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2020 US Presidential Election


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#681
Jessica

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The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Dec. 22-24, 1500 adults including 1240 RV

Adults:

Approve 40 (nc)
Disapprove 52 (+2)

Strongly approve 26 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 42 (+1)

Approve of impeachment? (previously: should the House impeach Trump?) Yes 49 (+2), No 41 (+2)

Remove Trump? Yes 44 (-3), No 41 (+3)


RV:

Approve 43 (-1)
Disapprove 54 (+1)

Strongly approve 31 (+2)
Strongly disapprove 46 (nc)

Approve of impeachment? Yes 49 (-1), No 45 (+2)

Remove Trump? Yes 47 (-3), No 44 (+2)

2020 (RV only): Generic D 47 (-2), Trump 42 (+2)

GCB (RV only): D 47 (-1), R 41 (+1)



#682
Jessica

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BERNIE SANDERS OUTPERFORMS JOE BIDEN IN HEAD TO HEAD MATCHUP WITH DONALD TRUMP, NEW POLL FINDS

https://www.newsweek...mp-poll-1478891

In a recent survey by Ipsos/Reuters, slightly more respondents said they would vote for Senator Bernie Sanders than former Vice President Joe Biden in the 2020 election against President Donald Trump.

Though the difference is within the margin of error (3.4 percentage points) 39 percent of the 1,108 adults surveyed between December 18 and 19 preferred Sanders over Trump, compared to 37 percent who preferred Biden.

...Recent surveys note growing indecision among Democratic voters and even declining favorability overall for candidates as the field has yet to coalesce around one or even two likely party nominees.

 

 



#683
Set and Meet Goals

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"https://m.youtube.co...h?v=r2UIUX14sZs"

#684
Jessica

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2020 National GE: Trump 46% (+1) Biden 45% . Trump 44% (+1) Bloomberg 43% . Trump 47% (+2) Sanders 45% . Trump 47% (+4) Warren 43% . Trump 45% (+4) Buttigieg 41% Zogby Analytics 12/5-8 https://zogbyanalytics.com/news/910-the-z



#685
Jessica

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Joe Biden- 32 (+1)
Bernie Sanders- 21 (-)
Elizabeth Warren- 14 (-1)
Pete Buttigieg- 8 (-1)
Mike Bloomberg- 6% (-)
Andrew Yang- 4% (-1)


https://morningconsu...cratic-primary/



#686
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Bernie Sanders Drops 7 Points In 2 Weeks With Early State Voters
Link to tweet



Support for Sanders has fallen seven points among Democratic primary voters in Iowa, Nevada, New Hampshire or South Carolina since our last survey conducted before the Democratic presidential debate on Dec. 19, as front-runner and former Vice President Joe Biden opens up a 16-point gap over the Vermont senator with those early-state voters.

– At a respective 32% and 21% in this latest tracking poll, the standings of Biden and Sanders are essentially unchanged among Democratic primary voters nationwide since early February.

– Buttigieg has risen from virtual obscurity in February to sit at 8% nationally, and while Warren has seen her support fall in recent months, her five-point increase since February places her as a top candidate.....

The negative view is that Sen. Sanders has a high floor for his support, but he also appears to have firm ceiling on how high he can go. Pete Buttigieg has taken away voters who might be looking for a non-Biden option, and Elizabeth Warren has taken voters on the left who in 2016 went to Sanders by default. Buttigieg Warren and are equally well funded and they will be in the primary for the long term. If Sanders doesn’t win early, there is a chance that he doesn’t win at all.

 

 


#687
Jessica

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47-45 Biden/Trump
49-45 Trump/Buttigieg
49-44 Trump/Sanders
51-42 Trump/Warren

Favourables:

45-41 Biden
46-47 Trump
32-38 Buttigieg
37-48 Warren
35-52 Sanders
 

Quote
This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy, Inc. of Jacksonville, Florida from December 11 through December 16, 2019. A total of 625 registered Florida voters were interviewed live by telephone statewide.

https://www.politico...7f-5eeea2dc0001



#688
Jessica

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49-45 Biden/Trump
47-45 Trump/Buttigieg
48-44 Trump/Warren
51-45 Trump/Sanders

Favourables:

51-33 Biden
33-30 Buttigieg
45-48 Trump
36-51 Warren
35-52 Sanders
 

Quote
This poll was conducted by Mason-Dixon Polling & Strategy, Inc. of Jacksonville, Florida from December 12 through December 16, 2019. A total of 625 registered Virginia voters were interviewed live by telephone statewide.

https://www.richmond...56e210e408.html



#689
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Economist/YouGov national poll, conducted Dec. 28 - 31:

https://d25d2506sfb9...onTabReport.pdf

Dems:
Biden 29%
Sanders 19%
Warren 18%
Buttigieg 8%
Klobuchar 4%
Bloomberg 3%
Yang 3%
Gabbard 3%
Booker 2%
Steyer 2%
Castro 1%
Bennet, Williamson, Delaney, Patrick 0%

GOP:
Trump 89%
Weld 2%
Walsh 1%
De La Fuente 1%



#690
Set and Meet Goals

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I deleted this post as I believe I said something wrong.

#691
caltrek

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Sanders Announces 'Staggering' $34.5 Million Fourth-Quarter Haul, With Average Donation of Just $18.53

 

https://www.commondr...e-donation-just

 

Introduction:

 

(Common Dreams) Sen. Bernie Sanders' presidential campaign announced Thursday that it raised a "staggering" $34.5 million from an average donation of just $18.53 in the fourth quarter of 2019, the largest single-quarter fundraising haul of any candidate in the Democratic primary so far.

 

"Bernie Sanders is closing the year with the most donations of any candidate in history at this point in a presidential campaign," Faiz Shakir, Sanders' campaign manager, said in a statement, pointing to the five million individual contributions the senator amassed in 2019.

 

"He is proving each and every day that working class Americans are ready and willing to fully fund a campaign that stands up for them and takes on the biggest corporations and the wealthy," said Shakir. "You build a grassroots movement to beat Donald Trump and create a political revolution one $18 donation at a time, and that's exactly why Bernie is going to win."

 

Conclusion:

 

In the fourth quarter, "teacher" was the most common occupation of Sanders donors and Amazon, Starbucks, Walmart, the United States Postal Service, and Target were the most common employers. The Sanders campaign said it received 40,000 new donors on the final day of the fourth quarter, and 300,000 new donors in the fourth quarter overall.

 

Just two other Democratic presidential candidates—Pete Buttigieg and Andrew Yang—have announced their fundraising totals for the fourth quarter. Buttigieg said Wednesday that his campaign raised $24.7 million in the fourth quarter and Yang announced a haul of $16.5 million.


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#692
caltrek

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Julián Castro ends his presidential bid

 

https://www.vox.com/...ential-campaign

 

Extract:

 

(Vox) Julián Castro, former San Antonio mayor and President Obama’s secretary of Housing and Urban Development, has ended his bid for president.

 

…His plans placed a particular focus on empowering communities of color — he was the first candidate to create a plan to address policing, he wrote a proposal to clean up lead contamination, and he created a sweeping plan to increase Native Americans’ political power. He also advocated for a number of other issues few of his rivals have, including animal rightsprotecting the homeless, and ending hunger in the US.

 

Castro’s signature policy, however, was one of his first: a comprehensive immigration proposal that advocated for repealing Section 1325, the part of United States Code that makes “illegal entry” — entering the US without papers — a civil offense instead of a federal crime.


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#693
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RCP: “Trump Job Approval Hits 2-Year High”, with their average at 45.3%



#694
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By failing to follow Ohio law, Mr. Yang’s campaign has let down the Ohioans who wanted to support him. That’s truly unfortunate, but my oath requires me to uniformly carry out the law, and that’s what I’ll do.

 
486


#695
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New Mexico: Emerson, Jan. 3-6, 967 RV

Trump approval 39
Disapprove 54

Sanders 59, Trump 41
Buttigieg 55, Trump 45
Biden 54, Trump 46
Warren 54, Trump 46



#696
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Sanders: 28%
Biden: 27%
Yang: 10%
Warren: 8%
Buttigieg: 7%
Bloomberg: 3%
Klobuchar: 2%
Booker: 2%
Gabbard: 2%
Steyer: 1%
Bennet, Williamson, Patrick, Delaney: 0%

https://twitter.com/...338350959730688



#697
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https://morningconsu...cratic-primary/

Biden: 31% (-1)
Sanders: 23% (+2)
Warren: 14% (=)
Buttigieg: 8% (=)
Bloomberg: 7% (+1)
Steyer: 4% (+1)
Yang: 4% (=)
Klobuchar: 3% (=)
Booker: 2% (-1)
Gabbard: 2% (=)



#698
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Joshua Potash
@JoshuaPotash

 

"Happening now, in Mitch McConnell’s office:

Protesters are reciting Article II, Section 4 of the Constitution.

Which outlines the impeachment process."

 

https://twitter.com/...620082376232960



#699
caltrek

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Julián Castro Endorses Elizabeth Warren for President

 

https://www.politico...resident-094700

 

Introduction:

(Politico) Julián Castro on Monday threw his backing behind Sen. Elizabeth Warren for president, only days after suspending his own bid for the White House.

 

“There’s one candidate I see who’s unafraid to fight like hell to make sure America’s promise will be there for everyone, who will make sure that no matter where you live in America or where your family came from in the world, you have a path to opportunity, too,” Castro says in a video announcing his endorsement.

 

The video, posted on Twitter, shows the Obama-era Housing and Urban Development secretary and former San Antonio mayor apparently meeting with Warren in her home, telling the Massachusetts senator that he sees the same vision in her campaign as he did in his own, which sought to push the crowded Democratic primary field left on a number of issues. The video also emphasizes the influence “strong women” have had in his life.


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#700
Jessica

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Biden 46, Trump 46

Trump 47, Sanders 46

Trump 47, Warren 45

Trump 47, Buttigieg 44

Trump approval = 46/52

Interesting bit though about how most of the undecideds disapprove of Trump:

https://www.publicpo...ne-trumps-fate/






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