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Yuli Ban

There's a good chance that we're within a year of seeing the first coherent novella written by AI. If OpenAI can pull it off, then I will fully believe that AI will be able to pass the classical Turing Test within two years. I've said before that narrative understanding (i.e. understanding the flow from beginning > middle > end) is a big issue for AI, but GPT-2 surprised me in how well it followed this pattern.
Apr 15 2019 02:11 PM
  • Alislaws's Photo
    Alislaws
    Or would trying to build a framework (defining ecurring characters and getting the AI to refer back to what it already wrote etc.) essentially put us back to trying to manually build rules based systems?
    Apr 15 2019 03:42 PM
  • Casey's Photo
    Casey
    Hmm, I don't really understand why novels would be a lot further off than novellas. If AI reaches the point where it can generate a coherent novella, shouldn't a coherent novel not be too far behind? I wouldn't think there's a huge difference between 15,000 words and 40,000.
    Apr 15 2019 08:42 PM
  • Yuli Ban's Photo
    Yuli Ban
    After a certain point, the complexity of that work begins increasing. It's a lot easier to stay narratively consistent when you're writing something that's 5,000 words long compared to something that's 50,000 words long, and ditto with something that's 500,000 words long.
    Apr 15 2019 10:30 PM
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Yuli Ban

The very way I use a computer gives me future shock. Jumping from tab to tab, website to website at high speed, eviscerating my attention span— it reminds me of transhumanist art pieces.
Apr 01 2019 06:30 PM
  • Yuli Ban's Photo
    Yuli Ban
    When it's commercialized, I will be an early adopter of cyberkinetic controllers. I'd love nothing more than to navigate the internet via BCIs.
    Apr 01 2019 06:36 PM
  • Outlook's Photo
    Outlook
    My attention span is dead too. For me, it's how many weird rabbit holes you could fall into on a browsing spree, ending up on the wikipedia page of some murder victim at 3am.
    Apr 02 2019 04:13 AM
  • Alislaws's Photo
    Alislaws
    That doesn't sound like an attention span issue? Unless you're reading only a few lines of each Wikipedia page before being distracted by a link?
    Apr 02 2019 10:36 AM
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Yuli Ban

5 years ago this month, I became a "Born Again Singularitarian". I can't believe it's been five years already.
Mar 30 2019 04:18 PM
  • Yuli Ban's Photo
    Yuli Ban
    It's a tongue in cheek term, first of all.
    Mar 31 2019 12:58 AM
  • Yuli Ban's Photo
    Yuli Ban
    When I realized how transformative near-future technology would be, all of a sudden I had an epiphany about how futuristic modern life was and how much more futuristic it was (rightfully) going to get. Virtually overnight, my perception of dates like "2050" and "2100" went from "more advanced version of today" to "indescribably different epoch of existence."
    Mar 31 2019 01:00 AM
  • Yuli Ban's Photo
    Yuli Ban
    Before then, I didn't think of modern life as being all that technologically advanced and I completely took a lot of things for granted— the Emotiv Insight EEG headset amazed me, as did the Oculus Rift, but everything else felt humdrum. Afterwards, even something as simple as air conditioning blows my mind because it's something I know my grandparents didn't have growing up.
    Mar 31 2019 01:02 AM
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Yuli Ban

Latest video from Boston Dynamics: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=5iV_hB08Uns
Mar 28 2019 08:06 PM
  • Raklian's Photo
    Raklian
    According to some, it's just twerkin'.

    XD
    Mar 28 2019 09:55 PM
  • tomasth's Photo
    tomasth
    Why suction and not holding with arms ?
    Aren't there industrial roboys that can do everything better then in the video , already ?

    Mar 29 2019 05:54 AM
  • Erowind's Photo
    Erowind
    I think the benifit of Boston Dynamics robots here is that they could be applied to workplaces already designed for humans without needed to completely redesign any given factory for existing industrial automation. One could also put a bot similar to this in a small business that can't afford existing industrial automation or in any business where full industrial automation would be overkill.
    Mar 29 2019 06:14 AM
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Yuli Ban

The Future Timeline forums are officially 10 years old (if you include the old forum)
Mar 26 2019 02:45 AM
  • Outlook's Photo
    Outlook
    Those are pre-cosmic times, nothing of true import.
    Mar 26 2019 03:29 AM
  • Future historian's Photo
    Future historian
    It would be amazing if someone went through and did a summery of what people thought would occur by 2019
    Mar 26 2019 06:39 AM
  • Erowind's Photo
    Erowind
    Here's hoping this community is still here in 2029. Even if forums inevitably die my hope is that we can all still chat on some platform into the foreseeable future. Not trying to be morbid but given how forums have been dying en masse since social media aggregated everything I'm concerned about this place on decades long timescales.
    Mar 26 2019 06:42 AM
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Yuli Ban

Democrats are imploding for the second time since 2016. The MSM is *desperately* pushing Beto and Biden instead of Bernie— you know, the man who is actually capable of resolving this mess and making America great again.
Mar 25 2019 09:23 PM
  • Raklian's Photo
    Raklian
    Lemme guess, they are too obsessed with the notion that centrists can only win elections.
    Mar 25 2019 09:45 PM
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Yuli Ban

Happy Spring Day. Hop on some springs to celebrate the equinox!
Mar 20 2019 09:42 PM
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Yuli Ban

It's been 13 years since 2006?? Where did the time go?
Mar 18 2019 01:39 PM
  • wjfox's Photo
    wjfox
    George Bush was President. I used to laugh at all the ridiculously dumb things he said, though he was pretty tame compared to Trump.


    Mar 18 2019 02:15 PM
  • Outlook's Photo
    Outlook
    I was 7 back then so I have no concept of the timespan like you seniors do. It's actually near the start of my conscious life, damn.
    Mar 19 2019 03:52 AM
  • Erowind's Photo
    Erowind
    I was 9 years old in 2006. I would have been playing my ps2 and questioning god for the first time around then. Catholic school was a trip.
    Mar 19 2019 10:28 AM
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Yuli Ban

I realized I only care about media synthesis. AGI is for backing up civilization, but otherwise when it comes to AI, I only need competent synthesizer algorithms to be satisfied with the Future.
Mar 15 2019 02:46 AM
  • tomasth's Photo
    tomasth
    But to explor that you need to live longer , and in a post scarcity society.
    Mar 15 2019 06:46 AM
  • Erowind's Photo
    Erowind
    Longevity is key.
    Mar 15 2019 04:56 PM
  • Yuli Ban's Photo
    Yuli Ban
    Media synthesis tech will likely reach adolescence by the time I'm 30 and will be completely mature by the time I'm 40. I'd still have roughly 40 more years to enjoy it, sans longevity tech. That's what I'm referring to.
    Mar 15 2019 11:52 PM
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Yuli Ban

The World Wide Web has turned 30 today! http://info.cern.ch/hypertext/WWW/TheProject.html
Mar 12 2019 04:49 AM
  • Erowind's Photo
    Erowind
    but it will happen. At the very least internet culture will fracture between corporate and non-corporate lines one day and the networks will almost completely diverge. Futuretimeline falls into the old web in my mind. It's ads are relatively non intrusive and is modestly sized and owned by an individual encouraging decentralization.
    Mar 12 2019 12:56 PM
  • Alislaws's Photo
    Alislaws
    I hope you are right!

    Mar 12 2019 02:55 PM
  • Outlook's Photo
    Outlook
    We need to delete the world wide web before it goes too far.
    Mar 12 2019 07:53 PM
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  • Erowind's Photo
    Erowind
    Did the operator control each individual leg manually or was their computer assistance?
    Mar 10 2019 10:02 PM
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Yuli Ban

One of my favorite pastimes is imagining robots doing various tasks and trying to figure out what it would take to work. Today's completely not-disgusting topic: robots cleaning all that gunk and build-up around the crevices of your house. I don't know why crevice scum and dust like that disgusts me, but it does. Luckily, it wouldn't take a lot for a robot to clean it.
Mar 03 2019 07:07 PM
  • funkervogt's Photo
    funkervogt
    The robots should be able to use the same abrasive powders and bristle brushes that humans use to clean bathroom fixtures.
    Mar 04 2019 03:43 PM
  • Alislaws's Photo
    Alislaws
    Yeah, but rather than have it use a human hand to hold the toothbrush it uses to scrub all the grout in your bathroom. It would make more sense to give it an electric toothbrush finger attachment.
    Mar 04 2019 03:58 PM
  • Alislaws's Photo
    Alislaws
    um, I meant human shaped hand, not a robot holding a severed human hand holding a toothbrush. That would be a different future.
    Mar 04 2019 03:59 PM
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Yuli Ban

Looks like cooler heads are prevailing in India & Pakistan. Thank goodness!
Mar 01 2019 07:54 PM
  • Raklian's Photo
    Raklian
    Well, the realization that nuclear weapons MAY be involved is probably why.
    Mar 01 2019 10:30 PM
  • Sciencerocks's Photo
    Sciencerocks
    nuclear weapons are the biggest cause for semi world peace we have enjoyed these past 70 years. If it wasn't for them we'd probably have had another world war or two.
    Mar 01 2019 11:00 PM
  • Erowind's Photo
    Erowind
    On one hand MAD has worked, but on the other hand there have been a lot of close calls and there probably are old soviet warheads on the black market too. The fact that we haven't blown each other up yet is the greatest circumstantial evidence for quantum immortality imo. Quantum immortality if true doesn't imply true immortality. Rarely is death binary, we could still go extinct progressively even if it were true.
    Mar 01 2019 11:13 PM
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Yuli Ban

Here's a fascinating Soviet animation from 1977 about an artificially intelligent tank: https://www.youtube.com/watch?v=NnJbtbh4tDE
Feb 27 2019 11:41 PM
  • Erowind's Photo
    Erowind
    That animation style is very unique
    Feb 28 2019 12:28 AM
  • Outlook's Photo
    Outlook
    It has some Fantastic Planet vibes.
    Feb 28 2019 04:46 AM
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Yuli Ban

In all honesty, I doubt the crisis in Kashmir will escalate.
Feb 27 2019 09:37 PM