2022 midterm election thread

weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Murkowski advances in Alaska Senate race, Palin in House
Source: AP

By BECKY BOHRER
JUNEAU, Alaska (AP) — Alaska Republican U.S. Sen. Lisa Murkowski advanced from her primary along with Kelly Tshibaka, her GOP rival endorsed by former President Donald Trump, while another Trump-backed candidate, Republican Sarah Palin, was among the candidates bound for the November general election in the race for Alaska’s only House seat.

Murkowski had expressed confidence that she would advance and earlier in the day told reporters that “what matters is winning in November.” Tshibaka called the results “the first step in breaking the Murkowski monarchy’s grip on Alaska.” Tshibaka also said she was thankful “for the strong and unwavering support President Trump has shown Alaska.”

A Murkowski has held the Senate seat since 1981. Before Lisa Murkowski, who has been in the Senate since late 2002, it was her father, Frank Murkowski.

Under a voter-approved elections process being used for the first time in Alaska elections this year, party primaries have been scrapped and ranked choice voting is being used in general elections. The top four vote-getters in a primary race, regardless of party affiliation, are to advance to the general election.
Read more: https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm ... 32e9bff31b
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Political Polls
@Politics_Polls
·
14h
Michigan Governor:

Whitmer (D-inc) 51% (+5)
Dixon (R) 46%

Impact Research/@Fabrizio_Lee
/@AARP
, 500 LV, 8/8-14
https://aarp.org/content/dam/aa
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Crystal Ball gubernatorial rating changes:

OR-GOV Leans D > Toss-up
NY-GOV Likely D > Safe D
MD-GOV Likely D > Safe D

Explanations for the changes and a look at the overall playing field here: https://centerforpolitics.org/crystalball/ar
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Cook Political Report
@CookPolitical
·
19h
We are making three race rating changes:
#PASEN: Toss Up to Lean D
#COSEN: Likely D to Lean D
#UTSEN: Solid R to Likely R

Our full Senate race ratings can be found here: https://cookpolitical.com/ratings/senate
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Ohio Senate:
Vance (R) 45% (+3)
Ryan (D) 42%
.
Ohio Governor:
DeWine (R-inc) 49% (+16)
Whaley (D) 33%

Emerson College, 925 LV, 8/15-16
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Arizona Governor:

Katie Hobbs (D) 47% (+3)
Kari Lake (R) 44%

.@foxnewspoll
, 1,012 RV, 8/12-16
https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/co

Arizona Senate:

Mark Kelly (D-inc) 50% (+8)
Blake Masters (R) 42%

.@foxnewspoll
, 1,012 RV, 8/12-16
https://static.foxnews.com/foxnews.com/co
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Cortez Masto maintains 7-point lead in Nevada Senate race: poll
Source: The Hill
Sen. Catherine Cortez Masto (D) leads her challenger by 7 points in the closely watched Nevada Senate race, according to a new Suffolk University-Reno Gazette-Journal poll.

Forty-five percent of respondents indicated support for Cortez Masto, compared to 38 percent support for former state Attorney General Adam Laxalt (R). Twelve percent said they were undecided, while 3 percent said they would support none of the polled candidates.

The nonpartisan Cook Political Report rates the Nevada contest as one of four toss-up races that could determine which party will control the Senate beginning next year.

Democrats are facing historical and political headwinds going into this year’s midterm elections. But many in the party are hoping a series of recent victories can counter voter frustration about issues such as inflation and avoid a shellacking in November that leads to unified GOP control of Congress.
Read more: https://thehill.com/homenews/campaign/3 ... race-poll/
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caltrek
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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'Most Incompetent, Least Electable': Columnist says GOP is Running One Bad Senate Candidate after Another
by Alex Henderson
August 22, 2022

Introduction:
(Alternet) Although Senate Minority Leader Mitch McConnell is still confident that Republicans will retake the U.S. House of Representatives in the 2022 midterms, he isn’t nearly as bullish on the GOP’s chances of flipping the U.S. Senate. McConnell cited “candidate quality” as a problem for Republicans in the Senate, essentially acknowledging that some of the Donald Trump-backed Republicans being nominated in key Senate races may lose to Democrats.

McConnell, at a Northern Kentucky Chamber of Commerce gathering in Florence, Kentucky, told attendees, “I think there’s probably a greater likelihood the House flips than the Senate. Senate races are just different; they're statewide. Candidate quality has a lot to do with the outcome. Right now, we have a 50-50 Senate and a 50-50 country, but I think when all is said and done this fall, we’re likely to have an extremely close Senate, either our side up slightly or their side up slightly.”

The Senate minority leader didn’t mention any names when he discussed “candidate quality,” but liberal Washington Post opinion columnist Eugene Robinson certainly does in a biting August 22 column — stressing that “the race for the title of most incompetent, least electable Republican candidate for the Senate has become a real competition.” And he (g)oes on to cite Dr. Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania, Ohio’s J.D. Vance and Georgia’s Herschel Walker as some of the worst offenders.
Although adequately covered in other parts of this thread, further discussion of individual races by Henderson citing Robinson can be read here: https://www.alternet.org/2022/08/repub ... columnist/
Don't mourn, organize.

-Joe Hill
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caltrek
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Carl Paladino, Buffalo’s Donald Trump, Loses Republican Primary
by Ben Jacobs
August 22, 2022

Introduction:
(Intelligncer)On Tuesday night, Republican voters rejected a septuagenarian New York real-estate mogul with a history of problematic comments — Carl Paladino.

Described by one ally as “the Donald Trump of Buffalo,” Paladino lost the primary for the 23rd Congressional District over the chairman of the state GOP, Nick Langworthy.
After some biographical information concerning Paladino, the article then goes on to the concluding paragraph:
Paladino was been backed by some of the most vocal Trump allies on Capitol Hill, including Matt Gaetz and Marjorie Taylor Greene. He also has received the ardent support of fellow New York Republican Elise Stefanik, who became the chair of the House Republican Conference in 2021 after Liz Cheney stepped down from that position. Trump did not endorse in the race where both candidates cast themselves as ardent supporters of the former president.
Read more here: [url] https://nymag.com/intelligencer/2022/08 ... imary.html [/quote]
Don't mourn, organize.

-Joe Hill
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caltrek
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Gaetz Wins GOP Primary in Florida After Fending Off Attacks Over Sex Trafficking Investigation
by Marc Caputo
August 22, 2022

Introduction:
(NBC) MIAMI — Rep. Matt Gaetz defeated his Republican primary opponent Tuesday in one of Florida’s most conservative congressional districts, NBC News projects, as voters declined to hold a federal sex crimes investigation against him.

Gaetz, the self-styled firebrand endorsed by former President Donald Trump, who also managed Gov. Ron DeSantis’s transition team in 2019, spent $1.1 million on local TV ads to drive home his MAGA bona fides. Challenger Mark Lombardo spent at least $500,000 calling Gaetz’s character into question in three ads.

But ultimately, Trump’s endorsement — and Gaetz’s deep roots and relentless campaigning in the district — carried the day for Gaetz, who was a state representative from the Panhandle area before he won his congressional seat in 2016.

Trump is dominant in the district, which he carried by more than 33 percentage points in 2020.
Read more here: https://www.nbcnews.com/politics/2022- ... rcna44378
Don't mourn, organize.

-Joe Hill
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