2 replies to this topic

[CyberMisterBeauty]

I think that with te widespread of OLED,which can create screens that are flexible like paper,holography and eletronic paper(see year 2017 in the timeline)and printed eletronics(see year 2028 of the timeline)could lead to the desappearing of paper itself,being replaced by these high-tech options.For something that existed for centuries and it continued to be important even nowadays,its desappearing would cause a big impact...

If these technologies replace paper,it would be very nice:Imagine you entering a public area and you see various luminous and animated screens that are as thin as paper and you can carry that whereever you want,the same could be for marketing:imagine you enter in the market and there are dozens of these screens calling your attention.It would be prrety nice,but it would be a high luminous/visual pollution,which would be worsened.What do you think?

[kjaggard]

As an origami practitioner and true bibliophile paper will exist for a long time still. Now how we use it as a culture will shift yes but we've been talking about the paperless office for a while now and it just gotten to be more paper not less. It's for the simple reason that electronic documents are like ideas, but a paper hard copy exists.

Think of it like the ancient writings. For the most part the ones we know are carved in stone or impressed in clay or eventually paper like products. But writings in beach sand or body inking, or other non perminant documents are gone and we will never know how much they were used or what was the most common use of them.

Now move that into modern terms of data storage and loss of hard drives and viral corruption of files. Files like your birth certificate. Do you suddenly stop existing because of a single virus? Not if some clerk in some office can pull out a drawer and lay hands on a paper copy and rescan it.

[SG-1]

http://www.scriptphd...-of-the-future/
"
Cavemen, Picture Phones, and Horses
SPhD: On the other hand, there is a basic human instinct to resist scientific and technological change. In your book you describe this as the Caveman Principle:
“Whenever there is a conflict between modern technology and the desires of our primitive ancestors, these primitive desires win each time… Having the fresh animal in our hands was always preferable to tales of the one that got away. Similarly, we want hard copy whenever we deal with files. That’s why the paperless office never came to be… Likewise, our ancestors always liked face to face encounters….By watching people up close, we feel a common bond and can also read their subtle body language to find out what thoughts are racing through their heads…So there is a continual competition between High Tech and High Touch…we prefer to have both, but if given a choice we will choose High Touch like our caveman ancestors.”
I wondered if those weren’t generational changes that we might see come to pass in children who have grown up reading and socializing through screens.
MK: Yes slowly. There is, of course, latitude in the caveman principle. More and more people are warming up to the idea of picture phones. Picture phones first came out in the 1960’s at the World Fair, but you couldn’t touch them with a ten foot pole. People didn’t want to have to comb their hair every time they went online. Now people are sort of getting used to it. It varies, like for instance now we have more horses than we did in 1800."