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Kurzweil in 2006: "By 2020, computer chips will have 4nm features"


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#1
funkervogt

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Skip to the 45:00 mark of his 2006 TV interview to see him make that prediction:

https://www.c-span.o...th-ray-kurzweil

 

However, my research indicates that Intel is making computer chips that have transistors measuring 10nm, and it current has no plans to be making chips with 4nm transistors by 2020. 

https://www.howtogee...do-they-matter/

https://newsroom.int...ting/#gs.az3c8u

 

Was Kurzweil's prediction wrong, or could it be right if his 4nm prediction actually applied to some other feature (i.e. - some important microscopic component other than the transistors) on Intel computer chips that is now 4nm big? 



#2
wjfox

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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) started risk production of 5 nm chips last month, and plans to begin commercial mass production in the first half of 2020.

 

Samsung announced plans to use a 4 nm process by 2020.

 

Both TSMC and Samsung have also revealed plans for 3 nm, which could happen as early as 2021.


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#3
funkervogt

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Taiwan Semiconductor Manufacturing Company (TSMC) started risk production of 5 nm chips last month, and plans to begin commercial mass production in the first half of 2020.

 

Samsung announced plans to use a 4 nm process by 2020.

 

Both TSMC and Samsung have also revealed plans for 3 nm, which could happen as early as 2021.

Sources? 



#4
Yuli Ban

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Intel's inability to leave the double-digit nanometer range appears to have become a running joke, judging by comments.


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And remember my friend, future events such as these will affect you in the future.





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