One of the predictions for 2028 (namely, "The final Avatar movie is released") needs to be moved to 2031. The release dates for Avatar 3, Avatar 4, and Avatar 5 have been postponed to 2025 (originally 2024), 2029 (originally 2026), and 2031 (originally 2028) respectively.
https://deadline.com/2023/06/disney-mar ... 235415782/
New predictions for the timeline
Re: New predictions for the timeline
So I'm currently working on the humans to Mars prediction for 2039-40. It's rather challenging to research and write. Here are the best references I've gathered so far:
https://www.miamiherald.com/news/politi ... 48548.html (really useful timeline/visualisation)
One of NASA's most recent plans, with mission architecture, and mentioning 2039: https://ntrs.nasa.gov/api/citations/202 ... -01-06.pdf
NASA Administrator Bill Nelson, speaking earlier this year: "2040."
GPT-4's prediction: late 2030s/early 2040s.
https://www.nasa.gov/humans-in-space/humans-to-mars/ (scroll down to "Getting There and Back" for a nice animation, labelled as 2039)
Another mention of 2039-40: https://www.space.com/nasa-mars-by-2040-audacious-goal
This appears to rule out the earlier predicted date of 2033, which I'll remove from the timeline. It suggests that 2039 is possible: https://nasawatch.com/trumpspace/nasa-f ... -20372039/
From 26:50, this video shows a useful timeline/schedule of Artemis missions, progressing from Moon to Mars.
I might list the new prediction as 2039-2045, so it gives some flexibility and takes into account the uncertainty.
https://www.miamiherald.com/news/politi ... 48548.html (really useful timeline/visualisation)
One of NASA's most recent plans, with mission architecture, and mentioning 2039: https://ntrs.nasa.gov/api/citations/202 ... -01-06.pdf
NASA Administrator Bill Nelson, speaking earlier this year: "2040."
GPT-4's prediction: late 2030s/early 2040s.
https://www.nasa.gov/humans-in-space/humans-to-mars/ (scroll down to "Getting There and Back" for a nice animation, labelled as 2039)
Another mention of 2039-40: https://www.space.com/nasa-mars-by-2040-audacious-goal
This appears to rule out the earlier predicted date of 2033, which I'll remove from the timeline. It suggests that 2039 is possible: https://nasawatch.com/trumpspace/nasa-f ... -20372039/
From 26:50, this video shows a useful timeline/schedule of Artemis missions, progressing from Moon to Mars.
I might list the new prediction as 2039-2045, so it gives some flexibility and takes into account the uncertainty.
A vote for Trump, a third party candidate, or no vote at all, is a vote for a dystopian future.
Re: New predictions for the timeline
2,400,000,000 AD – The Large Magellanic Cloud has merged with the Milky Way galaxy
https://academic.oup.com/mnras/article/ ... ogin=false
Excellent visualisation: https://fire.northwestern.edu/visualizations/
https://academic.oup.com/mnras/article/ ... ogin=false
Excellent visualisation: https://fire.northwestern.edu/visualizations/
A vote for Trump, a third party candidate, or no vote at all, is a vote for a dystopian future.
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Re: New predictions for the timeline
Even though I would be long dead, I would love to see what the outcome would look like if I could see it.wjfox wrote: ↑Sun Dec 03, 2023 5:13 pm 2,400,000,000 AD – The Large Magellanic Cloud has merged with the Milky Way galaxy
https://academic.oup.com/mnras/article/ ... ogin=false
Excellent visualisation: https://fire.northwestern.edu/visualizations/
"We all have our time machines, don't we. Those that take us back are memories...And those that carry us forward, are dreams."
-H.G Wells.
-H.G Wells.
Re: New predictions for the timeline
Is this worth including on our timeline? I mean, this won't be just any old game. It's likely to sell 100 million+ copies.
2025 – GTA 6 is released
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-67588537
2025 – GTA 6 is released
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-67588537
A vote for Trump, a third party candidate, or no vote at all, is a vote for a dystopian future.
Re: New predictions for the timeline
You could, if you're lucky to reach LEV and somehow become immortal.Time_Traveller wrote: ↑Sun Dec 03, 2023 5:25 pmEven though I would be long dead, I would love to see what the outcome would look like if I could see it.wjfox wrote: ↑Sun Dec 03, 2023 5:13 pm 2,400,000,000 AD – The Large Magellanic Cloud has merged with the Milky Way galaxy
https://academic.oup.com/mnras/article/ ... ogin=false
Excellent visualisation: https://fire.northwestern.edu/visualizations/
To know is essentially the same as not knowing. The only thing that occurs is the rearrangement of atoms in your brain.
- Time_Traveller
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Re: New predictions for the timeline
True Raklian.raklian wrote: ↑Tue Dec 05, 2023 2:08 pmYou could, if you're lucky to reach LEV and somehow become immortal.Time_Traveller wrote: ↑Sun Dec 03, 2023 5:25 pmEven though I would be long dead, I would love to see what the outcome would look like if I could see it.wjfox wrote: ↑Sun Dec 03, 2023 5:13 pm 2,400,000,000 AD – The Large Magellanic Cloud has merged with the Milky Way galaxy
https://academic.oup.com/mnras/article/ ... ogin=false
Excellent visualisation: https://fire.northwestern.edu/visualizations/
"We all have our time machines, don't we. Those that take us back are memories...And those that carry us forward, are dreams."
-H.G Wells.
-H.G Wells.
-
- Posts: 937
- Joined: Wed Oct 12, 2022 7:45 am
Re: New predictions for the timeline
The question is really "whether the substrate people will survive this." I'm inclined to say "yes"raklian wrote: ↑Tue Dec 05, 2023 2:08 pmYou could, if you're lucky to reach LEV and somehow become immortal.Time_Traveller wrote: ↑Sun Dec 03, 2023 5:25 pmEven though I would be long dead, I would love to see what the outcome would look like if I could see it.wjfox wrote: ↑Sun Dec 03, 2023 5:13 pm 2,400,000,000 AD – The Large Magellanic Cloud has merged with the Milky Way galaxy
https://academic.oup.com/mnras/article/ ... ogin=false
Excellent visualisation: https://fire.northwestern.edu/visualizations/
However will we live long enough to become the substrate people? IDK
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Re: New predictions for the timeline
I guess we need to move the Ariane 6 prediction from this year to the next yearweatheriscool wrote: ↑Tue Dec 05, 2023 3:57 pm Europe's Ariane 6 Rocket Finally Has a Launch Date
The ESA and Arianespace want to blast Ariane 6 into space on June 15, 2024.
By Ryan Whitwam December 5, 2023
https://www.extremetech.com/science/eur ... aunch-dateEurope's Ariane 5 rocket was a workhorse of a launch vehicle for years, but the ESA retired it this past year. The agency had hoped to have the Ariane 6 ready to go by now, but pandemic-era delays have slowed the project. Finally, the ESA has announced the first Ariane 6 orbital launch. It's now on the books for June 15, 2024.
The European Space Agency (ESA) began work on the Ariance 6 in the mid-2010s, hoping to lower launch costs while allowing for more varied payloads. The initial plan was to launch Ariane 6 in 2020, but the project was delayed and ground to a halt during the height of the COVID-19 pandemic. ESA director Josef Aschbacher says the agency was "in crisis" as it pushed the rocket back. While it waits for Ariane 6, the ESA has turned to SpaceX.
Re: New predictions for the timeline
I'd say so.wjfox wrote: ↑Tue Dec 05, 2023 1:55 pm Is this worth including on our timeline? I mean, this won't be just any old game. It's likely to sell 100 million+ copies.
2025 – GTA 6 is released
https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/technology-67588537
It will likely show off the latest & greatest for a variety of gaming tech. I'd say it's large enough to be considered a significant cultural event (though I acknowledge I'm biased as someone VERY excited for the game)
I'm just a bird who escapes his cage to post here sometimes.