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Contradiction in the 2050s


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#1
Jakob

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I've been rereading part of the timeline and I noticed a bit of a problem with the 2050s section. The article

"Moore's Law reaches stunning new levels" (under the 2053 section) says that "Due to Moore's Law, the average desktop computer now has the raw processing power equivalent to all of the human brains on Earth combined." Yet "Computers reach another milestone", which is under 2057, says the same thing: "Desktop PCs now have raw processing power equivalent to all of the human brains which ever existed on Earth". So which is it? 2053 or 2057?



#2
Ewan

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2053 is all people alive right now, 2057 is all people alive now & in the past (ie "human brains which ever existed"). The explanation is in the source below:

 

"Based on Moore's Law, individual PCs should be equal to all of the human brains on Earth by 2053 (see earlier in the timeline). Processing power doubles about every year – and the population of Earth in 2053 will be around nine billion – therefore, another four doublings will be enough to exceed 106 billion. This may even be a conservative estimate, as technologies may emerge which accelerate Moore's Law still further"


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#3
Jakob

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2053 is all people alive right now, 2057 is all people alive now & in the past (ie "human brains which ever existed"). The explanation is in the source below:

 

"Based on Moore's Law, individual PCs should be equal to all of the human brains on Earth by 2053 (see earlier in the timeline). Processing power doubles about every year – and the population of Earth in 2053 will be around nine billion – therefore, another four doublings will be enough to exceed 106 billion. This may even be a conservative estimate, as technologies may emerge which accelerate Moore's Law still further"

Thanks for the clarification. Silly me.






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