Future Timeline

wjfox wrote: ↑Sat Jan 13, 2024 7:07 pm Lots of useful predictions here...

I want to see an intro to a sci fi film that opens with those predictions in text, interspersed with predictions about the rise of AGI and other technologies.

wjfox wrote: ↑Sun Jan 07, 2024 11:54 am

What if we extend the meme down another row to see what happens in 2036?

"Robots took my welding job!"

"LMAO Something something."

It's rare seeing human twins, let alone triplets. However, during the early days of android adoption, there will probably be a limited number of models, so seeing three or four of the same "person" in one place will become common.

Having to wait in line at an emergency room, or more than a day to see a specialist doctor, will be an alien concept in the future because machines with the same diagnostic and treatment skills as human doctors will be everywhere. Your robot butler could set your broken arm in your living room.

If machines get better at teaching than humans, it will matter a lot less to you as a parent what the quality of the public schools are in your area.

Facebook has definitely gotten worse. 90% of the content is now either adverts, or from groups I don't even follow. I prefer 2007-era Facebook. I follow some FB groups just because they put images of hot women in my feed. Ever since the last version of Midjourney was released, I've noticed some of ...

Facebook has definitely gotten worse.

Alphafold's error rate is higher than most people realize. The estimate is that AlphaFold structures have somewhere between 7 and 20% of the side chain residues in an incorrect orientation - sometimes slightly off, sometimes way off. Those percentages seem to be the same for functional side chains a...

Here's a recent, apropos article about the uselessness of expert opinions about future economic trends.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/12/23/busi ... -2024.html

Enrollment in computer science majors is at all-time highs in American colleges. https://www.insidehighered.com/news/students/academics/2023/11/02/high-demand-comp-sci-degrees-leads-enrollment-caps I see a potential catastrophe if the trend continues, but in a few years LLMs surpass humans at comput...