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More predictions for the timeline

predictions jakob

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23 replies to this topic

#21
Yuli Ban

Yuli Ban

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My prediction:  very powerful, non-invasive, wearable BCIs will be revealed -- in months to a year.  The tech already exists; what is uncertain is exactly when groups will find it prudent to share what they have created.  There are several issues in play:

 

* If the tech is revealed, other groups will immediately try to make their own -- perceived risk of failure will be lower.  It's therefore prudent to find a way to keep it hidden as long as possible, while making money from it.

 

* What if a country like China uses it on various classes of workers?

 

* Best to wait until there is some nice show-and-tell stuff -- e.g. a typing-by-thought app that really works, really fast.

Sounds cool, but this can't go on the timeline yet. There are no published sources, papers, or articles of these next-gen BCIs. Nothing that can be cited.


And remember my friend, future events such as these will affect you in the future.


#22
Erowind

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I really hope Starspawn's unannounced sources pay off and that there is a privacy focused open source offering eventually. Primitive but functional telepathy is a real leap forward.

#23
10 year march

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2040 China becomes a liberal democracy.

Since 1976 China slowly began reforming to capitalism.

By 1984 a new ideology of having a market and private sector alongside state owned enterprises emerged

In the 1990s wide scale sale of public assets occurred

In the 2000s China continued to liberalise there economy especially in regards to trade to enter the world trade organisation

In the 2010s China began selling off the states rice bowls (industrys owned as they provide mass employment)

By the mid to late 2020s Xi Jinping's health and power is declining by 2030 China has a new president who had never lived under socialism this factored with the economy almost all being in the private sector and international pressure causes China to abandon the idea of a one party state.

#24
Yuli Ban

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Unrealistic to me!

 

China's only means to survive now is either doubling down on one-party authoritarianism (which will end badly barring a certain black swan), or fracture into multiple smaller (though still very sizable) countries that would function as a general "Chinese Union".

 

It's the same truth India's going to have to face soon too: a country can't be stable with a population of over a billion people. They might even face it sooner because they're a multiparty democratic republic. 


And remember my friend, future events such as these will affect you in the future.






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