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"What is less obvious is that they may also share a fan base — a quirky subgroup of consumers who are systemically drawn to flops and whose reliably contrarian tastes can be used to forecast bad bets in retail sales, real estate and even politics. These people are known as “harbingers of failure.”": https://www.nytimes.com/2020/03/05/opinion/harbinger-failure.html In contrast, my tastes are usually dead-accurate predictors of success.
May 23 2020 07:40 PM
  • starspawn0's Photo
    ... a while, even before then. There are all sorts of graphical representations of nature that people have tried in the past, where nature is either assumed discrete at some baseline level; or, where through some kind of limit process these graphs "converge" to our universe. So, whatever is good and true about the *new* work Wolfram has presented, it's not due to the facts that nature can be represented as some kind "program"; it's due to the
    May 23 2020 11:23 PM
  • starspawn0's Photo
    details of how that program actually works, and how closely it fits observed phenomena. That said, I haven't bothered to look into it carefully. It's not really my area of research, anyways, so I will defer to people like John Baez and Sean Carroll. My suspicion is that reading between the lines, you will see them saying, "That's more like what we want to see. Not vague suggestions of nature-as-program; but actual, testable theories about how it works."
    May 23 2020 11:26 PM
  • tomasth's Photo
    The effect following a human level AI would certainly seem to change humanity itself.

    Anytime soon is more then 20 years ?
    May 24 2020 10:03 AM