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Biology & Medicine

 

B - Bacteriophage therapy | Bio-printers

C - Cancer

D - Deafness

L - Limb regeneration

M - Macular degeneration | Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) | Malaria

N - Nanobots

O - Organ transplants

S - Surgical sutures

T - Tooth regeneration

 


 

Bacteriophage therapy

Just as humans and animals can be infected with viruses, so too can bacteria. Bacteriophages, also called "phages", are a group of viruses which infect and kill bacteria. They were co-discovered by Frederick Twort and Félix d'Herelle between 1915 and 1917. Although they remained part of medical practice in the former Soviet republic of Georgia, research on them was largely abandoned in the West. This was due to the overwhelming success of antibiotics.

After their mainstream introduction in 1945, antibiotics proved to be one of the cornerstones of modern medicine. With them came massive improvements in surgery and the treatment of infections. What were once life-threatening conditions became routinely curable, while entirely new medical procedures were made possible. The average global life expectancy rose from 45 years in 1945 to 67 years by 2000.

Though hoped to be a final end to infection and bacteria, antibiotics were never destined to last. Through the gradual process of evolution, bacteria over the years developed resistance to treatments, necessitating the continual creation of new formulas. While always pushing the danger back temporarily, each successive generation of antibiotics created a more resistant and hardy population of bacteria. The misuse of antibiotics, not being prescribed properly or used too frequently and for too long, made the problem even worse.

From the late 20th century onwards, this trend accelerated dramatically. MRSA, for example, saw 50% incidence of resistance by the year 2000. Genes began appearing in the DNA of various bacteria that were completely immune to even the most modern antibiotics.*

 

bacteriophage therapy antibiotic resistance trend graph future 2015 2020

 

These trends have continued to the present day. As the supply of effective antibiotics becomes exhausted, a global public health disaster appears to be looming. Alongside this, poor financial investment in antibiotics research has only exacerbated the situation. Major pharmaceutical companies are losing interest in the antibiotics market, because these drugs are not as profitable as those for treating chronic (long-term) conditions and lifestyle issues. The pipeline of new antibiotics is drying up.

 

antibiotics approvals trend 1983 2011 2012

 

Though the situation is nearing crisis level,* new breakthroughs are being made in the field of biology. The most promising is the development of bacteriophage therapy. Viruses that infect and kill bacteria - while not posing any danger to animals or humans - could become an effective alternative to antibiotics.**

Due to their extreme abundance (10 million are in a millilitre of seawater), genetic engineering is not required either. Treatments can be made with a cocktail of the appropriate phages, taken in pill or liquid form. The phages carry genetic material, enclosed in an outer protein capsid. Upon locating and landing on a bacterium, this DNA is injected like a mosquito bite, where it then starts to reproduce itself. Soon, the bacterium is teeming with new phages that burst forth, destroying the bacterium from within.

 

 

At present, most research into phage therapy is focussed on the treatment of animals for agriculture, but success in that area could encourage new policies and regulations allowing its widespread use in human health. This method, it is hoped, may succeed in replacing antibiotics in many instances, enabling a wide variety of medical procedures to continue as before.

Slightly further into the future, the emergence of medical nanobots - microscopic machines programmed to travel inside the body - may replace phage therapy itself. A true end to bacterial infection would then be in sight.

 

future of phage therapy

 

 

Bio-printers

Scientists are developing 3D "bio-printers", a cutting-edge technology that will allow the creation of synthetic human tissue on demand. In the future, these machines could be used to print entire replacement organs, as well as being available for cosmetic procedures.*

 

 


 

Cancer

When will cancer be cured?

There are more than 200 types of cancer. In 2007, they caused about 13% of all human deaths worldwide (7.9 million). Below is a graph showing 15 of the most common cancers in the USA, their five year survival rates, and current trends extrapolated into the future. This ignores possible major events or breakthroughs that could radically alter these trends, such as a technological singularity, or global disaster. It is simply intended to provide a current overview of progress and a visual representation that combines all of the major cancer types in one single, long-term graph.

As can be seen, there is considerable variation in survival rates. However, the next few decades are likely to see cures emerging for a number of cancers, with potentially every cancer eradicated by 2200 AD. With information technology becoming an ever larger part of medicine, researchers are gaining the ability to literally rewrite the software of biology. More targeted therapies, DNA sequencing, nano-medicine, robotic surgery and various other techniques may lead to a Moore's Law-style effect with exponential improvements in survival rates.

Some of these individual cancer types are covered in more detail on our timeline. This graph is based on the latest data from the National Cancer Institute, with 2008 being the most recent year available for five-year survival rates. Click on the graph to view a larger version.

 

when will cancer be cured

 

 

 

 

Deafness

Recent advances in stem cell research could provide a method of regenerating sensory cells within the inner ear. Humans are born with 30,000 cochlear and vestibular hair cells per ear. Unlike many animal species, they are unable to regenerate these if they are damaged. However, experiments with mice have shown that stem cells - along with reprogrammed fibroblasts - can be induced into creating replacement hair cells. If this process could be replicated in people, it could one day fully restore hearing. Scientists believe this could be achieved in a decade or so.*

Using the patient's own skin as a source of stem cells would mean that the replacements are a perfect genetic match for their body, avoiding issues of immune rejection. This form of therapy could also enable a variety of other ailments to be treated, such as balance disorders and tinnitus.

 

deafness cure 2020 2025 hearing loss regeneration stem cell therapy
© Anita Potter | Dreamstime.com

 


 

Limb regeneration

Within the next few decades, it may be possible for humans to regrow lost limbs. Scientists recently discovered a gene known as P21. This blocks cell cycle progression in the event of DNA damage, preventing cells from dividing and potentially becoming cancerous. By temporarily switching off this gene, adult mammalian cells can be induced to behave like regenerative embryonic stem cells.

If surgical treatments are developed, these would be applied transiently during the healing process and only locally at the wound site, minimising any side effects. Further into the future, spinal cords and even damaged brains may be capable of being regenerated.*

 

amputees humans regrow limbs p21 stem cells future medicine 2020 2030

 


 

Macular degeneration

Macular degeneration is the leading cause of blindness in people aged 65 and older. In 2010, following clinical trials, it became possible to treat this condition using a miniature telescope implanted in the eye. Consisting of two lenses within a small glass tube, this works like a telephoto zoom lens. It combines with the cornea to project a magnified image of whatever the wearer is looking at over a large part of the retina. Only the central portion of the sufferer's vision is damaged by the disease, so magnifying the image on the eye allows the retinal cells outside the macula to detect light, refocus it, and redirect the information to the brain.*


implantable miniature telescope visioncare macular degeneration 2010 future treatment cure
Credit: VisionCare

 

 

Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI)

Magnetic resonance imaging (MRI) is a medical imaging technique, most commonly used in radiology to visualise detailed internal structure and limited function of the body.

Present-day MRI scanners are so bulky that they fill entire rooms.* Scans typically require 30 minutes to create. They are also highly expensive: upwards of a million dollars for a state-of-the-art model, with each individual scan costing hundreds of dollars.

By the 2050s, experts believe that portable, handheld MRI scanners will be available.* This new generation of machines will have supersensitive atomic magnetometers - able to detect the tiniest magnetic fields - replacing the huge doughnut-shaped magnets that are currently used. Hi-res, 3D imaging of internal structures and brain activity would be possible in real-time video, using devices no bigger than a camera.

This will be accompanied by a hundredfold decrease in cost.* Healthcare programs in developing countries will benefit particularly from this.

 

handheld mri scan scanner future medical technology timeline

 

 

Malaria

Malaria is a mosquito-borne infectious disease of humans, caused by eukaryotic protists of the genus Plasmodium. It is widespread in tropical and subtropical regions, including much of Sub-Saharan Africa, Asia and the Americas. This disease results from the multiplication of malaria parasites within red blood cells, causing symptoms that typically include fever and headache - in severe cases progressing to coma, and death. Malaria is responsible for over 2.2% of all deaths worldwide. Each year, there are more than 225 million cases, killing 781,000 people.

A widely-available vaccine that offers long-term, high levels of protection has yet to be developed. However, recent advances in gene research may offer new hope from a different angle. In 2010, scientists in the USA successfully engineered the first malaria-resistant mosquito. By introducing a gene that modified the insect's gut, the malaria parasites were prevented from developing. This gene also reduced the insects' lifespan.*

A further advance was made in 2011, when a gene modified against malaria was successfully spread throughout a whole population of mosquitoes. This was achieved in just a small number of generations. Inserting the gene produced an enzyme which split the mosquito DNA in two. The cell's repair machinery then used this gene as a "template" when repairing the cut. As a result, the gene was preserved and copied, with all sperm produced by a male mosquito subsequently carrying copies of it. In other words, all its offspring would have the gene.*

In the future, it is conceivable that widespread deployment of such a technology could result in the disease being largely eradicated from the world. Exactly how long this would take is unclear. There would also be concerns arising from the use of genetically modified organisms. In the coming years, however, once the risks have been assessed and the moral zeitgeist has moved forward, it seems highly likely that malaria will be consigned to the history books.

As well as genetic modification and research into a vaccine, "mosquito lasers" are being developed. These could be utilised in hospitals and other health-sensitive buildings, zapping the insects before they even land on people.*

 

malaria future trends research
Credit: Centers for Disease Control and Prevention, United States Department of Health and Human Services

 

 

 

 

Nanobots

Microscopic robots - measuring just a few nanometres across - are expected to be developed in the mid-2020s.* These tiny machines will be available for a variety of medical uses. Their size will enable them to reach places in the human body that were simply inaccessible before or too delicate for conventional instruments to operate on.

In the coming years, the most important breakthroughs will be in the treatment of cancer. Using nanobots, it will be possible to detect tumours earlier than ever before and to target them with far more precision. In the 2030s, 90% of cancers may be cured as a result of this. Even patients who would previously have been classed as terminally ill could routinely be saved. Monitoring of heart conditions, neurological disorders and many other illnesses would also improve dramatically. Combined with enormous strides in stem cell research, this would create a new generation of medical treatments reaching a whole new level of sophistication and efficiency.

The nanobots themselves will be built on a molecule-by-molecule basis, via positionally-controlled diamond mechanosynthesis and diamondoid nanofactories. Each robot will propel itself using tiny motors and will come equipped with microscopic sensing, guidance and communication devices.

 

 


 

Organ transplants

As of 2011, it is already possible to grow individual tissues, tendons and cartilages from stem cells. By 2020, scientists expect to have fully characterised how every part of the heart works - enabling them to grow complete replacements for use in transplants.*

The need for external donors will be eliminated, and since the organ will be genetically matched to the patient, there will be no chance of rejection. Natural, living tissue is also far more flexible, sophisticated and efficient than artificially built components - so this new treatment will offer radical hope to millions of people affected by cardiovascular disease. Around 15m people currently die each year from heart-related conditions.

The economic benefits could be huge. A significant percentage of healthcare costs are attributable to organ failure, the recurring treatments for chronic diseases and their subsequent complications. This new regenerative medicine will effectively provide a cure, rather than ongoing treatment. Direct healthcare costs of organ replacement and associated care are currently over $350 billion globally (about 8 percent of global healthcare spending).

Other organs may be developed in the 2020s: lungs, livers, kidneys, spleens, stomachs and sexual organs could all be made available by the end of the decade. Internal organ failure will gradually become a thing of the past.

Combined with new vitrification techniques* (allowing organ banking without damage from ice crystal formation), this will be a major step towards longevity extension.

 

stem cell organ replacement regeneration transplant treatment future medical 2020 2030

 


 

Surgical sutures

In the near future, doctors will no longer have to use a needle and thread to seal wounds. Pen-shaped devices are being developed that can do the job using lasers, in combination with a blood protein called albumin. Heated at just the right temperature, this forms a natural "glue" after the skin has cooled down. Using this method allows a wound to be stronger, water-tight, and less likely to scar than traditional stitches.*

 

 


 

Tooth regeneration

Having been demonstrated in mice, bioengineered tooth regeneration may soon be available for humans. Using a combination of stem cells, scaffold material and signaling molecules, a fully functional and living tooth could be regrown in around two months - complete with roots, inner pulp and outer enamel.

Until now, dental implant therapies have required pre-existing high quality bone structures for supporting the artificial implants. Full reconstruction of natural, healthy teeth in patients without adequate bone support will therefore be possible. Fillings and dentures will become obsolete as a result, improving the health and well-being of many millions of people.*

 

stem cell tooth regeneration bioengineered regrowth future dental care 2015 2020 2025

 
     
   

 
     
 
 
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References

1 Are you ready for a world without antibiotics?, The Guardian:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/society/2010/aug/12/the-end-of-antibiotics-health-infections?INTCMP=SRCH
Accessed 3rd June 2012.

2 Resistance to antibiotics could bring "the end of modern medicine as we know it", WHO claim, The Telegraph:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/health/healthnews/9147414/Resistance-to-antibiotics-could-bring-the-end-of-modern-medicine-as-we-know-it-WHO-claim.html
Accessed 3rd June 2012.

3 Bacteriophages Eyed as Antibiotic Alternatives, Food Safety News:
http://www.foodsafetynews.com/2010/11/natural-disease-fighters-eyed-as-antibiotic-alternatives/
Accessed 3rd June 2012.

4 The drugs don't work - so what will?, BBC:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-13005739
Accessed 3rd June 2012.

5 Bioprinting, ExplainingTheFuture.com:
http://explainingthefuture.com/bioprinting.html
Accessed 9th May 2011.

6 Aiming to Cure Deafness, Scientists First to Create Functional Inner-Ear Cells, Science Daily:
http://www.sciencedaily.com/releases/2010/05/100513123720.htm
Accessed 15th May 2010.

7 Humans could regrow body parts like some amphibians, The Daily Telegraph:
http://www.telegraph.co.uk/health/healthnews/7448557/Humans-could-regrow-body-parts-like-some-amphibians.html
Accessed 9th May 2010.

8 FDA Advisory Panel Recommends Approval of VisionCare's Implantable Telescope for End-Stage Macular Degeneration, VisionCare:
http://www.visioncareinc.net/press_releases/pr_1277395675
Accessed 4th May 2010.

9 A typical MRI machine of the early 2000s: http://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/File:Varian4T.jpg

10 "It's going to be an incredible tool. Fifty years down the road, there could be small handheld MRI devices - like the tricorder in the Star Trek television series - that enable us to see signals from molecules, and there will be patterns for different diseases."
See Thinking outside the box on MRI, Medical Physics Web:
http://medicalphysicsweb.org/cws/article/research/30780
Accessed 17th October 2009.

11 Physics of the Impossible, by Michio Kaku:
http://www.amazon.com/Physics-Impossible-Scientific-Exploration-Teleportation/dp/0307278824/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1250029787&sr=1-1

Accessed 17th October 2009.

12 Malaria-proof mosquito engineered, BBC:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/science-environment-10654599
Accessed 22nd April 2011.

13 GM mosquitoes offer malaria hope, BBC:
http://www.bbc.co.uk/news/health-13128327
Accessed 22nd April 2011.

14 Nathan Myhrvold: Could this laser zap malaria?, TED Talks:
http://www.youtube.com/watch?v=OM6E3f2lT14
Accessed 22nd April 2011.

15 The Singularity is Near, by Ray Kurzweil:
http://www.amazon.com/Singularity-Near-Humans-Transcend-Biology/dp/0143037889/ref=sr_1_1?ie=UTF8&s=books&qid=1250947600&sr=1-1 .
Accessed 9th May 2010.

16 British team grows human heart valve from stem cells, Guardian.co.uk:
http://www.guardian.co.uk/science/2007/apr/02/stemcells.genetics
Accessed 8th May 2010.

17 21st Century Medicine - Organ preservation for transplantation, 21st Century Medicine:
http://www.21cm.com/transplant.html
Accessed 8th May 2010.

18 Sci-fi laser stiches wounds, Reuters.com:
http://www.reuters.com/news/video?videoId=98448&videoChannel=6&rpc=64&refresh=true
Accessed 9th May 2010.

19 Bioengineered Tooth Regeneration in Mice, Next Big Future:
http://nextbigfuture.com/2009/08/bioengineered-tooth-regeneration-in.html
Accessed 8th May 2010.

 
     
 

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