2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

weatheriscool
Posts: 14240
Joined: Sun May 16, 2021 6:16 pm

Re: 2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

Post by weatheriscool »

InteractivePolls
@IAPolls2022
🇺🇲 2024 GE: @CBSNewsPoll


ARIZONA
🟥 Trump 52% (+5)
🟦 Biden 47%
.
FLORIDA
🟥 Trump 54% (+9)
🟦 Biden 45%

YouGov | #4 (2.9/3.0) | 5/10-16 | 2,374 LV
https://cbsnews.com/news/trump-bid
weatheriscool
Posts: 14240
Joined: Sun May 16, 2021 6:16 pm

Re: 2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

Post by weatheriscool »

📊 @DecisionDeskHQ
Polling Average

NEVADA
🟥 Trump: 50.4% (+6.8)
🟦 Biden: 43.6%
.
ARIZONA
🟥 Trump: 48.9% (+6.1)
🟦 Biden: 42.8%
.
GEORGIA
🟥 Trump: 49.4% (+6.1)
🟦 Biden: 43.3%
.
NORTH CAROLINA
🟥 Trump: 50.1% (+4.6)
🟦 Biden: 45.5%
.
MICHIGAN
🟥 Trump: 49.0% (+4.0)
🟦 Biden: 45.0%

PENNSYLVANIA
🟥 Trump: 47.7% (+1.7)
🟦 Biden: 46.0%

WISCONSIN
🟥 Trump: 47.7% (+0.8)
🟦 Biden: 46.9%

EC Based on polls
🟥 Trump 312 (+86)
🟦 Biden 226

@polymarket
odds
🟥 Trump 52% (+10)
🟦 Biden 42%

https://polymarket.com/elections

https://elections2024.thehill.com/national/biden
weatheriscool
Posts: 14240
Joined: Sun May 16, 2021 6:16 pm

Re: 2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

Post by weatheriscool »

@FiveThirtyEight
Polling Average (5/20)

National
🟥 Trump 41.3% (+1.4)
🟦 Biden 39.9%
🟨 RFK Jr 9.8%

May 20, 2020: Biden +6.0
Final average: Biden +8.4

https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1792737127421128775
weatheriscool
Posts: 14240
Joined: Sun May 16, 2021 6:16 pm

Re: 2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

Post by weatheriscool »

Harvard/Harris

🟥 Trump 49% (+6)
🟦 Biden 43%

With leans
🟥 Trump 53% (+6)
🟦 Biden 47%

🟥 Trump 45% (+5)
🟦 Biden 40%
🟨 RFK Jr 14%

https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-conten ... esults.pdf
User avatar
caltrek
Posts: 6794
Joined: Mon May 17, 2021 1:17 pm

Re: 2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

Post by caltrek »

Here is a rundown of Tuesday primary election results (excluding presidential race):

https://rollcall.com/2024/05/22/key-res ... nd-idaho/
Don't mourn, organize.

-Joe Hill
weatheriscool
Posts: 14240
Joined: Sun May 16, 2021 6:16 pm

Re: 2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

Post by weatheriscool »

https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1793316776488337897

@Polymarket
- Trump's odds of winning in 2024 have reached an all-time high.

April 18
🟦 Biden 45% (+2)
🟥 Trump 43%
.
May 22
🟥 Trump 56% (+17)
🟦 Biden 39%

Net 19 point swing towards Trump
weatheriscool
Posts: 14240
Joined: Sun May 16, 2021 6:16 pm

Re: 2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

Post by weatheriscool »

#BREAKING: President Joe Biden will not appear on Ohio’s November presidential ballot, according to Secretary of State

https://x.com/rawsalerts/status/1793335427832893579
firestar464
Posts: 1085
Joined: Wed Oct 12, 2022 7:45 am

Re: 2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

Post by firestar464 »

More on that by Democracy Docket:

https://www.democracydocket.com/news-al ... er-ballot/

Thankfully it's not like Ohio is a competitive state anyway.
weatheriscool
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Joined: Sun May 16, 2021 6:16 pm

Re: 2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

Post by weatheriscool »

2024 GE: [Among Likely Voters]

🟥 Trump: 51% [+3]
🟦 Biden: 49% [-3]

Net 6 points swing towards Trump from March

[+/- change vs March]

• @MULawPoll
| 538: #3 (3.0/3.0)

https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1793511101302538677
weatheriscool
Posts: 14240
Joined: Sun May 16, 2021 6:16 pm

Re: 2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

Post by weatheriscool »

Polling USA
@USA_Polling
North Carolina Polling:

Presidential:
Trump (R): 44%
Biden (D): 42%

Governor:
Robinson (R): 39%
Stein (D): 34%

High Point U. / May 9, 2024 / n=804
https://x.com/USA_Polling/status/1793674955445465229
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