2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

[weatheriscool]

[firestar464]

Lets look on the bright side of the Trump reelection.
Trump lost the house during his first term in 2018 and want on to become quite unpopular! His policies piss people off. Biden isn't popular either and neither is harris. So consider that. If we can regain the house this year and possibly hold or keep the senate 50%/50% Trump will get very little through long term but will piss people off and boost the poll numbers of the democratic party. We'll likely regain the senate in 2026 even if we lose it and certainly gain more seats in the house in 2026 and 2028. Here is what I am afraid of if we reelect Biden. Lets say Biden is elected later this year but we lose the senate. WEll, biden isn't going to get much through and we will probably relose the house in 2026 out of unpopularity and hatred of Biden or Harris. 2028 will almost certainly won't be some scum bag like trump running on the republican ticket and the voters will probably elect this person with a real mandate. Imagine Nickie halley or Tim scot winning the white house with a 55-56 seat republican senate, 240+ republican house. This ticket might abolish the safety net, defund education and do long term damage on our society.


Long term it might be better that Trump wins later this year and with that we gain the house and then the senate in 2026...I truly believe that we'll walk back into the white house in 2028 after 4 years of trump.

That is the accelerationist mindset, which ignores the fact that Trump is literally the next Hitler. It's bold to assume that he doesn't just hold on to power forever

[wjfox]

[firestar464]

At first I was kind of shocked at this news; don't billionaires love fascism? However, I remembered that Moody said that only Joe would grow the economy. Suddenly it makes sense.

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[caltrek]

At first I was kind of shocked at this news; don't billionaires love fascism? However, I remembered that Moody said that only Joe would grow the economy. Suddenly it makes sense.

I am surprised and a little skeptical about the "not one CEO." Still, I think it is how they frame the question. If the question is who will be best for the overall economy, I can believe an overwhelming choice for Biden. However, consider the question of who will be best for my corporation which (as an example) deals in the production and sale of fossil fuel products?

Another example might be a business where the CEO does not feel that they benefit from the current regulatory climate and would like to see regulation relaxed.

There is also the subject of taxation. A CEO may see the overall value of large corporations (and CEOS) paying more in taxes to help balance the budget, but would prefer that their business not have to pay such increased taxes.

I could go on, but I think you all see the point.

With Trump, it is always more a matter of "just us" and not "justice." CEOs interested in a "just us" approach may therefore have reason to support Trump.

As for being skeptical about the claim: if that is the case then where are Trump's campaign contributions coming from?

He has recently had some very big fundraising hauls. Moreover, an MSNBC commentator pointed out the Biden was pulling more in from those giving smaller contributions than Trump. That was on a percent of contributions basis. Meaning that Trump was doing better from the wealthy contributors compared to the more middle-class sort of supporter. How does that square with "no support from any CEO"?

[weatheriscool]

[firestar464]

Couldn't find anyone other than random conservatives saying this

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[weatheriscool]

[caltrek]

John Mannion Wins Democratic Primary in Battleground Upstate New York House Seat
by Bill Mahoney
June 25, 2024

Introduction:

(Politico) ALBANY, New York – The Associated Press has declared John Mannion the winner in the Democratic primary in a Syracuse-area congressional seat, setting him up for a November challenge against one of the country’s most vulnerable House Republicans.

With a majority of the votes tallied, Mannion had 62 percent in his race against DeWitt town Councilor Sarah Klee Hood.
He will face Republican Rep. Brandon Williams in November.

The race is poised to be one of the country’s most competitive. Williams won his first term in 2022 with 50.5 percent of the vote. The district has since been redrawn to become slightly more favorable to Democrats.

Mannion spent most of his career as an AP biology teacher in suburban Syracuse. He flipped a longstanding Republican stronghold in the state Senate in 2020 before winning reelection by 10 votes two years later.

Read more here: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politic ... msnnews11

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John Curtis Wins Utah GOP Primary to Replace Mitt Romney in U.S. Senate
by Kim Bojórquez

June 26, 2024

Introduction:

(Axios) Rep. John Curtis (R-Utah) clinched victory Tuesday in the closely watched GOP Senate primary to replace retiring Sen. Mitt Romney.
By the numbers: Curtis received nearly 51% of votes while Riverton Mayor Trent Staggs, who was endorsed by former President Trump, collected about 30%, per preliminary results posted shortly after midnight.

• The AP called the race for the three-term congressman 24 minutes after polls closed in Utah at 8pm.

Why it matters: Curtis, a moderate Republican, defeated MAGA candidate Staggs in a state where Utah Republican voters have demonstrated less-than-enthusiastic support for Trump.

Additional Extract:

Context: Curtis, a former Democrat, has stood out in Congress for his work on climate change issues, painting himself as a centrist.

Read more here: https://www.axios.com/2024/06/26/john- ... ace-utah

[caltrek]

Representative Lauren Boebert Wins GOP primary for Colorado’s 4th Congressional District
by Andy Kenny
June , 2024

Introduction:

(Colorado Public Radio) The Associated Press has called the GOP primary in Colorado’s 4th Congressional District for Rep. Lauren Boebert. As of 7:30 p.m. she had 43 percent of the vote, while none of the other five candidates had more than 17 percent.

These results mean Boebert will be a Republican candidate for Congress for a third time, this time representing the other side of the state.

Boebert is currently the congresswoman for the 3rd Congressional District, covering the Western Slope and southern Colorado. But she recently moved to the eastern side of the state and is now running in the 4th Congressional District.

On Tuesday night, she faced the biggest hurdle in that political odyssey: She had to win the Republican primary election so she could move on to the general election in November. The district leans heavily Republican, so the winner of the primary has a strong chance of moving on to the U.S. House of Representatives.

Source: https://www.cpr.org/2024/06/25/colorad ... s-up dates

[caltrek]

More on that:

(Mother Jones) In the most expensive primary in the history of the United States House of Representatives, Rep. Jamaal Bowman (D-N.Y.), a prominent progressive in Congress, lost to George Latimer, a moderate who well-known Democrats had backed in the final weeks of the race.

The center of the campaign was Bowman’s relatively outspoken stance on Israel’s war on Gaza. In mid-October of 2023, Bowman became one of the first members of Congress to publicly support a ceasefire.

Soon after, Latimer, a suburban moderate—with a habit of posting on Facebook—entered the race, and pitched himself to more conservative Democratic-party voters. He was backed aggressively by pro-Israel groups.

AdImpact, an organization tracking political campaign spending, reported earlier this week that nearly $25 million was spent in this race. 61 percent of that money—nearly $15 million—came from a PAC affiliated with the American Israel Public Affairs Committee called the United Democracy Project. UDP spent most of the money on ads attacking Bowman.

Bowman’s position on the US’s alliance with Israel changed after a November 2021 trip organized by the advocacy organization J Street that took him to the West Bank city of Hebron. Bowman—a former middle-school principal—was particularly affected by his interaction with a group of Palestinian schoolchildren. “There are streets they cannot walk and places they cannot go, simply because they are Palestinian,” he wrote on Instagram at the time. “When I asked about their dreams, their answer was simple: freedom. The occupation must end.” He went on to co-sponsor a resolution with Rep. Rashida Tlaib (D-Mich.) that would recognize the Nakba. Now, eight months into Israel’s unrelenting war on Gaza, more children have been killed than in the previous four years of global conflict.

Read more here: https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2 ... ac-money/

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[weatheriscool]

Not loooking good that is for damn sure.