the effects of the treatment.
In any case for now one should get annualy checked to keep the body under control. Prevention is the key nowdays.
I mean I believe that in 10-20 years cancer treatment will be much more effective- but I dont know as a patient in 2005-6 I expected lots of treatment to be available now but they are still on the lab and rarely on trial.
Thats where my pessimism orginates. Even if by 2030 we have a potential cure we still need at least 10 years of observation to see the effects of the treatment.
In any case for now one should get annualy checked to keep the body under control. Prevention is the key nowdays.
And what I'm saying is that we already have the potential cures, and that 10 years of observation starts now.
Edited by eacao, 01 June 2012 - 02:40 PM.
"People Aren't against you; they're for themselves"
"If you don't want people looking down at you then grow up"
"If you know the rules to the game, play; 'cause when we die we all know we'll be going the same way"
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