New predictions for the timeline

[wjfox]

2050–2070 – The first artificial general intelligence (AGI)

viewtopic.php?p=15256#p15256

https://astralcodexten.substack.com/p/b ... source=url

[funkervogt]

Given population growth trends and assuming continued cultural conservatism, Africa by 2060 or even 2050 might have more Muslims AND more Christians than any other continent. Will Christianity and Islam become more Afrocentric as a result?

https://www.weforum.org/agenda/2020/01/ ... continent/
https://kk.org/thetechnium/vanishing-mu ... -the-shif/

[Tadasuke]

2050–2070 – The first artificial general intelligence (AGI)

This seems too far. I don't think it will take that long. My cautious prediction is 2040.

[Tadasuke]

After more thinking, it seems to me that AGI might be created as late as 2059.

[wjfox]

2025 – Peak of the current solar cycle

Each cycle is 11 years long.

https://www.esa.int/ESA_Multimedia/Imag ... ction_NOAA

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Solar_cycle_25

[wjfox]

2027 – The EU ends Russian fossil fuel imports

https://edition.cnn.com/2022/03/11/ener ... index.html

https://www.spglobal.com/commodity-insi ... -der-leyen


2035 – Germany's electricity is from 100% renewable sources

https://www.reuters.com/business/sustai ... 022-02-28/

[wjfox]

2035 – China is peaking as a geopolitical and economic power

viewtopic.php?p=16780

https://www.lowyinstitute.org/publicati ... rise-china

[Xyls]

Gonna revive this prediction from the old forum, as I think the likelihood of this prediction coming true is becoming extremely high. Please see following resources. The amount of improvements this would do to quality of life, and the amount of strain it would take off the health care system are hard to overstate...

2030 - Stem Cell Therapy to Cure Diabetes

Canadian Progress
https://www.headingto2022.com/

https://www.ualberta.ca/medicine/news/2 ... efore.html

American Progress
https://www.forbes.com/sites/williamhas ... f825fc3ea4

[wjfox]

2028 – Medical marijuana is legal in the majority of countries

Will be around 2050 for recreational use.

Ref: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Legality_of_cannabis

[wjfox]

2084 – Transit of Earth from Mars

The last time this occurred was 1984. Humans living on Mars will be able to witness this event on 10th November 2084.

https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Transit_o ... _from_Mars






46,915 AD – Transit of Uranus from Neptune

This will need a reference – it's just an image from Wikimedia.

Also, a transit may occur before this date. Some discussion here: https://en.wikipedia.org/wiki/Talk:Tran ... ts_Neptune