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Mexico Watch Thread

Mexico North America NAFTA Andrés Manuel López Obrador AMLO Donald Trump neoliberalism trade war economics immigration

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#81
caltrek

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DAMN

 

Obrador is winning by such a stupidly large amount, he literally has more votes than all the rest of the candidates combined. And let me remind you, this is in a flawed democracy/hybrid regime where he's part of the opposition. And not even the main opposition.

 

Not only that, but it looks like MORENA (Obrador's party) and its coalition now basically control 3/4 of the Chamber of Deputies.

 

He's basically winning in real life by how much Trump had to desperately claim he won.

 

 

It is not only that he won so convincingly, but also the historic nature of this win.  In 2000, Vicente Fox had broken the control of the country by PRI - a political party that had been in power in Mexico for much of the 20th century. Still, Fox was simply a conservative alternative to PRI.  Obrador seems to be truly of the left opposition to PRI, and much more based on leftist principles and policies.  No longer can PRI credibly claim to be the party of permanent revolution. 

 

A big challenge will be to deal with what are probably highly inflated expectations of what Obrador can accomplish.  While his party now appears to have solid control of the government, there is only so much he can do in the way of economic reforms.  It is highly doubtful to me that he can work miracles.  So I expect at some point frustration and disillusionment will set in.  To borrow a bit from anther poster of a different thread, Obrador can bring about reforms, not revolution.  It is the same old problem of trying to carry out revolution in one country.  Even an alliance with China will no doubt come with strings attached, and is not really something that will represent a dramatic break from the existing world order.  China has simply become another capitalist country, albeit one with a strong one-party system.  

 

So reform, but not revolution is in the cards.  I doubt that this will be enough to catapult Mexico above its current problems.  Still, the historic nature of this win provides a huge opportunity for at least incremental progress along reformist lines.  A big challenge will be to overcome the country's culture of corruption. The art of the bribe is well developed in Mexico, and one can see great temptations to cave into that mode of operation.   Yet, breaking from that mold might very well be impossible without resort to hugely repressive measures.  A lot will depend on the good will of those who have been recently elected to office. Honest behavior on their part can go far to break with the old ways of operating.

 

This also would appear to place Mexico solidly in the column of leftist countries in Latin America.  It now joins the ranks of Bolivia, Cuba, Nicaragua, and Venezuela in that regard.  It bucks the trend of recent reversals in Argentina, Brazil, Chile, and Honduras.  Moreover, unlike Cuba, it has achieved that status through strictly democratic means.  For now, its legitimacy is far greater than Venezuela in that regard. That is a truly exciting development.


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The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#82
Yuli Ban

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So AMLO's future Secretary of Foreign Affairs wants to reach out to Africa and China and protect Mexicans in the US.
 
This is shaping up to be good as hell.

And remember my friend, future events such as these will affect you in the future.


#83
caltrek

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Mexico Elects Leftist President

 

https://nonprofitqua...in-generations/

 

Extract

 

 

…Lastly, of course, López Obrador’s platform is vastly different. “The core promises of Mr. López Obrador’s campaign,” note Ahmed and Villegas are “to end corruption, reduce violence and address Mexico’s endemic poverty.”

 

In his victory statement, López Obrador said, “The state will cease to be a committee at the service of a minority and will represent all Mexicans, rich and poor, those who live in the country and in the city, migrants, believers and nonbelievers, to people of all philosophies and sexual preferences.” Mr. López Obrador has also, note Ahmed and Villegas, “vowed to cut his own salary and raise those of the lowest paid government workers, campaigned on a narrative of social change, including increased pensions for the elderly, educational grants for Mexico’s youth and additional support for farmers.”

 

Now whether López Obrador and the social movements that backed him can change Mexico remains to be seen. Hopes are high, which also means that the risk of disillusionment is great.

amlo-zocalo.jpg

By Eneas De Troya from Mexico City, México (AMLO se afilia a MORENA en el Zócalo)

[CC BY 2.0], via Wikimedia Commons


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#84
Yuli Ban

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Three reasons why it's time for Mexico to pivot to China

With López Obrador’s landslide victory in the Mexican election, the Sino-Mexican partnership will almost certainly deepen further.


And remember my friend, future events such as these will affect you in the future.


#85
Sciencerocks

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/


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#86
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Mexico turns to Russia for cheaper wheat amid trade tension with US

Mexico's grain millers are reportedly shifting their trade priorities to be less dependent on U.S. exports ahead of possible retaliatory tariffs by the Mexican government in response to the Trump administration's trade moves, a decision that could have major effects on the domestic grain market.
Reuters reports that three major grain milling companies in Mexico that have purchased the vast majority of their wheat and other grains from the U.S. are looking at Russian suppliers and other options in Latin America.
Mexican companies fear U.S. grain prices could rise if their government responds to U.S. tariffs on steel and aluminum with reciprocal tariffs targeting U.S. wheat and other grain exports, the news service added.


And remember my friend, future events such as these will affect you in the future.


#87
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Mexico's new president: 'Nobody will threaten us' with a wall
Source: The Hill
BY RAFAEL BERNAL - 08/06/18 01:47 PM EDT

 

The winner of Mexico's presidential election told a group of engineers Monday that the country will not be threatened under his administration, in a thinly veiled reference to President Trump's trade and border policies, according to Reforma newspaper.

"The purpose is that Mexico will become a power and that the correlation of strength will change, nobody will threaten us that they'll close the borders or that they'll militarize the border, that a wall will be built," said Andrés Manuel López Obrador, who's also known as AMLO, according to the newspaper.

López Obrador is expected to be officially named president-elect Wednesday, and sworn in as president on Dec. 1.

He won the July 1 election with 53 percent of the vote, a massive landslide by Mexican standards, where no candidate had come close to the 50 percent mark since the country's democratic transition.

 

Read more: http://thehill.com/l...-us-with-a-wall



#88
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Inspector General of the U.S. Department of Justice will investigate a DEA program linked to massacres in Mexico

 

https://www.propubli...acres-en-méxico

 

Introduction:

 

(ProPublica) Last Tuesday, the inspector general of the Justice Department announced that his office would investigate a Drug Control Administration program linked to attacks by drug cartels in Mexico that left dozens, or even hundreds, of people dead or missing.

 

In an official letter to Democratic congressmen, Inspector General Michael E. Horowitz said that an internal review highlighted the DEA's Sensitive Investigative Units program as a "high-risk area." He also mentioned that his office would evaluate the administration of the program by that Agency and if there are internal controls to guarantee that the "operations, information and personnel of the DEA are protected against any commitment".

 

Under the program, the DEA authorizes and trains teams of Mexican federal police, known as SIU, in charge of carrying out operations conducted by the DEA in Mexico. Last year, ProPublica and National Geographic reported that at least two of those operations had been compromised, in addition to triggering terrible spasms of violence that included an incident less than an hour from the Mexico-Texas border. A report in June 2017 revealed that an attack was shot in the small hamlet of Allende, Coahuila, in 2011, after confidential information obtained during a DEA operation wound up in the hands of the heads of certain posters. These, in turn, subsequently ordered a wave of reprisals against the suspected traitors.

 

second report in December investigated the attack of a sign at the Holiday Inn in Monterrey, Mexico, also discovering that it was linked to a DEA surveillance operation. In that event four guests and a hotel employee were kidnapped without having anything to do with the drug trafficking. These people have not reappeared.

 

In both operations, the DEA SIU in Mexico was involved. ProPublica's reports detailed that the Mexican SIU had a documented record over the course of a year indicating that it revealed information to violent and powerful drug traffickers. Since 2000, at least two supervisors were killed after members of the SIU revealed to drug dealers both their identities and their location, according to what current and previous DEA agents have said who worked in Mexico.

20180919-dea-ig-3x2.jpg

Michael Horowitz, Inspector General of the Department of Justice, informed that his office would review the program marked with "high risk", in order to ensure that adequate internal controls exist. 

(Chip Somodevilla / Getty Images)


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#89
Sciencerocks

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Mexico will ask UN for help handling refugee applications

The Mexican government said Thursday it would seek help from the United Nations refugee agency in coordinating efforts with other Central American governments to manage immigrants arriving to Mexico’s southern border seeking refugee status.

The measure “seeks to guarantee the security and integrity of migrants, particularly minors, the elderly and women, and to avoid people being deceived by international criminal organizations dedicated to human trafficking, who put their lives in danger,” the Mexico's Foreign Ministry said in a statement.

“Finally, the government of Mexico reiterates its commitments with the international community's efforts in favor of safe, orderly and regular migration; and with the human rights of migrants. At the same time, it expresses its conviction that dialogue and international cooperation among countries of origin, transit and destination of migrants are indispensable to confront the challenges that the migratory phenomenon implies,” it added.

The statement follows President Trump’s Twitter warning earlier Thursday in which he said he could take military action to close the southern border if Mexico does not take action to stop the “onslaught,” referring to a caravan of over 4,000 migrants making their way north from Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador.

"I am watching the Democrat Party led (because they want Open Borders and existing weak laws) assault on our country by Guatemala, Honduras and El Salvador, whose leaders are doing little to stop this large flow of people, INCLUDING MANY CRIMINALS, from entering Mexico to U.S.," he said in an initial tweet.

“In addition to stopping all payments to these countries, which seem to have almost no control over their population, I must, in the strongest of terms, ask Mexico to stop this onslaught — and if unable to do so I will call up the U.S. Military and CLOSE OUR SOUTHERN BORDER!” he said in a follow-up post.

“The assault on our country at our Southern Border, including the Criminal elements and DRUGS pouring in, is far more important to me, as President, than Trade or the USMCA,” he added, referring to the U.S.-Mexico-Canada Agreement on trade. “Hopefully Mexico will stop this onslaught at their Northern Border. All Democrats fault for weak laws!”

 

https://thehill.com/...ee-applications



#90
Sciencerocks

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Incoming Mexico gov't: No deal to host US asylum-seekers

MEXICO CITY (AP) — Mexico's incoming government denied a report Saturday that it plans to allow asylum-seekers to wait in the country while their claims move through U.S. immigration courts, one of several options the Trump administration has been pursuing in negotiations for months. "There is no agreement of any sort between the incoming Mexican government and the U.S. government," future Interior Minister Olga Sanchez said in a statement. Hours earlier, The Washington Post quoted her as saying that the incoming administration of Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador had agreed to allow migrants to stay in Mexico as a "short-term solution" while the U.S. considered their applications for asylum. Lopez Obrador will take office on Dec. 1. The statement shared with The Associated Press said the future government's principal concern related to the migrants is their well-being while in Mexico. Sanchez said the government does not plan for Mexico to become a "third safe country." The Washington Post reported Saturday that the administration of U.S. President Donald Trump has won support from the Mexican president-elect's team for a plan dubbed "Remain in Mexico."

 

http://www.wistv.com...asylum-seekers/



#91
Sciencerocks

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Lopez Obrador sworn in as Mexico's president
Source: The Hill

 

Mexican President Andrés Manuel López Obrador was officially sworn in Saturday, becoming the country’s first leftist president in more than 70 years.

López Obrador pledged “a peaceful and orderly transition, but one that is deep and radical ... because we will end the corruption and impunity that prevent Mexico’s rebirth,” according to the Associated Press.

The 65-year-old political veteran has vowed to transform Mexico and reboot the country’s sluggish economy. A left-leaning populist, he has said that he intends to build more state-owned oil refineries and encourage Mexicans to consume more domestic products during his administration.

“Mexico’s crisis originated not only with the failure of the neoliberal policies applied over the last 36 years,” he said in his inaugural speech, “but also in the prevalence of the filthiest corruption.”

 

Read more: https://thehill.com/...xicos-president



#92
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Mexico's supreme court orders domestic workers formalized

UPDATED 3 HOURS 21 MINUTES AGO

MEXICO CITY

Mexico's Supreme Court on Wednesday declared unconstitutional the optional nature of enrolling domestic workers in the social security system and given the government three years to build a system making it mandatory.

It would be a dramatic change for Mexico's more than 2 million housekeepers, gardeners, cooks and drivers. The change would not only mean employers pay into the country's social security system, but the workers would gain access to Mexico's public health system.

A statement from the court said the current system results in discrimination, especially for women who represent nine of 10 domestic workers in Mexico.

The court called on the social security administration to implement a pilot program by the first half of 2019 and to have a functioning obligatory system in place in three years.

 

 

Read more: https://www.thestate...e222692510.html


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#93
caltrek

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Helicopter crash kills governor and ex-governor of Puebla, Mexico, officials say

 

https://www.latimes....1224-story.html

 

Introduction:

(Los Angeles Times) A helicopter crash Monday took the lives of the governor of Mexico’s south-central Puebla state and her husband, a federal senator and former state governor, authorities said.

 

In a pair of Twitter messages, Mexican President Andres Manuel Lopez Obrador confirmed the deaths of Gov. Martha Erika Alonso and Sen. Rafael Moreno and vowed an investigation into what he called an accident.

 

“Personally, my deepest condolences to the families” of the dead, he wrote. “I take on the commitment to investigate the causes, tell the truth about what happened and to act accordingly.”

 

No further information was available on the cause of the crash, which, according to accounts in the Mexican media, occurred in a rural area of the state after the helicopter took off from the city of Puebla, the state capital.

 

There was no definitive word on the fate of the pilot or another passenger reportedly on board.


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#94
Sciencerocks

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Mexican mayor gunned down after being sworn in
Source: Associated Press

THE ASSOCIATED PRESS

JANUARY 01, 2019 03:36 PM,

UPDATED 4 HOURS 49 MINUTES AGO

MEXICO CITY


The governor of Mexico's southern state of Oaxaca is condemning the slaying of a local mayor shortly after he took office.

Gov. Alejandro Murat confirmed the killing of Tlaxiaco Mayor Alejandro Aparicio Santiago via his Twitter account Tuesday. He promised a thorough investigation and said a suspect was already in custody.

The state prosecutor's office said in a statement that Aparicio had just been sworn in and was headed to a meeting at city hall when an unknown number of gunmen opened fire at him. He was taken to a hospital, but died there later.

Tlaxiaco is the hometown of Yalitza Aparicio, star of the film "Roma." It was not immediately known if she was related to the victim.

https://www.kansasci...e223805230.html

 

 

Read more: https://www.kansasci...e223805230.html



#95
caltrek

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At Least 66 Killed as Pipeline Explosion Rocks Central Mexico

 

https://www.commondr...-central-mexico

 

Introduction:

(Common Dreams) Local residents were advised to take precautions from a lingering toxic cloud on Saturday as authorities in the central Mexican state of Hildalgo said the death toll from a gasoline pipeline explosion had risen to 66.

 

The deadly fireball on Friday night in the town of Tlahuelilpan left another 76 wounded, seven of whom were less than 18 years old, said Gov. Omar Fayad.

 

The cause of the explosion, said state oil company Petroleos Mexicanos (Pemex), was a rupture caused by illegal tapping of the pipeline.


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#96
Sciencerocks

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Nine News Australia
‏Verified account @9NewsAUS
2m2 minutes ago

At least 73 people are dead and 74 are injured after a punctured pipeline exploded in Hidalgo, Mexico.



#97
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Mexico sets record with more than 33,000 homicides in 2018

 

 

(CNN)Mexico recorded more than 33,000 homicides in 2018, the highest number since the country began keeping records.

 
There were 33,341 homicides in 2018, according to a report released by Mexico's Secretariat of Security and Citizen Protection. That compares with 28,866 homicides in 2017 -- an increase of more than 15%.
 
The number of femicides -- the killing of females because of their gender -- also climbed, reaching 861 in 2018, compared with 759 in 2017.
 
Many of the homicides are linked to drug cartel violence. The Mexican government has been fighting a war with drug traffickers since 2006. At the same time, drug cartels have fought each other for control of territory.

 

https://www.cnn.com/...2018/index.html


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#98
caltrek

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Taking Stock: Recalling the Zapatista Movement in Mexico at 25

 

https://nonprofitqua...n-mexico-at-25/

 

Extract:

(Nonprofit Quarterly) A little over 25 years ago, on January 1, 1994, the North American Free Trade Agreement (NAFTA) between the US, Canada, and Mexico came into effect. On this day, too, notes Andalusia Knoll in Teen Vogue, a “group of indigenous Mayan guerrillas launched a coordinated attack on cities and towns across the southern state of Chiapas, Mexico.” They called themselves the Ejército Zapatista de Liberación Nacional (Zapatista Army of National Liberation or EZLN).

 

…The Zapatistas, armed with machetes and antiquated rifles, took the city hall building in San Cristóbal de las Casas that New Year’s Day. Between 600 and 2,000 Mayan guerrillas, largely between 18 and 30 years old, participated in the uprising. They read a declaration of war from the Lacandon Jungle, proclaiming “Ya basta,” which translates to “Enough is enough.”

 

…the military conflict lasted a scant 11 days. The real objective was to shift the balance of forces within Mexican civil society, and, as Chris Galbraith and Gerardo Ortero wrote in Latin American Perspectives, “push for democratization from the bottom up.” And while the EZLN did not achieve complete success, they did make significant gains. Arguably, the EZLN even helped propel a change in the Mexican state, as the ruling party’s 71-year control of the presidency came to an end in 2000, six years after the initial uprising.

 

…In 2001…Mexico’s Congress passed an indigenous reform law, later ratified in the constitution. Gains were real, but also limited. The bill said indigenous communities are entitled to “preferential use of natural resources like wood and water on their territories to meet their own needs…the right to preserve and promote Indian languages and culture, and the power to elect [Indigenous] officials according to customs that often involve a vote by an open assembly, rather than by a secret ballot.” But there were plenty of loopholes.

 

Still, even if the Zapatistas haven’t achieved all their goals, as Knoll points out, Zapatistas have run local governments in five regions that are inhabited by 250,000 people. In these regions, Knoll notes,­ “the Zapatistas have built schools where there were none before and provide dental and essential medical services in communities where the people before had to walk many hours to get to a doctor.”

 


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#99
Sciencerocks

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Crime in Mexico: 8500 Homicides in First Quarter of 2019

April 15, 2019
 
Mexico-crime-increases-696x427.png

As President Trump declared a national emergency over the humanitarian and security crisis at the southern border, our southern neighbour Mexico is on track to record its most violent year on record, according to security experts.

The first quarter of 2019 would also be the most violent first three-month period of any year since the SESNSP started recording comparable statistics in 1997.

 
 

“With these statistics, we can see that the incidence of intentional homicides is not being reduced or contained, which has been identified as a priority objective in the security strategy of the current government,” explained Ricardo Márquez Blas, a high-ranking security official in an interview with Mexico News Daily.

 

https://saraacarter....uarter-of-2019/

 

war zone south of our border



#100
Yuli Ban

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^ Almost entirely because of drugs. If we legalized this stuff, the cartels would be defanged and lose the source of almost all of their revenue and the violence would stop and the people would stop coming. 

Few things in life are that simple. This is one of the things that really is. 


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Also tagged with one or more of these keywords: Mexico, North America, NAFTA, Andrés Manuel López Obrador, AMLO, Donald Trump, neoliberalism, trade war, economics, immigration

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