2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

[weatheriscool]

InteractivePolls
@IAPolls2022
2024 GE: @CBSNewsPoll


ARIZONA
Trump 52% (+5)
Biden 47%
.
FLORIDA
Trump 54% (+9)
Biden 45%

YouGov | #4 (2.9/3.0) | 5/10-16 | 2,374 LV
https://cbsnews.com/news/trump-bid

[weatheriscool]

@DecisionDeskHQ
Polling Average

NEVADA
Trump: 50.4% (+6.8)
Biden: 43.6%
.
ARIZONA
Trump: 48.9% (+6.1)
Biden: 42.8%
.
GEORGIA
Trump: 49.4% (+6.1)
Biden: 43.3%
.
NORTH CAROLINA
Trump: 50.1% (+4.6)
Biden: 45.5%
.
MICHIGAN
Trump: 49.0% (+4.0)
Biden: 45.0%

PENNSYLVANIA
Trump: 47.7% (+1.7)
Biden: 46.0%

WISCONSIN
Trump: 47.7% (+0.8)
Biden: 46.9%
—
EC Based on polls
Trump 312 (+86)
Biden 226
—
@polymarket
odds
Trump 52% (+10)
Biden 42%

https://polymarket.com/elections
—
https://elections2024.thehill.com/national/biden

[weatheriscool]

@FiveThirtyEight
Polling Average (5/20)

National
Trump 41.3% (+1.4)
Biden 39.9%
RFK Jr 9.8%

May 20, 2020: Biden +6.0
Final average: Biden +8.4

https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1792737127421128775

[weatheriscool]

Harvard/Harris

Trump 49% (+6)
Biden 43%

With leans
Trump 53% (+6)
Biden 47%
—
Trump 45% (+5)
Biden 40%
RFK Jr 14%

https://harvardharrispoll.com/wp-conten ... esults.pdf

[caltrek]

Here is a rundown of Tuesday primary election results (excluding presidential race):

https://rollcall.com/2024/05/22/key-res ... nd-idaho/

[weatheriscool]

https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1793316776488337897

@Polymarket
- Trump's odds of winning in 2024 have reached an all-time high.

April 18
Biden 45% (+2)
Trump 43%
.
May 22
Trump 56% (+17)
Biden 39%

Net 19 point swing towards Trump

[weatheriscool]

#BREAKING: President Joe Biden will not appear on Ohio’s November presidential ballot, according to Secretary of State

https://x.com/rawsalerts/status/1793335427832893579

[firestar464]

More on that by Democracy Docket:

https://www.democracydocket.com/news-al ... er-ballot/

Thankfully it's not like Ohio is a competitive state anyway.

[weatheriscool]

2024 GE: [Among Likely Voters]

Trump: 51% [+3]
Biden: 49% [-3]

Net 6 points swing towards Trump from March

[+/- change vs March]
—
• @MULawPoll
| 538: #3 (3.0/3.0)

https://x.com/IAPolls2022/status/1793511101302538677

[weatheriscool]

Polling USA
@USA_Polling
North Carolina Polling:

Presidential:
Trump (R): 44%
Biden (D): 42%

Governor:
Robinson (R): 39%
Stein (D): 34%

High Point U. / May 9, 2024 / n=804
https://x.com/USA_Polling/status/1793674955445465229