2022 midterm election thread

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caltrek
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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caltrek wrote: Mon Jul 18, 2022 4:25 pm How Arizona’s Gubernatorial Race Became an 'Emerging Proxy Fight' Between Trump and Governor Doug Ducey
by Alex Henderson
July 12, 2022

Introduction:
...
Read more here: https://www.alternet.org/2022/07/ariz ... g-ducey/
More on that race:

Pence Endorses Rival of Trump-Backed Candidate in Arizona Governor's Race
by Erin Doherty
July 18, 2022

Introduction:
(Axios) Former Vice President Mike Pence publicly backed Karrin Taylor Robson in Arizona's Republican gubernatorial primary on Monday, going against former President Trump's endorsement.

Why it matters: Pence's endorsement underscores the growing divide within the GOP between the establishment wing of the party and the former president, AP reports.

Driving the news: Pence is expected to campaign with Robson, a housing developer, on Friday — the same day that Trump is set to hold a rally for former TV news anchor Kari Lake.

• The winner of the Aug. 2 Republican primary will likely become the state's next governor, Axios' Jessica Boehm reports.

• Pence said Robson is "the only candidate for governor that will keep Arizona’s border secure and streets safe, empower parents and create great schools and promote conservative values."
Read more here: https://www.axios.com/2022/07/18/mike ... or-trump
Don't mourn, organize.

-Joe Hill
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

Post by weatheriscool »

PollTracker
@PollTrackerUSA
·
23h
2022 #WYAL Republican Primary Poll:

Harriet Hageman 59% (+28)
Liz Cheney 31%
Anthony Bouchard 5%
Undecided 5%

@WPAIntel
/@club4growth
~ 400 LV ~ 7/12-7/14
https://clubforgrowth.org/wp-content/upl

Bye LIZ!!!
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Trump wins proxy war with Hogan in Maryland primary -- boosted by Democrats
Source: Politico
Democrats and Republicans are shaping the future of their parties in Maryland Tuesday, as they choose their nominees for governor and for a pair of key congressional seats outside Washington.

A crowded field of Democrats emerged to try to win the governorship and succeed popular (and term-limited) Republican Gov. Larry Hogan, whose impending departure has made the usually blue state one of Democrats’ best pickup opportunities this year. And on the Republican side, state Del. Dan Cox won the party’s nomination, a win for former President Donald Trump in a proxy war with the outgoing governor.

Further down the ballot, Republicans picked their nominee for a contest that could give the party their best shot in years at clawing back another House seat in Maryland. And a Democratic primary in a deep-blue district has turned into one of the most expensive contests of the election.

It is likely that the winners of several critical contests won’t be known on Tuesday night. State law prevents election officials from counting mail ballots until Thursday, and they could be decisive. As of Monday, nearly 169,000 Democrats have returned a mail ballot, while 38,000 Republicans have done the same. (Ballots that are either returned in dropboxes by close of polls Tuesday night or postmarked by the USPS by Tuesday will also be counted.)
Read more: https://www.politico.com/news/2022/07/1 ... y-00046639
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caltrek
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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In Race to Fill Missouri’s Senate Seat, Both Parties’ Voters Face Crowded Fields
by Joe Harris
July 23, 2022

Introduction:
ST. LOUIS (Courthouse News) — Former President Donald Trump’s endorsement, or rejection, could prove to be the tipping point for Missouri Republicans hoping to replace the retiring U.S. Senator Roy Blunt.

Former Governor Eric Greitens, U.S. Representative Vicky Hartzler and Attorney General Eric Schmitt are the clear frontrunners among the GOP’s 21 options. Polls from Real Clear Politics and 538.com have consistently shown Greitens and Hartzler at 26% apiece, with Schmidt at 25% of the vote.

“It’s an absolute dead heat,” said Kenneth Warren, a political scientist at St. Louis University, in a phone interview.
Further extracts:
An endorsement has yet to come from Trump, but he did take the unique step of publicly rebuking Hartzler in a post on his social media platform, Truth Social, on July 8.
On the Democratic side, Trudy Busch Valentine and Lucas Kunce are the clear frontrunners in a field of 11 candidates. Both frontrunners are trying to capture what they hope is a pro-abortion rights voting block, energized and angered by the overturn of Roe.
Read more here: https://www.courthousenews.com/missou ... te-seat/
Don't mourn, organize.

-Joe Hill
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Political Polls
@Politics_Polls
·
4h
Generic Congressional Ballot:

Democrats 47% (+6)
Republicans 41%

.@TheWinstonGroup
/@WinningTheIssue
, 1,000 RV, 7/23-24
https://winningtheissues.org/wp-content/upl
weatheriscool
Posts: 12956
Joined: Sun May 16, 2021 6:16 pm

Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Political Polls
@Politics_Polls
·
9h
Generic Congressional Ballot:

Democrats 47%
Republicans 47%

.@cygnal
, 5,841 LV, 7/18-20
https://cygn.al/july-national-
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

Post by weatheriscool »

Political Polls
@Politics_Polls
·
10h
Pennsylvania Senate:
Fetterman (D) 49% (+9)
Oz (R) 40%
.
Pennsylvania Governor:
Josh Shapiro (D) 51% (+12)
Doug Mastriano (R) 39%

.@blueprintpoll
, 712 LV, 7/19-22
https://blueprintpolling.com/2022/07/26/dem
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Political Polls
@Politics_Polls
·
10h
Georgia Governor:

Brian Kemp (R-Inc) 49% (+2)
Stacey Abrams (D) 47%

@ChangePolls
/@future_majority
(D), 704 LV, 6/24-27
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Democrats Favored to Win Senate for First Time as Polling Improves: 538
Source: Newsweek
For the first time, political polling website FiveThirtyEight shows the Democrats with an edge in the race for the U.S. Senate in November.

The website late on Tuesday showed the Democrats were due to win 51 out of 100 seats, while the Republicans are slated to win 49.

There had been consensus for a long time that the Republicans will win back the Senate this fall, buoyed by high inflation and economic downturn under Democrat Joe Biden's presidency.

...

The website's Senate forecast has changed since it began polling in early June. Back then, the Democrats were only predicted to win 40 seats, with the Republicans winning a comfortable majority of 60. Since then, the Democrats have grown in popularity and now for the first time have overtaken the Republicans, and are on course to keep the Senate.
Read more: https://www.newsweek.com/democrats-favo ... ?piano_t=1
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caltrek
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Mandela Barnes Is Now the Clear Favorite to Face Off Against Ron Johnson in Wisconsin
by Eamon Whalen
July 28, 2022

Introduction:
(Mother Jones) It’s looking all but certain that Wisconsin Lieutenant Governor Mandela Barnes will be the Democratic opponent to take on the much-maligned Wisconsin Senator Ron Johnson in November. This week, two of Barnes’ main rivals dropped out ahead of the August 9th primary, clearing the path for the 35-year-old Milwaukee native. Barnes has already secured the endorsement of Senator Bernie Sanders and campaigned last weekend alongside Senator Elizabeth Warren. The race between Barnes and Johnson will be among a few set to determine which party controls the Senate.

Barnes has been a rising star in Wisconsin politics for the last decade. He was elected as a State Representative in 2012 and then joined Governor Tony Evers’ campaign to oust Scott Walker in 2018, becoming Lieutenant Governor at 31. He is only the second Black elected official in statewide office in Wisconsin’s history.
Conclusion:
All that’s left between Barnes and the nomination is the State Treasurer Kate Godlewski. As of late June, she was still polling in the single digits, but her campaign has said that she’s been “surging,” and recently boasted that she was the only candidate pulling ahead of Johnson in prospective polls. Barnes, on the other hand, released an internal poll yesterday showing him at 39 percent, Lasry at 25 percent and Godlewski at 12 percent.

With (former opponents Tom) Nelson and (Alex) Lasry’s endorsements, it looks like close to a sure bet that Mandela Barnes will face Ron Johnson in November, giving Wisconsin voters as clear of a contrast of candidates and priorities as any race in the nation.
Read more here: https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2 ... isconsin/
Don't mourn, organize.

-Joe Hill
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