Metacalculus has a group prediction for AGI that has been voted on over 1.5 thousand times. Votes are also weighted on the basis of if they are recent. I imagine this prediction that fluctuates and is based on the collective opinion of people who give a sh%t about AI/AI researchers is the closest thing to an accurate prediction of AI.
Do you think said criteria of the prediction in the link below = Human level AGI (or basically does) as this means I and others can just use this prediction to see how far off we are.
https://www.metaculus.com/questions/512 ... elligence/
Would you classify the following criteria as human level AI?
- DouglasTheKing
- Posts: 13
- Joined: Sat Feb 11, 2023 2:37 pm
Re: Would you classify the following criteria as human level AI?
As for me, the criteria you mentioned I considered valuable in assessing progress towards human-level AI. However, it's important to remember that predicting AGI is complex and uncertain)) I observe collective opinions provide insights, but I really take them with caution and considered alongside other factors...
Re: Would you classify the following criteria as human level AI?
There will be no information cut-off date and will be directly connected to the internet.