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2020 US Presidential Election


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#601
wjfox

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Health care, mass shootings, 2020 election causing Americans significant stress
 
5 November 2019
     
A year before the 2020 presidential election, Americans report various issues in the news as significant sources of stress, including health care, mass shootings and the upcoming election, according to this year's Stress in America™ survey by the American Psychological Association (APA). More than half of U.S. adults (56%) identify the 2020 presidential election as a significant stressor, an increase from the 52% of adults who reported the presidential election as a significant source of stress when asked in the months leading up to the 2016 contest.
 
The Stress in America™ survey was conducted between Aug. 1 and Sept. 3, 2019, by The Harris Poll among 3,617 adults living in the U.S.
 
According to this year's survey, around 7 in 10 adults (69%) say that health care is a significant source of stress -- nearly equal to the 71% who say mass shootings are a significant source of stress. Among adults who experience stress about health care at least sometimes (47%), the cost of health care is the most commonly cited source of that stress (64%). Adults with private insurance (71%) are more likely than those with public insurance (53%) to say the cost of health care causes them stress. More than half of adults overall (55%) worry that they will not be able to pay for health care services they may need in the future.
 
Mass shootings are the most common source of stress cited by U.S. adults in 2019, with more than 7 in 10 adults (71%) saying mass shootings are a significant source of stress in their lives. This is an increase from 2018, when more than 6 in 10 adults (62%) said mass shootings were a significant source of stress. By demographic, Hispanic adults are most likely to say mass shootings are a significant source of stress (84%), followed by black (79%), Asian (77%), Native American (71%) and white (66%) adults.
 
Stress related to climate change/global warming has increased significantly since last year (56% in 2019 vs. 51% in 2018). And more adults are reporting that widespread sexual harassment causes them stress today than said the same in 2018 (45% in 2019 vs. 39% in 2018).
 


#602
Jessica

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USC Dornsife/LA Times poll: Biden 28%, Warren 16%, Sanders 13%, Buttgieg 6%, Harris 4%
https://www.latimes....s-november-poll



Poll of 2,599 likely voters, conducted Oct. 21 - Nov. 3.


#603
Jessica

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Kaiser Family Foundation "Blue Wall Voices" project, Sep. 23-Oct. 15, 3222 RV in four states.


Michigan (n=767):

Approve 41 (strongly 24)
Disapprove 58 (strongly 49)


Minnesota (n=958):

Approve 42 (strongly 24)
Disapprove 58 (strongly 48)


Pennsylvania (n=752):

Approve 39 (strongly 26)
Disapprove 61 (strongly 51)


Wisconsin (n=745):

Approve 42 (strongly 26)
Disapprove 57 (strongly 49)



#604
caltrek

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Sanders Rallies The 99 Percent In New Hampshire

 

https://ourfuture.or...n-new-hampshire

 

Introduction:

 

(Our Future) “The one percent in this country is very powerful – no ifs, ands or maybes. But you know what? The 99 percent, when we stand together, is even more powerful.”

 

With these words, Sen. Bernie Sanders issued a rallying cry for a broad social movement – one centered on solidarity, more than a single candidate – to create a mandate for change in the 2020 presidential elections.

 

Sanders spoke to the hundreds of activists from New Hampshire, Vermont, Maine, Connecticut and New York who gathered at Monarch Farms in Claremont, New Hampshire for a conversation with him last Thursday. The event followed a People’s Issue Forum organized by People’s Action, Rights & Democracy (RAD), and the New Hampshire Youth Movement (NHYM).

 

This conversation featured frank discussions of what is at stake for voters around health care, workers’ rights, immigration and the environment. Sanders listened carefully as People’s Action members shared personal stories of environmental, racial and economic injustices in their communities.

 

“We’ve got to build an unprecedented grassroots movement,” Sanders said, “not only to beat the most dangerous president in modern American history, but we need that movement to transform our economy, our energy system and our government. And the only way we do that is when millions of people are prepared to stand up and fight.”

 

"Solidarity."

 

Do you think they mean as in a Sanders/Warren ticket?

 

Or do they mean a Warren/Sanders ticket?

 

I vote Sanders/Warren.  Sanders is like a tame house cat.  Warren is like a wild animal.  If the house cat dies - for whatever reason - better to have the tiger take over than the other way around.


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#605
Jessica

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Bloomberg to pass on Iowa, NH, focus on Super Tuesday states
 

WASHINGTON (AP) — Michael Bloomberg plans to skip early voting states like Iowa and New Hampshire if he launches a presidential bid and instead focus his efforts on the crush of states that vote on Super Tuesday and beyond. It’s a strategy that acknowledges the limitations of his likely entry into the race at this late stage and the opportunities afforded by the billionaire’s vast personal wealth.

Bloomberg adviser Howard Wolfson says other candidates already have a big head start in the first four states to vote — Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina — and Bloomberg needs to be realistic about where he can make up ground.

“If we run, we are confident we can win in states voting on Super Tuesday and beyond, where we will start on an even footing.”

Bloomberg’s team has moved swiftly to carve out space for the former New York City mayor. Bloomberg himself has called prominent Democrats to alert them to his likely run, and his staff is scrambling to meet fast-approaching primary filing deadlines.

 


https://apnews.com/6...836d0e013558815



#606
Jessica

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Quinnipiac Poll - NH: Biden 20%, Warren 16%, Buttigieg 15%, Sanders 14%, Gabbard 6%
https://poll.qu.edu/...?ReleaseID=3648


Nearly one-third (32 percent) of New Hampshire likely Democratic primary voters say the most important candidate quality in deciding who to vote for is "someone who can win the general election," followed by "honesty" at 24 percent, "someone who cares about people like you" at 18 percent, "good leadership skills" at 14 percent, and only 7 percent saying "experience in public office."

Perceived electability is helping Biden, as he leads the primary with 31 percent of the vote among those who say that electability is the most important candidate quality to them. Warren gets 20 percent of these "electability" voters, while Buttigieg receives 19 percent, and Sanders gets 6 percent.

From November 6 - 10, Quinnipiac University surveyed 1,134 New Hampshire likely Democratic primary voters with a margin of error of +/- 3.8 percentage points, including the design effect.

 

 



#607
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Global Strategy Group, Nov. 1-5, 1500 RV (1-month change)

Approve 41 (-3)
Disapprove 57 (+3)

Strongly approve 23 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 44 (-3)

Impeach Trump?

Yes 52 (nc)
No 41 (-2)

Regardless of whether you support or oppose impeachment, do you think Donald Trump has abused his power at any point as president?

Yes 62
No 33

Regardless of whether you support or oppose impeachment, do you think Donald Trump has committed a crime at any point as president?

Yes 54
No 38



#608
Jessica

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Mark Sanford suspends 2020 presidential campaign

Source: CNN


(CNN)Mark Sanford, the former South Carolina governor and congressman who two months ago launched a longshot primary challenge to President Donald Trump, suspended his candidacy Tuesday.

"I am suspending my race for the Presidency because impeachment has made my goal of making the debt, deficit and spending issue a part of this presidential debate impossible right now," Sanford said in a statement. "From day one, I was fully aware of how hard it would be to elevate these issues with a sitting president of my own party ignoring them. Impeachment noise has moved what was hard to herculean as nearly everything in Republican Party politics is currently viewed through the prism of impeachment."

Sanford -- who emerged as a vocal Republican critic of the President before losing his congressional seat in a GOP primary contest last year -- made the announcement during a press conference at the New Hampshire statehouse.

While he blamed the impeachment process, Sanford failed to gain traction during his short-lived primary challenge. Sanford was one of three Republicans running to unseat Trump; former Illinois Rep. Joe Walsh and former Massachusetts Gov. Bill Weld remain in the race.

 


Read more: https://www.cnn.com/...-bid/index.html



#609
caltrek

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Buttigieg Jumps to First Place in Latest Iowa Poll

 

https://www.courthou...test-iowa-poll/

 

Introduction:

 

DES MOINES, Iowa (Courthouse News) — Democratic presidential candidate Pete Buttigieg surged to the head of the pack among Iowa Democratic voters who are likely to attend their precinct caucus next February, according to a poll released Tuesday by Monmouth University, gaining 14 points since August and moving ahead of previous leader Joe Biden.

The mayor of South Bend, Indiana, was the top choice of 22% of Iowa Democrats surveyed Nov. 7-11, compared to just 8% in August.

 

He gained support among every major demographic group since late summer, the poll shows, including moderates, conservatives and liberals.

 

“Buttigieg is emerging as a top pick for a wide variety of Iowa Democrats,” Patrick Murray, director of the independent Monmouth University Polling Institute, said in a statement issued by the New Jersey university. “While he has made nominally bigger gains among older caucusgoers, you really can’t pigeonhole his support to one particular group. He is doing well with voters regardless of education or ideology.”

 

Former Vice President Biden was ranked second in the poll, backed by 19% of those interviewed, which was down from 26% in August. Massachusetts Senator Elizabeth Warren was the top pick of 18% of respondents, down 2 points since the summer. Vermont Senator Bernie Sanders saw an 8-point boost since August, now polling at 13% among Iowans.

 

 

Buttigieg?  Wow.


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#610
caltrek

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Can Bloomberg Buy The White House?

 

https://ourfuture.or...the-white-house

 

Introduction:

 

(Our Future) The 220-year-old Gracie Mansion, the official residence of New York’s mayors since 1942, hosted billionaire Michael Bloomberg for three terms. The first term began after Bloomberg, then the Republican candidate for mayor, spent an incredible (at the time) $74 million in 2001 to get himself elected. He spent, in effect, $99 for every vote he received.

 

Four years later, Bloomberg — who made his fortune selling high-tech information systems to Wall Street — had to spend even more to get himself re-elected. His 2005 campaign bill came to $85 million, about $112 per vote.

 

In 2009, the toughest sledding yet. Bloomberg first had to maneuver his way around term limits, then convince a distinctly unenthusiastic electorate to give him a majority. Against a lackluster Democratic Party candidate, Bloomberg won that majority, but just barely, with 51 percent of the vote.

 

That majority cost Bloomberg $102 million, or $174 a vote

 

Now Michael Bloomberg appears to be on the verge of running — as a Democrat — for the White House. Could he replicate his lavish New York City campaign spending at the national level? Could he possibly afford to shell $174 a vote nationwide — or even just $99 a vote?


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#611
Jessica

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Pennsylvania: Muhlenberg College, Nov. 4-9, 410 RV

Approve 40
Disapprove 56

Biden 52, Trump 43
Sanders 50, Trump 45
Warren 50, Trump 45

Trump deserves to be re-elected: 42/57

Approve of impeachment inquiry: 51/47

Impeach Trump: Yes 49, No 48

Muhlenberg is a very good pollster (rated A+ by 538).  Full results at https://www.muhlenbe...Report_ (1).pdf.



#612
Jessica

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AP/NORC, Oct. 15-28, 1032 adults (1-month change)

Approve 37 (-3)
Disapprove 60 (+1)

Strongly approve 20 (-4)
Strongly disapprove 44 (-2)



#613
Jessica

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Trump Plunges In Pennsylvania As 57% of Voters Don't Want Him Reelected

BY JASON EASLEY at Politicus USA

A new poll of Pennsylvania found that Trump’s approval rating is at 40%, and 57% think he doesn’t deserve reelection.

https://www.politicu...reelection.html

"SNIP.....

According to the Morning Call/Muhlenberg College poll:


Six in 10 state voters say Trump is dividing the country and not trustworthy, and more than half say he only cares about himself. And Pennsylvania voters are divided on whether he should be removed from office before next year’s election.

….

Among the field of Democrats seeking to succeed Trump, former Vice President Joe Biden performs the best in a head-to-head match-up, leading Trump 52% to 43%. Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders and Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren also topped Trump, 50% to 45%, though that result was within the poll’s 6 percentage point margin of error.

….

Among independents, 55% disapprove of Trump’s job performance and 33% approve. Among his fellow Republicans, 79% approve and 17% disapprove, and 92% of Democrats disapprove of Trump’s performance while 7% approve.

Joe Biden, from Scranton, remains the strongest Democratic candidate in Pennsylvania. The state’s swing voters are centrist, and Biden’s message plays perfectly in the Keystone State. The numbers also reveal that Elizabeth Warren is being plagued by some of the same gender gap issues that harmed Hillary Clinton in Pennsylvania.

 



#614
Jessica

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AJC poll: Trump faces tough re-election fight in Georgia
By Greg Bluestein
Tia Mitchell
The Atlanta Journal-Constitution

A majority of Georgians disapprove of President Donald Trump’s performance in the White House and he appears to be facing a hard fight against each of the five top Democratic candidates seeking to replace him, according to an exclusive Atlanta Journal-Constitution poll ...

The poll highlighted the sharp degree of polarization around Trump, who is the focus of public impeachment hearings that begin Wednesday. About 54% of registered Georgia voters disapprove of his record while 44% approve ...

The poll was conducted Oct. 30 to Nov. 8 by the University of Georgia’s School of Public and International Affairs and has a margin of error of 3 percentage points.

For Democrats, the most encouraging finding might be the shift of independents, a largely white bloc of voters that has traditionally leaned Republican. A majority of independents support the impeachment inquiry, and about 60% disapprove of Trump’s job performance ...

 


https://www.ajc.com/...IL1TEFW2r8pKN/#


#615
Jessica

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New Des Moines Register IOWA poll: Buttigieg 25%, Warren 16%, Biden & Sanders 15%,
Klobuchar 6%, Booker & Gabbard & Harris & Steyer & Yang 3%, Bloomberg 2%, all others 1% or less


Link to tweet




https://www.desmoine...low/4198100002/


#616
starspawn0

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https://mobile.twitt...877326346686464

Pete Buttigieg is a con man and believes in nothing. No Democrat should ever consider voting for him, and if you know someone who is considering it you need to help them see through his act.


https://mobile.twitt...877332034183170

Amusingly I've even gotten correspondence from someone arguing that Pete's claim to have been a country boy who had never seen "exposed brick" until he went to Harvard is a lie, because he grew up with it in his house. I really hope this becomes the scandal that undoes him.



#617
caltrek

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@ starspawn0: Random reactions to Buttigieg, or are you trying to make a point?


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#618
starspawn0

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I don't know Buttigieg well enough, but I read that article by Nathan J. Robinson (in fact, I posted a link to it earlier in this thread, as I recall) about him, and it rings true. Robinson describes him as a "careerist". I've known lots of careerists, and their main goal in life is about acquiring power -- I don't really understand why, as there are much better ways to live your life; but some people are attracted to it like cocaine or heroin.

For example, I don't buy Buttigieg's presenting himself as having unsophisticated origins; he came from a family of academics -- Notre Dame, no less -- within 90 minutes of Chicago. Maybe his enlisting in the military was even calculated for furthering his ascent to the top.

If the "brick-gate" story turns out to be true, it might be something that will keep him firmly in 4th-place, behind Sanders, Warren, and Biden.

#619
caltrek

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Thank you for that clarification.


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#620
caltrek

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Kamala Harris picks up major union endorsement

 

https://www.sfchroni...impression=true

 

Introduction:

 

(San Francisco Chronicle) WASHINGTON — California Sen. Kamala Harris is getting the presidential endorsement of the United Farm Workers, the labor group will announce Saturday.

 

The major endorsement, shared first with The Chronicle, is timed with the California Democratic Party Endorsing Convention in Long Beach, and comes as a shot in the arm as the Democrat’s campaign has struggled in recent months.

 

The powerhouse California-based farm workers labor group has a long history in progressive politics. Established by liberal organizing icons Cesar Chavez, Dolores Huerta and Gilbert Padilla, the union represents more than 10,000 agricultural workers in California and along the West Coast. The union also has a strong political grassroots presence in the Southwest.

 

The union’s executive board and leadership voted “overwhelmingly” to endorse Harris, UFW President Teresa Romero said in a statement shared with The Chronicle. The union did hear from other Democratic candidates before making their endorsement.

 

Huerta personally endorsed Harris earlier this year.


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls





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