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Iran Crisis Thread

Iran Persian Gulf Trump war

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#181
Yuli Ban

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Iran anchor resigns after 'lying' for regime for 13 years, as anti-government protests grow

As Iran descends into chaos over anti-government protests, a state TV news anchor resigned from her position and apologised to the public for "lying on TV".
Gelare Jabbari took to Instagram to inform the public that she resigned from her job as news anchor. In Farsi she wrote: "It was very hard for me to believe the killing of my countrymen."
"I apologise for lying to you on TV for 13 years."
It is unclear if Jabbari's comments are about the Ukrainian plane that had been mistakenly shot down by Iran, killing 176 passengers mostly of Iranian descent. Her comments have added more fuel to fire to the growing discontent towards the government.


And remember my friend, future events such as these will affect you in the future.


#182
caltrek

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In the extract below, I have blended together two articles from Al Jazeera, both available from the same link.

 

Amidst Protests Iran Announces First Arrests in Downing of Ukrainian Airliner

 

https://www.aljazeer...4071925923.html

 

Extract:

 

(Al Jazeera) Soleimani's assassination by an adversarial foreign power temporarily created a sense of solidarity across Iran, but that unity soon gave way to aggravated public resentment and fury at the incompetence and mendacity of a ruling system that falsely insisted on "technical flaws", persistently prevaricated over the truth behind the Ukrainian plane crash, and kept it hidden from the people for three days.

 

…Iran's judiciary has announced the arrests of an unspecified number of suspects in the accidental downing of a commercial passenger jet during a major confrontation with the United States last week.

 

In comments carried by state media, spokesman Gholamhossein Esmaili said on Tuesday that "extensive investigations have taken place and some individuals are arrested". He did not offer additional details.

 

….Videos posted on social media that could not be independently verified appeared to show security forces firing live ammunition and tear gas to disperse protesters. The government has denied a cover-up and police rejected reports that it had opened fire at demonstrators.

 

…In a televised address on Tuesday, Iran's President Hassan Rouhani promised a thorough investigation into the "unforgivable error" of shooting down the plane, the latest in a series of apologies from a leadership grappling with public anger.


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#183
caltrek

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Iran's Quds Force Choose Esmail Qaani as Suleimani's Successor

 

https://www.thenatio...cessor-1.963967

 

Introduction:

 

(The National) To understand Esmail Qaani, who replaced Qasem Suleimani as the commander of Iran's Islamic Revolutionary Guards Quds Force, you must look at his two decades of work in Afghanistan and Pakistan.

 

He might be unknown in the region to the West of the country, but his eastern neighbours know him well, from Kabul and Islamabad, to Tajikistan, Uzbekistan and even in India, a country that worked with him to support the overthrow of Afghanistan's Taliban government in the 1990s.

 

Mr Qaani is media-shy and less bombastic than his predecessor, but no less lethal. After the September 11, 2001, attacks in the US, his proxies on the ground co-operated with US military to help secure Afghanistan, exploiting a downturn in US relations with Saudi Arabia, Egypt, Pakistan, and other Cold War allies.

 

Tackling a nuclear-armed Pakistan without provoking a full-frontal confrontation might be one of Mr Qaani’s enduring legacies. He created an impeccable spy and terrorism network that operated inside Pakistan for more than a decade until 2015, destabilising the Balochistan and the Pakistani business hub city of Karachi. He orchestrated spectacular attacks that were meant to scuttle the ambitious joint China-Pakistan economic corridor linking western China to Pakistan’s Gwadar port on the Arabian Sea.

 

 

Conclusion:

…While Suleimani focused on precipitating the collapse of Arab states, he had little appetite for work on Iran’s eastern border. But with Mr Qaani expertise in both the east and the Middle East, there is little room for optimism that Iran’s long-standing policy of region wide meddling will change.


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#184
caltrek

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Defense Secretary Says He “Didn’t See” Intel to Back Up Trump’s Latest Iran Claim

 

https://www.foxnews....hreat-from-iran

 

Introduction:

 

(Fox News) President Trump told Fox News’ Laura Ingraham in an exclusive interview Friday that the imminent threat from Iran that provoked the United States to kill Iranian Gen. Qassem Soleimani involved planned attacks on four U.S. embassies.

 

Asked specifically what was targeted, Trump revealed: “We will tell you that probably it was going to be the embassy in Baghdad.”

 

Pressed on whether large-scale attacks were planned for other embassies, the president said: “I can reveal that I believe it probably would’ve been four embassies.

 

https://www.motherjo...iran-soleimani/

 

Extract:

 

(Mother Jones) But that talking point seemed to unravel on Sunday, as Defense Secretary Mark Esper said that while he shared that view that four embassies were in danger, he had not seen any specific intelligence to back that up. “What the president said was he believed there probably and could’ve been attacks against additional embassies,” Esper said in an interview on CBS’s “Face the Nation.”

 

“I shared that view; I know other members of the national security team shared that view. That’s why I deployed thousands of American paratroopers to the Middle East to reinforce our embassy in Baghdad and other sites throughout the region,” Esper said.

 

… The Trump administration has come under pressure to reveal more details about its decision to launch the drone attack against Soleimani, which prompted Iran to respond last week with missile strikes on Iraqi bases hosting American troops. During a classified briefing on Wednesday with national security officials, members of Congress say they did not hear anything about four US embassies. 

 

“I feel like I would have remembered if they would have presented that kind of intel at the briefing,” Sen. Chris Murphy (D-Conn.) told the Washington Post. “It sounds to me like the administration is panicking a little bit about the soundness of their rationale and deciding to share information with Fox News that they aren’t willing to share with Congress.” Referring to Trump, Murphy added, “I don’t trust what he said.”


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#185
caltrek

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White House Official Calls Republican Matt Gaetz’s Efforts to Limit War Powers “Super Uncool”

 

https://www.motherjo...s-super-uncool/

 

Introduction:

 

(Mother Jones) A few days ago, Rep. Matt Gaetz (R-Fla.) broke with most members of his party to support a House resolution that seeks to restrict Donald Trump’s use of military force against Iran unless the president obtains congressional approval. Gaetz’s support was noteworthy, because he has (proudly) built a reputation as Trump’s most eager defender in Washington, and because Trump himself called the bill a “Democratic fraud.”

 

Gaetz’s support for the resolution did not go over well with his fellow Republicans. But you can’t appreciate just how poorly it went over until you read this Washington Post story about the behind-the-scenes opposition. In response to a letter asking his colleagues to sign on to the measure, a succession of GOP staffers took turns trashing it in the kind of language one might expect to hear on Fox News, and a White House staffer told the paper that Gaetz’s support for it had left him in the dog house:

 

An aide to Rep. Jackie Walorski (R-Ind.) simply sent all Republican offices Trump’s tweet urging Republicans to vote against the resolution.

 

A senior White House official said it was “super uncool” and “quite unwise” for Gaetz to push for limits on the president’s authority. This person added that White House officials would not be returning Gaetz’s phone calls, text messages, “smoke signals or his kneelings in the snow.”

 

 

Conclusion:

 

But Gaetz can take some comfort knowing that he won’t be the only Republican getting ghosted by the president. On Saturday, Utah Sen. Mike Lee confirmed that he was signing onto Vermont Sen. Bernie Sanders’ “No War Against Iran Act,” which would cut off funding for military operations unless Trump obtains congressional authorization.

The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#186
caltrek

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Poll Shows Wisconsin Voters Disapprove of Trump’s Foreign Policy Moves

 

https://www.courthou...n-policy-moves/

 

Introduction:

 

MILWAUKEE (Courthouse News) – A Marquette University Law School poll released Wednesday showed more than half of Wisconsin voters disapprove of President Donald Trump’s handling of foreign policy, reflecting a particular unease with recent volatility between the U.S. and Iran.

 

The poll indicated that 53% of voters disapprove of Trump’s foreign policy moves against 44% who approve, although those numbers are not significantly different from the 54% disapproval and 43% approval registered in a December poll.

 

Sixty-one percent of those polled feel the U.S. is unlikely to enter a major military conflict with Iran as a result of a Jan. 3 drone strike which killed Iranian military commander Qasem Soleimani, an operation which has drawn both praise and condemnation from lawmakers split mostly along party lines.

 

Of those polled, 30% believe that a major military conflict is likely in the aftermath of the operation, while 8% were unsure.

 

According to the poll, the divide between praise and condemnation from Capitol Hill extends to Wisconsinites. When presented with the statement “it’s about time that the U.S. struck back against Iran,” 43% agreed while 51% disagreed.

 

 

Related to this same new article:

 

Poll: Most Americans Say Trump Raised Chance of Iran Conflict

 

https://www.courthou...-iran-conflict/

 

Introduction:

 

(Courthouse News) – A majority of Americans say the Trump administration’s approach to Iran has boosted chances of a major military conflict, despite a partisan divide in support for the recent drone strike that killed an Iranian general, the Pew Research Center reported Wednesday.

 

In a survey of 1,504 adults between Jan. 8 and 13, researchers found that 54% of respondents thought the Trump administration’s strategy on Iran has increased the likelihood of major conflict between the two countries.

 

Only 17% said President Donald Trump’s policy toward Iran has lowered chances of a military clash, while 26% said it has made no difference.

 

When asked about the Jan. 3 U.S. drone strike that killed top Iranian General Qassem Soleimani, 48% of respondents overall said it was the right decision, compared to 43% who said it was wrong.

 

Democrats and Republicans were in clear opposition regarding the strike. An 84% majority of Republicans said it was the right decision, compared to just 17% of Democrats.


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#187
caltrek

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Trump's Regime Change Policy for Iran is a Fevered Fantasy - It Will Only Promote Chaos and Instability

 

https://theintercept...change-fantasy/

 

Extract:

 

(The Intercept) It’s unclear where all this is headed, but for many Trump administration figures, there seems to be an ideal outcome in mind: regime change. The United States has succeeded in recent decades in using force to topple governments in places like Iraq and Libya. Iran, however, is a country of 80 million people, many magnitudes the size of either of those examples. And a direct U.S. military intervention in Iran seems off the cards, even in the most lurid neoconservative fantasy.

 

Lacking the ability to win through overt war, the U.S. settled on a policy of making Iran as ungovernable as possible through sanctions and other forms of pressure, hoping that this leads to an uprising that topples the government and, presumably, ushers in something better. Yet this approach looks likely to make life as miserable as possible for ordinary Iranians while failing to create political change in their country.

 

“Iran more clearly resembles the recent American experiences in the Middle East like Libya and Iraq than it does the Soviet Union in 1989,” said Richard Hanania a fellow at Columbia University’s Saltzman Institute of War and Peace Studies. “If you’re calling for regime change in Iran, you’re basically calling for civil war. As in other countries, even if the leadership falls, remnants of the old regime are going to be able to organize no matter what.”

 

In other words, there is no hope for a tidy regime change in Iran spurred on by the U.S. The future that Washington’s hawks, now at the helm of American foreign policy, are advocating for looks likely only to achieve more chaos, more strife, and more instability in Middle East — and that’s only on the outside chance that regime change succeeds at all.


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#188
caltrek

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Iraqi Officials Say ISIS—Not Iran—Likely Behind Rocket Attack Trump Used to Justify Soleimani Assassination

 

https://www.commondr...tack-trump-used

 

Introduction:

 

(Common Dreams) In a "bombshell" revelation that calls into question one of the Trump administration's stated justificiations for assassinating Iranian Gen. Qasem Soleimani—a move that nearly sparked a region-wide military conflict—Iraqi intelligence officials told the New York Times that they believe ISIS, not an Iran-linked militia, was likely responsible for the Dec. 27 rocket attack that killed an American contractor at an air base near Kirkuk, Iraq.

 

The Times reported Thursday that "Iraqi military and intelligence officials have raised doubts about who fired the rockets... saying they believe it is unlikely that the militia the United States blamed for the attack" was responsible.

 

"All the indications are that it was Daesh," Brigadier General Ahmed Adnan, the Iraqi chief of intelligence for the federal police at the K-1 air base, told the Times, using the Arabic acronym for ISIS. "We know Daesh's movements."

 

The Trump administration has not released a single piece of evidence showing that the Iraqi militia Khataib Hezbollah, which has ties to Iran, was responsible for the attack on K-1. The group has denied carrying out the attack.

 

The U.S. responded to the rocket attack days later with deadly airstrikes on Khataib Hezbollah targets in Iraq and Syria, setting off a dangerous escalatory spiral that brought Iran and the U.S. to the brink of war.


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls


#189
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Iran Again Fails to Put Satellite Into Orbit Amid U.S. Worries

 

https://www.courthou...mid-us-worries/

 

Introduction:

 

 TEHRAN, Iran (AP) — An Iranian rocket failed to put a satellite into orbit on Sunday, state television reported, the latest setback for a program the U.S. claims helps Tehran advance its ballistic missile program.

 

The launch happened at 7:15 p.m. local time at Imam Khomeini Spaceport in Iran’s Semnan province, some 145 miles southeast of Iran’s capital, Tehran. A Simorgh, or “Phoenix,” rocket couldn’t put the Zafar 1 communications satellite into orbit, however, due to a low speed, Iranian state TV reported.

 

“Stage-1 and stage-2 motors of the carrier functioned properly and the satellite was successfully detached from its carrier, but at the end of its path it did not reach the required speed for being put in the orbit,” Defense Ministry space program spokesman Ahmad Hosseini told state TV.

 

Hosseini still sought to portray the failure as a “remarkable” achievement for its space program. Previous Simorgh launches of the 80-ton satellite carrier suffered other failures.

 

In the days leading up to the launch, Iranian officials had been promoting the mission, including the country’s Information and Communications Technology Minister Mohammad Javad Azari Jahromi. His quick rise through the Islamic Republic’s carefully managed political system already is generating speculation he could be a candidate for Iran’s 2021 presidential campaign.

AP20040715418086.jpg

An Iranian rocket carrying a satellite is launched from Imam Khomeini Spaceport in Iran’s Semnan province, some 145 miles southeast of Iran’s capital, Tehran, on Sunday.

(IRIB via AP)


The principles of justice define an appropriate path between dogmatism and intolerance on the one side, and a reductionism which regards religion and morality as mere preferences on the other.   - John Rawls






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