2022 midterm election thread

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caltrek
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Abortion Is Galvanizing Voters. Michigan’s Ballot Measure Will Show Us How Much
by Abby Vesoulis
September 13, 2022

Introduction:
(Mother Jones) “I just need some space” is a disingenuous way to tell a romantic partner you’re Just Not That Into Them. As the top Michigan court ruled last week, it’s also a disingenuous way to attempt to remove from the Michigan midterm ballot an abortion-rights referendum that received 325,000 more voter signatures than the required 425,000.

But that’s what Citizens to Support Michigan Women and Children argued last month in a complaint to Michigan’s Board of State Canvassers. The anti-abortion group alleged the proposed ballot measure text, which sought to explicitly insert into Michigan’s constitution reproductive rights up until fetal viability, lacked enough spacing between words, rendering the verbiage into “groupings of letters that are found in no dictionary and are incapable of having any meaning.”

To be clear, the amendment is at the very least legible. Restaurants and magazines probably shouldn’t employ the ballot measure’s maker to design their menus or page layouts, but it’s not the “hodgepodge of nonsensical gibberish” that Citizens to Support Michigan Women and Children made it out to be.

Nonetheless, the spacing complaint culminated in the amendment being blocked from the ballot because it needed the sign-off of three Board of State Canvassers members, and the group was split 2-2 on their decision along party lines. In a last-ditch effort, the abortion-rights group Reproductive Freedom for All, which spearheaded the ballot initiative, requested the state’s highest court weigh in on the issue.

In a 5-2 decision on Thursday night, the state Supreme Court ordered the ballot referendum to be reinstated in the upcoming election. The Michigan Board of Canvassers then voted unanimously to follow the court’s order on Friday, which was the state’s deadline to certify ballots before clerks can begin sending them to voters ahead of the November 8 election.
Read more here: https://www.motherjones.com/politics/2 ... midterms/
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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NYT/Siena GCB at D+2, 46-44

Their last poll in July was D+1, 44-43 I believe

https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/16/us/p ... -poll.html
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Ohio Senate:

Ryan (D) 46% (+3)
Vance (R) 43%

.@FallonResearch
/ Montrose Group, 600 RV, 9/6-11
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Generic Congressional Ballot:

Democrats 37% (+4)
Republicans 33%

.@Reuters
/@Ipsos
, 1,003 Adults, 9/12-13
https://ipsos.com/sites/default/
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Pennsylvania GOP Gubernatorial Nominee Was Registered To Vote In N.J. Until 2021
Source: New Jersey Globe

New Jersey is serving as an incubator for Republican candidates in Pennsylvania, with two statewide candidates being New Jersey natives and longtime residents.

Gubernatorial candidate Douglas Mastriano was a registered voter in New Jersey for 28 years until July 2021 when election officials changed his status to inactive.

Records show that Mastriano voted from his family’s Hightstown home from 1982, when he turned 18, through the 2010 general election. He remained on the voter rolls until a sample ballot was returned roughly six months after the death of his mother last year.
Read more: https://newjerseyglobe.com/national/pen ... ntil-2021/
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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How Democrats Should Respond When Republican Candidates Yell 'Inflation, Inflation, Inflation'
by Miles Mogulescu
September 16, 2022

Extract:
(Common Dreams) After predictions of a red wave in November, Democrats now seem to have a reasonable chance of increasing their majority in the Senate and a decent, but outside, chance of retaining their majority in the House.

Since the Supreme Court's decision which could force women to be unwilling bearers of fetuses in half the country, support and enthusiasm for Democrats has increased dramatically. This has been amplified by the existence of hundreds of MAGA election deniers among Republican candidates, and Democrat's success in passing popular legislation that helps ordinary people.

The Republican response is to scream "inflation" and blame it on President Biden and the Democrats.

Here's how Democrats should respond: "So what are Republicans going to do about inflation?"

The truth is that Republicans have no actual plans to reduce inflation, except to rely on the Fed to increase interest rates and unemployment to keep wages down. Besides that, all they have left are the old Republican bromides: increase oil production (and forget about climate change); reduce taxes for corporations and the wealthy; deregulate business; and cut government spending on programs that benefit the working and middle class.
Read more here: https://www.commondreams.org/views/202 ... inflation
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caltrek
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Group Launches ‘Vote Like a Madre’ Campaign to Mobilize Latina Voters Around Climate Crisis
by Hector Luis Alamo
September 14 , 2022

Introduction:
(Latino Rebels) LAS VEGAS — On Wednesday, Latino Victory Project, a nonprofit group that champions progressive causes in Latino communities, launched its 2022 “Vote Like a Madre” campaign to mobilize Latina voters around the climate crisis issue ahead of the midterm elections in November.

The ad campaign will feature Latina artists, celebrities, and influencers such as Latino Victory Project co-founder Eva Longoria, America Ferrera, Lin-Manuel Miranda (whose father is chair of the group’s executive board), Jessica Alba, Rosario Dawson, Michaela Jaé Rodriguez, Ariana DeBose, Angélica María, Angélica Vale, Gloria Calderón Kellet, Chef Lorena Garcia, Carolina Sandoval, Danna Garcia, Cyn Santana, and Rosie Perez.

“The Vote Like a Madre campaign will focus on Nevada and Arizona, two states severely impacted by extreme heat and drought,” said a spokeswoman for the campaign in an email to Latino Rebels. “There are 31 million Latinas in the United S tates with 1 million eligible Latina voters in Nevada and Arizona.”

In a July 2021 study conducted by Telemundo, in partnership with Hispanas Organized for Political Equality and Latino Victory Project, almost 60 percent of 800 Latinas surveyed said they would vote for a candidate who supports initiatives to combat the climate crisis.

The same study showed that Latinas hold increasingly tremendous sway over their families, communities, in the economy, and in politics.
Read more here: https://www.latinorebels.com/2022/09/1 ... keamadre/
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-Joe Hill
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caltrek
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Trump’s Triumph
by Josh Kraushaar and Jonathan Swan
September 18, 2022

Introduction:
(Axios) Amid his legal peril, former President Trump emerges from the midterm primary season with two trophies that show the extent to which he has reshaped the Republican Party in his image — and toward his obsessions.

Driving the news: In 24 states, across the map, Republicans are fielding 2020 presidential election deniers as November standard-bearers for statewide office — governor, secretary of state or attorney general. These candidates — nearly 1 in 3 GOP statewide candidates, according to AP — backed Trump's push to overturn the election, or spread lies about results.

• In the 26 notable GOP primaries where Trump made an endorsement, he went 21-5, according to a "Final Primary Report Card" by David Wasserman of The Cook Political Report with Amy Walter.

Why it matters: The implications for democracy in general, and the 2024 election in particular, are profound.

• If Trump has foot soldiers administering elections in ‘24 battleground states, he'd have a distinct advantage in the general election, regardless of his Democratic opponent.
Read more here: https://www.axios.com/2022/09/18/donal ... iers-2024

caltrek's comment: Of course, the big hope is that these Trump backed candidates will fair far worse in the general election. That is what it will take for Republicans to finally get tired of losing and back more moderate candidates. More importantly, to preserve democracy.
Don't mourn, organize.

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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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NBC News, Sep. 9-13, 1000 RV (change from August)

Approve 45 (+3)
Disapprove 52 (-3)

Strongly approve 19 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 43 (-1)

GCB: D 46 (+1), R 46 (-1)
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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WI-SEN (Emerson): Johnson +4

Johnson (D) 48%
Barnes (R) 44%
Other 3%
Undecided 6%

https://emersoncollegepolling.com/wisco ... elections/
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