Jump to content

Welcome to FutureTimeline.forum
Register now to gain access to all of our features. Once registered and logged in, you will be able to create topics, post replies to existing threads, give reputation to your fellow members, get your own private messenger, post status updates, manage your profile and so much more. If you already have an account, login here - otherwise create an account for free today!
Photo

Your 2018 Predictions

2018 predictions technology science social politics AI artificial intelligence robotics military

  • Please log in to reply
40 replies to this topic

#21
TranscendingGod

TranscendingGod

    2020's the decade of our reckoning

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,886 posts
  • LocationGeorgia

India solidifies their position as the fifth largest economy in the world without being dependent on currency fluctuations.

Funny how i predicted this on the 23rd and a few days later it's all over the news. Guess you don't need to be a huge research firm to know simple stuff like this. 


  • Yuli Ban, Erowind and BasilBerylium like this

The growth of computation is doubly exponential growth. 


#22
Pisiu369

Pisiu369

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 806 posts

What are your predictions for the 2018 American Mid-Term elections? (Other than Yuli Ban's, I already saw his)



#23
Yuli Ban

Yuli Ban

    Born Again Singularitarian

  • Moderators
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 20,258 posts
  • LocationNew Orleans, LA

 

India solidifies their position as the fifth largest economy in the world without being dependent on currency fluctuations.

Funny how i predicted this on the 23rd and a few days later it's all over the news. Guess you don't need to be a huge research firm to know simple stuff like this. 

Speaking of such simple stuff, I'm starting to wonder if 2018 is the first time we'll see a conflict break out over freshwater access (perhaps in Yemen?).


And remember my friend, future events such as these will affect you in the future.


#24
Raklian

Raklian

    An Immortal In The Making

  • Moderators
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 6,976 posts
  • LocationRaleigh, NC

 

 

India solidifies their position as the fifth largest economy in the world without being dependent on currency fluctuations.

Funny how i predicted this on the 23rd and a few days later it's all over the news. Guess you don't need to be a huge research firm to know simple stuff like this. 

Speaking of such simple stuff, I'm starting to wonder if 2018 is the first time we'll see a conflict break out over freshwater access (perhaps in Yemen?).

 

 

Speaking of freshwater access, I wonder what breakthroughs we'll see in 2018 with regards to saltwater and brackish water desalination. Anyone in the know with the graphene membrane development thus far?


What are you without the sum of your parts?

#25
Casey

Casey

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 655 posts

 

One more:

 

  • The cost of whole-genome sequencing falls below $500/genome (7).

 

 

I know I'm missing something, but I looked over the page and couldn't find anything that talked about a price drop next year.

Great news just the same, since there hasn't been much news on the pricing front since the massive drop down to $1000 (from about $5000 if I remember correctly, though it's been a long time) around the very beginning of 2014.



#26
caltrek

caltrek

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 9,215 posts

Oh, why go through the trouble of original composition when it is so much easier to cut and paste.

 

 

 

(Los Angeles Times) Scientists make New Year’s resolutions like the rest of us, but their lists are just a little more ambitious.

 

In 2018, they plan to fly machines into the sun’s atmosphere, onto the surface of Mars and alongside an object 4 billion miles away in the Kuiper belt. They’ll deploy a gene-editing system inside the cells of living people to fight a cancer-causing virus. They’ll try to see the edge of a black hole, and to win seats in Congress.

 

And that’s only some of what they have in store.

 

 

Here are 11 science stories we can’t wait to follow in 2018 (see link provided below).

 

http://www.latimes.c...-htmlstory.html


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#27
Jakob

Jakob

    Groveling Goblin

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 6,066 posts

 

Oh, why go through the trouble of original composition when it is so much easier to cut and paste.

Not to  mention boost your post count with ease while some of us try to hand-pick futuristic articles and write original content...

 

xD



#28
caltrek

caltrek

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 9,215 posts

^^^ *Plays violin in background*

 

It is called "citation of evidence."

 

Arbitrary definitions of "futuristic articles" limit your content.  Don't blame me for your capriciousness.  


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#29
Jakob

Jakob

    Groveling Goblin

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 6,066 posts

^^^ *Plays violin in background*

 

It is called "citation of evidence."

 

Arbitrary definitions of "futuristic articles" limit your content.  Don't blame me for your capriciousness.  

This war is not yet over.



#30
Jakob

Jakob

    Groveling Goblin

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 6,066 posts

Oh. Maybe it is. 5350.



#31
Zaphod

Zaphod

    Esteemed Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 763 posts
  • LocationUK

So Prince Harry interviewed Demis Hassabis (CEO of DeepMind) on the radio this morning and asked him what he was looking forward to in technological development in 2018.

 

He said he was "looking forward to the first big science breakthrough that couldn't have been done unless you had AI, and I think that may happen in 2018 in a field like biology or chemistry"

 

I'm not sure if this is just something he is hoping for or something he knows about or has been working on. Either way it's  a very probable prediction coming from him.

 

I think this is what he was referring to - https://www.theguard...MP=share_btn_tw


  • wjfox and Yuli Ban like this

#32
caltrek

caltrek

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 9,215 posts

 

 

  • Economic growth continues, if still sluggish. There will not be a recession

Well I wouldn't be too sure about that one.

 

 

Looks like Yuli was proven correct on that one.


  • Yuli Ban likes this

The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#33
caltrek

caltrek

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 9,215 posts

True, but this time we really are approaching the peak of the capitalist cycle which a lot of economists are saying will be reached some time in the latter half of next year. Of course, who knows, right? But recessions occur every 8-11 years, on average. Certainly something will have happened by the end of 2020.

 

Ok, Joe didn't insist on it happening in 2018. Sadly, he may be right about "by then end of 2020."  


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#34
wjfox

wjfox

    Administrator

  • Administrators
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 10,071 posts
  • LocationLondon

 

2018

  • Completion of the 100,000 Genomes Project

 

Officially completed this week. :)


  • Zaphod, Casey, Yuli Ban and 1 other like this

#35
TranscendingGod

TranscendingGod

    2020's the decade of our reckoning

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,886 posts
  • LocationGeorgia

 

True, but this time we really are approaching the peak of the capitalist cycle which a lot of economists are saying will be reached some time in the latter half of next year. Of course, who knows, right? But recessions occur every 8-11 years, on average. Certainly something will have happened by the end of 2020.

 

Ok, Joe didn't insist on it happening in 2018. Sadly, he may be right about "by then end of 2020."  

 

The Great Recession was in 2008 and people have been saying that the next big one is right around the corner since I joined this forum. As long as the next recession is being predicted in "a few years" ad infinitum then the day will come when the doomsayers are inevitably vindicated. 


  • wjfox, Zaphod, Yuli Ban and 1 other like this

The growth of computation is doubly exponential growth. 


#36
Alislaws

Alislaws

    Democratic Socialist Materialist

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 1,801 posts
  • LocationLondon

the 8-11 years thing is not ​super ​consistent. At least for the UK. Unless the USA has been more regular? How do you define a "global" recession

 

Post Napoleonic Depression, 1812, 45 years to

1857-8 recession, 1857, 10 years to

1867-9 recession, 1867, 6 years to

Long Depression*, 1873 46 years to

1919-26 depression, 1919 11 years to

Great Depression, 1930 26 years to

1956 recession, 1956 5 years to

1961 recession, 1961 12 years to

Mid-1970s recessions, 1973 7 years to

Early 1980s recession, 1980 10 years to

Early 1990s recession, 1990 18 years to

Great Recession 2008, 12 years to

THE END OF THE WORLD IS NIGH 2020

 

Although that's partly cos the 2001 recession didn't technically go properly recessive in the UK? that would make it 12, 7, 10, 10, 8, ??

 

*Real GDP rose, Deflation stuff happened, no idea on the details, my history at school went into a lot of detail on the Angles, Saxons and Vikings when I was like 10, then basically skipped forward and spent the whole of high school looking at WW1 and WW2. The british had an empire? Nah? 



#37
Yuli Ban

Yuli Ban

    Born Again Singularitarian

  • Moderators
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 20,258 posts
  • LocationNew Orleans, LA

Color keys:
 
Green: Confirmed, true, or mostly-true
Blue: Cannot be determined at the present time, but possibly true; i.e., data not found. Could also qualify as "data will not be known until a future date, but very likely to be confirmed."
Yellow: Partially confirmed, or certain aspects are true but other aspects did not come true
Red: False
 
 
2017-2060

  • At some point during this period, the United States is struck by the most devastating earthquake in its history

2017-2037

  • At some point during this period, a major earthquake hits California

2017-2025

  • Worsening crisis in Yemen [Mostly due to the war rather than natural resources running out, which has made the entire thing so much worse]

2018-2048

2018

My Predictions

Some failed or contested predictions from previous years that are now successful
 
2015 > 2018

 

2016 > 2018
 

 

2017 > 2018

 


  • wjfox, Zaphod, Omosoap and 2 others like this

And remember my friend, future events such as these will affect you in the future.


#38
wjfox

wjfox

    Administrator

  • Administrators
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 10,071 posts
  • LocationLondon

 

 

 

A great rundown – thanks Yuli.

 

Regarding SSDs, I'd be interested to know what the highest available capacity is now. The most I've found so far is only 32TB.


  • Yuli Ban likes this

#39
Yuli Ban

Yuli Ban

    Born Again Singularitarian

  • Moderators
  • PipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPipPip
  • 20,258 posts
  • LocationNew Orleans, LA

Ah, I posted SD cards, not SSD storage.

 

The largest SSDs I've found are 100TB in size.


  • wjfox likes this

And remember my friend, future events such as these will affect you in the future.


#40
PhoenixRu

PhoenixRu

    Member

  • Members
  • PipPipPipPipPip
  • 413 posts

 

Color keys:
 
Green: Confirmed, true, or mostly-true
Blue: Cannot be determined at the present time, but possibly true; i.e., data not found. Could also qualify as "data will not be known until a future date, but very likely to be confirmed."
Yellow: Partially confirmed, or certain aspects are true but other aspects did not come true
Red: False
 
 
2017-2060

  • At some point during this period, the United States is struck by the most devastating earthquake in its history

2017-2037

  • At some point during this period, a major earthquake hits California

 

Why red? They're not yet false and therefore shoul be painted in blue.


  • Yuli Ban likes this





Also tagged with one or more of these keywords: 2018, predictions, technology, science, social, politics, AI, artificial intelligence, robotics, military

0 user(s) are reading this topic

0 members, 0 guests, 0 anonymous users