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by funkervogt
Mon Aug 03, 2026 3:55 pm
Forum: Feedback & Suggestions
Topic: New predictions for the timeline
Replies: 423
Views: 916182

Re: New predictions for the timeline

wjfox wrote: Fri Jul 24, 2026 1:50 pm 6000–12000 – Big Ben becomes unstable due to its increasing tilt

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/uk-england-15243118
Of course they will have a way to fix it well before then.
by funkervogt
Wed Jul 29, 2026 4:25 pm
Forum: Off Topic & General Discussion
Topic: My random thoughts
Replies: 556
Views: 1603386

Re: My random thoughts

I like this silly crap I keep reading about how you can secure your career against automation by doing something that "involves empathy", "defines the problems AI must solve", or something like that, as if there's any reason whatsoever for us to assume that machines won't someday...
by funkervogt
Mon Jul 27, 2026 3:40 pm
Forum: Off Topic & General Discussion
Topic: My random thoughts
Replies: 556
Views: 1603386

Re: My random thoughts

The lack of an agreed-upon definition of what "Artificial General Intelligence" (AGI) will cause problems in the future as different tech companies unveil computer programs that meet their unique definitions of "AGI," but not those of other major companies and institutions. There...
by funkervogt
Tue Jul 14, 2026 8:29 pm
Forum: Off Topic & General Discussion
Topic: My random thoughts
Replies: 556
Views: 1603386

Re: My random thoughts

Jesus, are there really people that think that way? Guys, "life-improving thing might not be easily accessible" means "we should make life-improving thing accessible," not "thing is bad" Tragically, a huge fraction of people think that way. The topic relates to "p...
by funkervogt
Tue Jul 14, 2026 2:05 pm
Forum: Off Topic & General Discussion
Topic: My random thoughts
Replies: 556
Views: 1603386

Re: My random thoughts

One argument against mind uploading and brain transplantation into new bodies is that only the rich will be able to afford them. However, when those procedures become available, I predict average-income people with severe deformities, paralysis, and chronic pain will comprise most of the clientele, ...
by funkervogt
Sat May 09, 2026 1:00 am
Forum: Off Topic & General Discussion
Topic: My random thoughts
Replies: 556
Views: 1603386

Re: My random thoughts

Once androids are numerous and running around in public spaces, they'll even steal jobs from the people who make a living doing pranks, street interviews, and behaving strangely in public. I see millions of these people on YouTube.
by funkervogt
Thu Apr 23, 2026 12:43 pm
Forum: Science & Technology of the Future
Topic: What would you use/own? Transportation.
Replies: 6
Views: 845

Re: What would you use/own? Transportation.

weatheriscool wrote: Sat Apr 11, 2026 9:01 pm
funkervogt wrote: Sat Apr 11, 2026 2:27 pm Jet packs would be terrifying.

But imagine short trips a couple of miles to the store or to the park? A flying car is nice but sometimes you just want to hope over everything for a quick trip. ;)
I'll pass.
by funkervogt
Sat Apr 11, 2026 2:27 pm
Forum: Science & Technology of the Future
Topic: What would you use/own? Transportation.
Replies: 6
Views: 845

Re: What would you use/own? Transportation.

Jet packs would be terrifying.
by funkervogt
Thu Mar 26, 2026 1:31 pm
Forum: AI & Robotics
Topic: Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) News and Discussions
Replies: 500
Views: 575139

Re: Artificial General Intelligence (AGI) News and Discussions

Chollet believes OpenAI spent “tens of millions” on compute in 2025 to train models specifically for ARC-AGI-2, using publicly available ARC puzzle samples to generate additional training data. “What this amounts to is preemptive brute forcing … by trying to guess in advance every possible task,” h...
by funkervogt
Fri Mar 20, 2026 5:29 pm
Forum: Off Topic & General Discussion
Topic: My random thoughts
Replies: 556
Views: 1603386

Re: My random thoughts

When it comes to fashion, I'm severely autistic. So yesterday, I went to the thrift store, took photos of myself wearing random shirts and pants, and uploaded them to ChatGPT to ask whether they looked good. The results were excellent. Not only did it give me honest advice and explain its answers, b...
by funkervogt
Sat Mar 14, 2026 2:58 pm
Forum: Off Topic & General Discussion
Topic: My random thoughts
Replies: 556
Views: 1603386

Re: My random thoughts

"Fundamentally our business and I think the business of every other model provider is going to look like selling tokens," Altman said, referring to the units AI systems use to process and price input and output data. "We see a future where intelligence is a utility like electricity o...
by funkervogt
Sun Mar 08, 2026 10:11 pm
Forum: AI & Robotics
Topic: Will Smith Eating Spaghetti
Replies: 3
Views: 5377

Re: Will Smith Eating Spaghetti

2026 update


The challenge has been completed and no more updates are needed.
by funkervogt
Fri Feb 27, 2026 6:07 pm
Forum: Off Topic & General Discussion
Topic: My random thoughts
Replies: 556
Views: 1603386

Re: My random thoughts

Once free to do so, machines will invent their own programming languages that are more task-optimized than the ones humans have created. Due to our cognitive limitations and biases of thinking, humans created programming languages that are user friendly rather than efficient. For example, Python is ...
by funkervogt
Fri Feb 27, 2026 6:00 pm
Forum: Off Topic & General Discussion
Topic: My random thoughts
Replies: 556
Views: 1603386

Re: My random thoughts

I can easily see us having "the worst of both worlds" for the next 20 years with respect to AI and its impact on the world. -"AI" gets much better than it is now, but doesn't achieve true "intelligence," so it keeps making horrible mistakes 1% of the time. That keeps it...
by funkervogt
Sat Jan 31, 2026 10:06 pm
Forum: The History Forum
Topic: Past predictions about the future
Replies: 43
Views: 70175

Re: Past predictions about the future

"Within two decades, we will have a detailed understanding of how all the regions of the human brain work."
--Ray Kurzweil, The Singularity is Near (2005)
by funkervogt
Sun Jan 11, 2026 1:15 am
Forum: Business & Politics
Topic: Greenland News and Discussions
Replies: 73
Views: 23389

Re: Greenland News and Discussions

If you don't like Trump, you should support him ordering an invasion of Greenland. The backlash will be furious and immediate that it will cripple his ability to govern and he will probably be removed from office in months.
by funkervogt
Thu Jan 08, 2026 1:48 am
Forum: Military & War
Topic: China could mount full scale invasion of Taiwan
Replies: 178
Views: 360755

Re: China could mount full scale invasion of Taiwan by 2025

Let me kick the dead horse. This from 2019. Retired Japanese general predicts China will invade Taiwan by 2025, Okinawa by 2045 Read more at: https://www.stripes.com/theaters/asia_pacific/retired-japanese-general-predicts-china-will-invade-taiwan-by-2025-okinawa-by-2045-1.569228 CAMP FOSTER, Okinawa...
by funkervogt
Sun Jan 04, 2026 4:46 am
Forum: Science & Technology of the Future
Topic: Your 2026 Predictions
Replies: 10
Views: 2122

Re: Your 2026 Predictions

funkervogt wrote: Wed Dec 31, 2025 6:25 pm Maduro either leaves office in Venezuela or massively caves to several Trump political demands.
One of my predictions already came true!
by funkervogt
Fri Jan 02, 2026 12:39 am
Forum: Military & War
Topic: China could mount full scale invasion of Taiwan
Replies: 178
Views: 360755

Re: China could mount full scale invasion of Taiwan by 2025

Let me put the final nail in the coffin of this thread. A four-star Air Force general sent a memo on Friday to the officers he commands that predicts the U.S. will be at war with China in two years and tells them to get ready to prep by firing "a clip" at a target, and "aim for the he...
by funkervogt
Wed Dec 31, 2025 6:40 pm
Forum: Science & Technology of the Future
Topic: Your 2025 Predictions
Replies: 21
Views: 19401

Re: Your 2025 Predictions

Here are my 2025 predictions: Trump's first year of his second term will fall short of the high hopes and fears that conservatives and liberals expect, respectively. The number of illegal immigrants inside the U.S. will probably drop by 10% at most, and mostly thanks to people voluntarily leaving f...