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2020 US Presidential Election


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#1841
Jessica

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Fox News: Biden+7

 

https://static.foxne...-13-Release.pdf

Biden 48
Trump 41

Aug 9-12, 1000 RV

Favorability ratings:

Biden: 53-43
Trump: 43-55
Harris: 44-40
Pence: 41-51



#1842
Jessica

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NPR/Marist, Aug. 3-11, 1261 adults including 1118 RV

Adults (change from late July):

Approve 39 (-3)
Disapprove 54 (-3)

Strongly approve 26 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 43 (-4)


RV (change from late June):

Approve 39 (-2)
Disapprove 55 (-2)

Strongly approve 27 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 46 (-3)

Biden 53 (+1), Trump 42 (-2)

GCB: D 49, R 43



#1843
Jessica

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Major storylines from our new national NBC/WSJ poll before the conventions begin on Monday: 1. Biden leads the national horserace by 9pts among reg voters -- down from 11pts in July Biden 50% (-1) Trump 41% (+1) Aug 9-12, +/- 3.3%


#1844
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CBS News/YouGov: Biden +10

 

Biden 52
Trump 42


https://www.cbsnews....linkId=97277969



#1845
caltrek

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Bernie Sanders and Barack Obama Agree: Trump's Attack on Postal Service a Direct Assault on 2020 Election

 

https://www.commondr...-direct-assault

 

Introduction:

(Common Dreams) Both Sen. Bernie Sanders and former President Barack Obama on Friday raised alarm over President Donald Trump's open attempt to sabotage the U.S. Postal Service by refusing to provide emergency funding in what critics call an effort to hamper the general election—in which millions of Americans are expected to vote by mail. 

 

In an email to supporters, Sanders denounced Trump's "outrageous" Thursday statement, in which the president dismissed Democratic leaders' demand for $3.5 billion in election assistance for states and $25 billion for the USPS in order to cope with major delivery delays. Trump told reporters that as long as the Postal Service isn't given emergency funding, universal mail-in voting—which the president has claimed would be a "rigged" system favoring Democrats—can't happen.

 

"He told the American people that he was going to defund and destroy the United States Postal Service so that, during this pandemic, they cannot have the opportunity to vote for president and in other important races," wrote Sanders. "In other words, he is forcing people to make a choice between getting sick and even dying, or casting a ballot."

 

"Elections should be about candidates making the best case they can to their constituents and letting the voters decide," the Vermont independent senator added. "What elections should not be about in a democratic society is winning because your opponents are prevented from voting. And that is exactly what Trump is doing right now."

 

Sanders' criticism was echoed by Obama, who called Trump's explicit attempt to discourage participation in the election "unheard of."


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#1846
caltrek

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The Supreme Court Just Rejected a Republican Effort to Make It Harder to Vote

 

https://www.vox.com/...se-john-roberts

 

Introduction:

(Vox) The Supreme Court just handed a defeat to the Republican Party, rejecting the GOP’s effort to make it harder for voters to cast absentee ballots in Rhode Island. Only three justices publicly dissented in Republican National Committee v. Common Cause Rhode Island — Justices Clarence Thomas, Samuel Alito, and Neil Gorsuch.

 

Republican National Committee is the GOP’s most recent effort to make it harder for voters to cast absentee ballots amid a pandemic that’s likely to discourage many voters from gathering at the polls.

 

Ordinarily, Rhode Island law requires absentee ballots to be signed by two witnesses or a notary. In a normal election, this is a fairly minor restriction on voters: Most individuals will have a fairly easy time finding two friends, neighbors, or coworkers who can act as witnesses — and fewer voters typically request absentee ballots in the first place when it is safe to go to the polls. During a time of social distancing, however, many voters could struggle to find the required witnesses.

 

Significantly, Rhode Island’s top election officials all agreed with the plaintiffs in this case that the witness requirement should be suspended during the state’s upcoming elections. After two voting rights groups and three voters sued Secretary of State Nellie Gorbea and the seven members of Rhode Island’s board of elections, seeking to waive the witness requirement in these elections, Gorbea and her fellow defendants consented to a federal court order — known as a “consent judgment” — giving the plaintiffs the relief they seek.

 

The only reason this case was in front of the justices is that the Republican Party, which isn’t even a party to the lawsuit, asked the Court to block this consent judgment. (Federal rules of judicial procedure sometimes allow a non-party to “intervene” in a lawsuit, and even to appeal a judgment that the parties do not wish to appeal.)


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#1847
Jessica

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New @CNN poll just out
 
Biden-Harris 50% Trump-Pence 46%


#1848
Cyber_Rebel

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This election is already reminding me of the 2016 disaster. What's amazing is the circumstances concerning this one in spite of the previous election, ie a pandemic, healthcare crisis, an economic crisis, mortgage crisis, eviction crisis, civil rights crisis, etc. And despite ALL of that, on top of the previous 4 years, we are quite literally back to square one, and Trump could be re-elected. Oh, and I forgot that unlike the last time, this time he'll screw over mail-in-voting, which will make this looming election crisis all the more dismal. 

America is just a failure. We had 2 chances to get it right, and both times the democrats gave a middle finger to working class Americans. I suppose the voters themselves are also at fault, as their lack of awareness regarding policy allowed their ignorance to be taken advantage of. Can't say I'm all too surprised, America could be shifting into a Bonapartist regime. Even a bit totalitarian as Trump has shown willingness to utilize the military state apparatus on the body public itself.  

 

Well, not all empires last forever. This one is just the latest to decay, and it only feels surreal because it's happening in real time while living within it.



#1849
10 year march

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Joe Biden $1.70 Donald Trump $2.30

Edit this roughly means 65% chance Biden 35% Chance Trump with betting agency's having odds in their favour via the chance someone else wins e.g. Biden dies

#1850
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#1851
Jessica

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ABC News/WaPo: Biden +12/+10
RV

Biden 53%
Trump 41%

LV

Biden 54%
Trump 44%

https://abcnews.go.com/PollingUnit/election-advantage-stays-biden-enthusiasm-
deficit-eases-remains/story?id=72356854


#1852
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$1.75 Biden $2.30 Trump

 

The momentum is shifting towards Trump rapidly



#1853
Raklian

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$1.75 Biden $2.30 Trump

 

The momentum is shifting towards Trump rapidly

 

It's normal for the difference to shrink and widen widely at this point in the election season.


What are you without the sum of your parts?

#1854
Jessica

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Yahoo/YouGov (Aug. 14-15): Biden+11

49-38 Biden

https://sports.yahoo...-153422010.html



#1855
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$1.75 Biden $2.30 Trump

 

The momentum is shifting towards Trump rapidly

 

It's normal for the difference to shrink and widen widely at this point in the election season.

 

I fully expect Trump to win Florida, Nc, Arizona, Ga and Ohio, but it was a serious anomaly in 2016 that he won Pa, wis and Michigan. I don't expect that again as he didn't prove he can fix the trade deals, outsourcing and career replacement that drew out union democrats and he has royally fucked up in many otherways. 



#1856
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WI (Morning Consult): Biden +6

Biden 49%
Trump 43%

https://morningconsu...-trump-polling/



#1857
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I would like to remind people this is 2020, not 2016. Hillary Clinton is not the Democratic nominee, who was one of the worst nominees ever. Donald Trump is the president, not the Republican nominee, so everything bad that happened during his presidency can be blamed on him, such as COVID-19 and all the effects it had on everything. The economy, the only thing that Trump could take credit for, is now in shambles. Also, even running against the worst Democratic nominee in recent history, Trump narrowly won. Now, replace Hillary Clinton with Joe Biden, who is better than her in practically every way. He is more liked than her, he feels much more genuine than her, and there is no division in the Democratic Party, like there was in 2016. Now, with all on that, plus everyones' hatred for Donald Trump, which we saw in the 2018 midterm election, makes Donald Trump's chances on wining re-election highly unlikely. Now, Trump is actively engaging in voter suppression, by attacking voting by mail and severely limited the United States Postal Service from collecting mail-in ballots, which probably will push more against Trump. So, again, this is 2020, not 2016.


The Potato Praiser 


#1858
Jessica

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MI (GQR Research) - Biden +9

 

Biden - 52
Trump - 43

1245 LV, July 30-August 4
https://projects.fiv...sident-general/



#1859
Cyber_Rebel

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"We are going to win four more years," Trump said at a rally in Oshkosh, Wisconsin on Monday. "And then after that, we'll go for another four years because they spied on my campaign. We should get a redo of four years."

(CNN)

 

Fascist piece of shit. If he wins the election this November or steals it, American democracy, or what little vestige it could claim to is finally over. While his age and poor health habits could stop his imperial ambitions, I'm wary of his sons or Ivanka seizing power to replace him, just like some antiquated monarchy. Americans in all their ignorance and foolishness brought this upon themselves. 



#1860
Raklian

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"We are going to win four more years," Trump said at a rally in Oshkosh, Wisconsin on Monday. "And then after that, we'll go for another four years because they spied on my campaign. We should get a redo of four years."

(CNN)

 

Fascist piece of shit. If he wins the election this November or steals it, American democracy, or what little vestige it could claim to is finally over. While his age and poor health habits could stop his imperial ambitions, I'm wary of his sons or Ivanka seizing power to replace him, just like some antiquated monarchy. Americans in all their ignorance and foolishness brought this upon themselves. 

 

 

This is precisely the scenario the Founding Fathers feared the worst. 


What are you without the sum of your parts?




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