2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

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Qualification Markers Grow Even Tougher for Next Month’s 4th GOP Presidential Debate
November 3, 2023

Introduction:

COLUMBIA, S.C. (AP via Courthouse News) — A fourth Republican presidential debate has been set for next month, with heightened polling requirements that could make the stage less crowded than before.

In a memo sent to campaigns on Friday and obtained by The Associated Press, Republican National Committee Chair Ronna McDaniel said the fourth debate would take place Dec. 6 in Tuscaloosa, Alabama.

To make the stage, candidates must garner at least 6% in two approved national polls, or 6% in one poll from two separate early-voting states: Iowa, New Hampshire, Nevada and South Carolina.

According to the memo, first reported by The New York Times, participants also need to amass at least 80,000 unique donors, with at least 200 unique donors per state or territory, in 20 or more states.

Additional extract:

Although the party won't confirm until Monday who will be on stage for the third event, it's anticipated that Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis, former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley, biotech entrepreneur Vivek Ramaswamy, Sen. Tim Scott of South Carolina and former New Jersey Gov. Chris Christie will participate.

Read more here: https://www.courthousenews.com/qualifi ... labama/

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NYT/Siena Poll: Trump Is Ahead in Five of Six Swing States.

The Big Problem Lurking in Biden’s New Poll Numbers
by Stephanie Mencimer
November 5, 2023

Introduction:

(Mother Jones) Voters think Biden, who at 80 is only three years older than Trump, is too old. He’s lost ground with all the traditional Democratic voting blocs: women, young people, and people of color. Perhaps most shocking is his poor showing among Black voters, who were supposed to be his biggest allies.

The New York Times observes:

• Black voters — long a bulwark for Democrats and for Mr. Biden — are now registering 22 percent support in these states for Mr. Trump, a level unseen in presidential politics for a Republican in modern times.

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• In a remarkable sign of a gradual racial realignment between the two parties, the more diverse the swing state, the farther Mr. Biden was behind, and he led only in the whitest of the six…

• If the results in the poll were the same next November, Mr. Trump would be poised to win more than 300 Electoral College votes, far above the 270 needed to take the White House.

Read more here: https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2 ... -voters/

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Why the Entire Country Should Pay Attention to Virginia’s Elections Today (November 7, 2023)
by Abby Vesoulis
November 6, 2023

Extract:

(Mother Jones) All 140 Virginia General Assembly seats are on the ballot Tuesday, but it will be less than two dozen races in suburb-heavy, swing-voting areas like Stafford, Prince William, Richmond, and Virginia Beach that are expected to determine control of the General Assembly. If Virginia Republicans, who already control the governor’s mansion, pick up the state senate and hold their control of the statehouse, they will have a Republican trifecta—allowing them to pull the state rightward on issues like vehicle emissions standards and gun laws, and almost inevitably bring about abortion restrictions in the last Southern state without them.
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Virginia’s odd-numbered legislative election years have long made the state prominent as political indicator of future presidential elections. In 2019, Democrats won both the statehouse and state senate; Biden went on to win the White House in 2020. In 2015, Virginia’s GOP retained both state chambers; Trump was elected President the following year.
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This year’s results may be even more indicative of the national attitude. In 2021, Virginia’s district maps were redrawn in a bipartisan redistricting process that prompted a wave of retirement announcements and diminished the name-recognition boost that incumbents generally enjoy. The result is that most of the highly competitive races will come down to candidates’ platforms and parties more so than their individual reputations. “This is really truly a measure of, ‘Is the Democratic message resonating or is the Republican message resonating?’” says Abhi Rahman, the communications director for the Democratic Legislative Campaign Committee, the party’s official arm for electing Democrats to statehouses.
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The outcome of the parties’ respective messaging strategies on abortion will be especially telling, and is also expected to drum up voter turnout, which has historically been lower than in presidential and gubernatorial years. The recent Post-Schar poll found that 60 percent of registered voters in Virginia say abortion is a “very important” issue to them, up from 46 percent of voters who said so in 2019.

Read more here: https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2 ... n-2024/

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BREAKING: @Henson4Virginia just won his race for Virginia's HD-19, making history as the 1st openly gay Black man ever


@DLCC
BREAKING: @Henson4Virginia
just won his race for Virginia’s HD-19, making history as the 1st openly gay Black man ever elected to the VA legislature.

Rozia is committed to fighting for gun safety legislation, women’s rights, & ensuring public schools get the funding they need.


https://x.com/DLCC/status/1722043074514428035?s=20

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