2022 midterm election thread

weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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GA- Marist: Warnock +5 RV, +2 LV

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/polls/the ... n-georgia/

See also: Kemp 50 Abrams 44.
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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AJC/UGA, Sep 5-16, 861 LV

Kemp 50
Abrams 42

Walker 46
Warnock 44

https://www.ajc.com/politics/ajc-poll-g ... I7VBPPRGY/
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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McConnell-aligned super PAC pulls out of Arizona
Source: Axios

The Mitch McConnell-aligned Senate Leadership Fund is canceling $9.6 million in television ads for the Arizona Senate race, confident that other outside conservative groups will make up much of the difference for Republican nominee Blake Masters.

Why it matters: The cancellations mean that the GOP's leading super PAC won't be spending any money in Arizona, one of the most closely watched Senate races in the country. Its allied non-profit arm spent several millions in the state on issue ads over the summer.

State of play: Other GOP-aligned super PACs, including one affiliated with the conservative Heritage Action for America super PAC, will be making up some of the difference. The Sentinel Action Fund will be spending $3.5 million on television ads and another $1.5 million on voter outreach, according to Politico.

A super PAC funded by billionaire Peter Thiel is spending $1.68 million on behalf of Masters. Thiel, however, hasn't donated any of his own money to the super PAC since the Republican primary. Thiel is holding a private fundraiser for Masters at his California home at the end of September, according to CNBC.

Read more: https://www.axios.com/2022/09/20/mcconn ... ke-masters
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, Sep. 17-20, 1500 adults including 1318 RV



GCB (RV only): D 45 (+2), R 40 (+1)
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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RV: Vance 46, Ryan 45, Undecided 9
LV (“definitely voting”): Vance 48, Ryan 47, Undecided 5

Favorables among RV:
Tim Ryan: 43/27 (+16)
JD Vance: 33/39 (-6)

Favorables among “definitely voting”:
Tim Ryan: 46/29 (+15)
JD Vance: 35/41 (-6)

https://maristpoll.marist.edu/wp-conten ... 161714.pdf

Weird how Vance can be so unfavorable and yet be leading? :?
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Monmouth (GA-SEN): Warnock +4
They’re doing the “definitely/probably voting for” and “probably/definitely not voting for” again

Warnock 45% definitely/probably (50% definitely not/probably not)
Walker 41% definitely/probably (53% definitely not/probably not)

Warnock fav: 48/44 (+4)
Walker fav: 42/48 (-6)

Who’s best to handle…
Jobs, the economy, and cost of living: Warnock 39%, Walker 37%
Immigration: Warnock 37%, Walker 36%
Defending values: Warnock 43%, Walker 36%
Abortion: Warnock 39%, Walker 30%
Gun control: Walker 40%, Warnock 36%

https://www.monmouth.edu/polling-instit ... ga_092122/
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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McCarthy unveils House GOP's midterm agenda in Pennsylvania
Source: AP

By LISA MASCARO

MONONGAHELA, Pa. (AP) — House Republican leader Kevin McCarthy on Friday confronted President Joe Biden and the Democratic majority in Congress with a sweeping midterm election agenda filled with Trump-like promises, hoping not only to defeat Democrats but to hold together the uneasy coalition of his own party and pass actual legislation.

McCarthy, who is poised to seize the speaker’s gavel if Republicans win control of the House in the fall, hopes to replicate the strategy that former Speaker Newt Gingrich of Georgia used to spark voter enthusiasm and gain a majority in 1994. Victories in battleground Pennsylvania, where McCarthy announced the agenda, could be a crucial step in November.

The House GOP’s “Commitment to America” gives a nod to the earlier era but updates it in the age of Donald Trump, with economic, border security and social policies to rouse the former president’s deep well of supporters in sometimes-overlooked regions like this rusty landscape and rolling farmland outside Pittsburgh.

“What the ‘Commitment’ is, it’s a plan for a new direction,” McCarthy said at a manufacturing facility in a historic building near downtown.

Read more: https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm ... 7628378824
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