Future Timeline

"Exponential" got flung around so many times it nearly ruptured the spacetime continuum.


This is the most sluggish I've ever seen Ray. The 80 pills a day can only help so much at his age.

Interesting to look back on this essay by a Russian blogger from two years ago. The war hasn't ended yet, but out of the six possible outcomes he forecast, #2 seems the likeliest right now. He predicted there was a 90% chance it WOULDN'T end that way. 2. Bloody slog, “draw” (10%) — Russia’s military...

If we all turn into technologically unemployed UBI bums, won't we start having more children like today's unemployed welfare bums? Won't that solve the depopulation crisis?

The fall of Avidiivka may have been more damaging than thought. Up to 1,000 Ukrainian defenders are still missing, and the number captured by Russian troops could be in the hundreds. https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/20/us/politics/ukraine-prisoners-avdiivka-russia.html It's worth noting that I remem...

Former U.S. Defense Secretary Robert Gates believes Russia now has the upper hand in the Ukraine War.
https://www.youtube.com/live/qMgxiVrcen ... 2mCtQos3ub

The fall of Avidiivka may have been more damaging than thought. Up to 1,000 Ukrainian defenders are still missing, and the number captured by Russian troops could be in the hundreds.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/02/20/us/p ... ussia.html

Think of all the fun you could have if you had an implant that could stimulate every part of your brain, and you laid down and set it to "Random." The brain implants might also make drugs and alcohol obsolete since they'd let you induce any kind of mental state at will, including various ...

I'm sure these deficiencies will be fixed.

This excellent essay on Astral Codex Ten explains why the success of GPT-5 is so important to the pace of AI development. Let me explain: There have been four GPT AI's so far: GPT-1, 2, 3, and 4. On average, each took 18 months to invent after the last. Each one cost roughly 30x as much money to cre...