2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

[caltrek]

Nevada Republican Primary Results
February 7, 2024

Introduction:

(CNN) What to expect in Nevada

• Former South Carolina Gov. Nikki Haley is the only major candidate who will appear on the ballot in the GOP primary (which will not award delegates) and is not competing in the caucuses.

• Former President Donald Trump is the only major candidate competing in the Republican caucuses and is not on the GOP primary ballot.
Republican Presidential Primary: Nevada

Candidate....................................%............Votes

None of these candidates Republican 63.2% 43,893 22,694 ahead*

Nikki Haley Republican 30.5% 21,199

Mike Pence Republican 4.0% 2,752

Tim Scott Republican 1.4% 950

*Projected Winner

Read more here: https://www.cnn.com/election/2024/prim ... -primary

[spryfusion]

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[weatheriscool]

[weatheriscool]

I hate to say it but if Trump isn't convicted and probably jailed I think he has a higher then avg chance at winning. Poll after poll spells bad news and that a hell of a lot of the American people want america to have someone similar to vlad putin in the white house and they will probably vote in November. A few polls out of wis suggest Trump could win it. This race will probably be within 10-15 elv's on election day...Sucks but true.

WI 01-30 Trump gains in Wisconsin
Fox News
R +3

[weatheriscool]

[weatheriscool]

I hate to say it but if Trump isn't convicted and probably jailed I think he has a higher then avg chance at winning. Poll after poll spells bad news and that a hell of a lot of the American people want america to have someone similar to vlad putin in the white house and they will probably vote in November. A few polls out of wis suggest Trump could win it. This race will probably be within 10-15 elv's on election day...Sucks but true.

WI 01-30 Trump gains in Wisconsin
Fox News
R +3

And with the latest news that Biden has memory problems I seriously have to question why in the f*ck do we need to have people near or over 80 years old leading this goddamn country? WHY? Why not Witmore or Newsome? WTF is wrong with us. Also we seriously fucked up on the border and that is coming back to bite us in the ass. Shit like this is why the republicans took the house in 2022 and will probably reelect that piece of dog shit in 2024.

[caltrek]

Number of Eligible Hispanic Voters Hits Record High
by Russell Contreras
February 8, 2024

Introduction:

(Axios) An estimated 36.2 million U.S. Latinos are eligible to vote this year, a new record for an increasingly crucial demographic in the expected rematch between President Biden and former President Trump.

Why it matters: Latino voters, an increasingly ideologically and racially diverse demographic, have helped swing tight races in battleground states and are expected to play a key role in November.

By the numbers: The number of eligible Latino voters grew by 12% — or nearly 4 million people — since the last presidential election, according to an analysis by the Pew Research Center.

• Latinos are projected to account for 14.7% of all eligible voters in November.

• A majority of Latino voters (59%) voted for Biden in 2020 and helped swing key races in states like Georgia, Arizona and Nevada.

Yes, but: About 31% of Hispanic eligible voters are ages 18 to 29, a demographic pollsters don't have significant data on.

Read more here: https://www.axios.com/2024/02/08/biden ... lections

[weatheriscool]

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[caltrek]

Delegate count as of this writing:

Donald Trump 63

Nikki Haley 17

Ron DeSantis (DROPPED OUT) 9

Vivek Ramaswamy (DROPPED OUT) 3

Source: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2024-p ... te-tracker

With Haley still trailing by double digits in her home state of South Carolina, her cause seems pretty hopeless. One thing that might give her a needed push would be a U.S. Supreme Court ruling allowing states to take Trump off of their primary ballots. Although it is hard to predict, the questions posed by the justices during the hearing on this matter tend to indicate that they will not do anything that will dramatically favor Haley's cause. In the absence of such a favorable ruling, conventional wisdom would be that if Haley does lose in South Carolina she should terminate her campaign. Still, some would argue that Republicans need to be given an alternative to Trump, even if they fail to take advantage of having such an alternative available. It may depend on whether those funding her campaign are willing to continue their contributions on that basis. Doubtful.

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[wjfox]

[wjfox]