2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

[weatheriscool]

This would be great news!!!

[wjfox]

[wjfox]

Gigantic turnout reported in Philadelphia.

[wjfox]

This would be great news!!!

I think she might have misinterpreted the CNN report.

[weatheriscool]

[weatheriscool]

FLIPWATCH


Trump 2020 => Harris 2024

Hamilton County, IN
Franklin County, KY

Biden 2020 => Trump 2024

Georgia SoS says estimated 1.2M ED votes, 5.2M total turnout (a record).

[wjfox]

Florida

Harris 51.0% (67,848)
Trump 48.1% (63,944)
Stein 0.4% (542)
Oliver 0.2% (331)

Est. vote in: 1%

[Yuli Ban]

*notices increase in Hispanic and Black support for Trump, which reflects what I've seen in real life*

This reflects something I feel people don't seem to understand because loads of our social discourse is rooted in lib-left stuff from the 2000s and 2010s that actively promotes "white = right, nonwhite = left"
Whites are rapidly shifting towards center/left-leaning, and Hispanics (who are going to knock Whites off as the majority and likely become the largest minority in the future) are rapidly shifting towards the right. Blacks, too. And yet loads of self-hating lefty Whites just don't... seem.... to understand the implications. I guess there's this belief that "multiculturalism means there MUST be a leftist majority in the future" when that's not necessarily the case if said multicultural society favors right wing beliefs. If you gathered right wing Hispanics, right wing Blacks, right wing Chinese, right wing Koreans, right wing Turks, very far right wing Hindus, and left wing Whites, what exactly do you think the outcome is going to be?

I think there's also this sentiment that "Trump hates nonwhites, he said that Hispanics are rapists, he insulted Puerto Ricans!" which again, to those actual demographics, they get the nuance and don't just default to "Trump hates everyone who isn't White"

Seriously, I don't know why I'm the lone voice pointing this out, but to everyone who seriously still believes that old paradigm, you're going to have a baaaa~aaad time in the future trying to rationalize what you're going to see

[weatheriscool]

GA exit poll:
Trump fav 45/52
Harris fav 49/49

2020 Biden voters: Harris 93-6
2020 Trump voters: Trump 97-2
2020 nonvoters: Harris 55-42


Harris winning 2020 nonvoters by 13 in GA...

[weatheriscool]

[weatheriscool]

Quote
GA completed county swings

ATL suburbs shifitng 4-7 points towards Harris

Rurals swinging 2-5 points towards Trump

Harris is now doing 6 points better than Biden in the following Metro Atlanta counties:
-Douglas
-Henry
-Rockdale

Keep in mind I mean her vote share is 6% higher - so 12 point margin improvements... and she just improved in Fulton with the latest dump. Am I missing something? How can Harris lose Georgia with these numbers? The swing in Metro Atlanta is huge and getting better with each dump.

==

Updated 9m ago
Nate Cohn Chief political analyst

Trump is a narrow but clear favorite to win Georgia and North Carolina. If he does carry those states, Harris would probably need to sweep Michigan, Pennsylvania and Wisconsin to win — a real possibility, but a tall order nonetheless. We have very little data from those states, and it will be a long time until we do.

[weatheriscool]

Harris running 55-43 in Oakland Co MI with ~400k votes counted (est 53% in).

+ 50k Harris.

With 31% in, Harris 71-27 in Dane WI, was Biden 75-23

So Douglas County GA vote for Dems has beaten the 2020 total county vote for Dems

[weatheriscool]

[weatheriscool]

[weatheriscool]

Harris is effin losing Pa and Wis at this moment

What also sucks is we're currently losing in the senate
Ohio
Pa
Wis
Michigan
and we're trailing in Minnosota!!!

55-56 seats for the republicans?

Already 3 seats flipped in the house to republicans and this is before Califorina. I was afraid of this! They will likely have a 230-240 house and 55 seat senate. Trump will gut the safetynet, attack science and f*ck us in the ass!!!

[weatheriscool]

[Yuli Ban]

"""Funny""" in a Joker, Goodfellas sort of way I guess

But again, I was pointing this out a ways ahead of time to people obsessed with reducing this to dumbass college professor-approved racialized "white = Republican, nonwhite = Democrat" that you were going to have a very bad time in the future, and here we are in the early days of that future. Not to mention Democrats all but lost most of their actual legitimate lefty supporters over Gaza, so it was never going to be a good turnout for the Dems this year.

[Bird]

Were you hoping Trump would win, or did you just think it wise to counteract the massive Harris bias in this thread?
Looks like you were the one posting the correct polls, in any case

[weatheriscool]

[Yuli Ban]

Yeesh!


Yeah, I know I said I called it happening when everyone else was ignoring this trend in lieu of continuing their "white = bad, nonwhite = good" narrative, but even I'm shocked by how massively more Latinos went for Trump. I wasn't expecting numbers like this for another decade. And remember, this is our fastest growing minority by far.