2022 midterm election thread

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wjfox
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Tuesday was another bad day for Senate Republicans' 2022 chances

Updated 1444 GMT (2244 HKT) September 14, 2022

Don Bolduc, who put election denialism at the center of his campaign, defeated establishment favorite Chuck Morse in New Hampshire's GOP Senate primary, the latest in a series of blows to Republicans' hopes of winning back the majority in the chamber this fall.

Bolduc now joins the likes of Herschel Walker in Georgia, J.D. Vance in Ohio, Mehmet Oz in Pennsylvania and Blake Masters in Arizona as Republican candidates who ran -- and won -- primary campaigns by aligning themselves with the coalition built by former President Donald Trump but who appear to have much work to do when it comes to courting a general election audience. (Sidebar: Trump did not endorse Bolduc -- or any other candidate -- in the New Hampshire primary.)

https://edition.cnn.com/2022/09/14/poli ... index.html
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Leavitt Upsets Mowers, Winning New Hampshire House G.O.P. Primary
Source: NY Times

By Annie Karni

Karoline Leavitt, a 25-year-old hard-right Republican who served as an assistant in President Donald J. Trump’s White House press office, won her party’s nomination on Tuesday for New Hampshire’s First Congressional District, according to The Associated Press.

The race had devolved into a nasty battle with Matt Mowers, a former Trump administration colleague, over who carried the mantle of Trumpism.

“Unfortunately, tonight’s results did not go our way,” Mr. Mowers wrote in a concession statement on Twitter at 11:25 p.m.

Ms. Leavitt’s upset victory means she will face off in November against Representative Chris Pappas, a two-term Democratic congressman representing the highly competitive district in the eastern and southern parts of the state. Mr. Pappas is one of the most vulnerable Democrats this cycle, with his re-election race considered a tossup.



If she wins in November, Karoline Leavitt could be the youngest person elected to Congress.Credit...Brian Snyder/Reuters
Read more: https://www.nytimes.com/2022/09/13/us/p ... imary.html
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Moore Concedes to Bolduc in New Hampshire Senate Race, Realizing G.O.P. Fears
Source: New York Times
Don Bolduc, a retired Army general and 2020 election denier, appears to have captured the Republican nomination for Senate in New Hampshire after his chief rival conceded early Wednesday.

The Associated Press has not yet called the race. As of 10 a.m. Eastern, Mr. Bolduc held a lead of about 1,300 votes over Chuck Morse, the president of the State Senate.

Mr. Morse was endorsed by Gov. Chris Sununu and helped by $4.5 million from national Republicans, who were worried that a victory by Mr. Bolduc would forfeit what they saw as a winnable seat in the quest for Senate control this fall.

Mr. Bolduc’s apparent victory will come as a relief to Democrats, who also assume he will be the weaker opponent against Senator Maggie Hassan, a first-term Democrat. She won in 2016 by about 1,000 votes in purple New Hampshire but has been saddled with low job approval numbers. Four states — New Hampshire, Arizona, Georgia and Nevada — have vulnerable Democratic senators the party is aggressively defending to keep its hold on the Senate.
Read more: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/politics ... r-AA11P1W6
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Georgia GOP Senate Hopeful Herschel Walker Says He's All In on Federal Abortion Ban
by Brett Wilkins
September 14, 2022

Introduction:
(Common Dreams) GOP U.S. Senate hopeful Herschel Walker on Wednesday reaffirmed his support for a national abortion ban, saying that he would vote for the policy if elected in November and if Republicans regain control of the upper chamber.

In a statement reported by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, Walker—the Heisman Trophy-winning former NFL superstar—called himself "a proud pro-life Christian" who "will always stand up for our unborn children."

Responding to Sen. Lindsey Graham's (R-S.C.) introduction Tuesday of a national 15-week abortion ban, Walker said that "I believe the issue should be decided at the state level, but I would support this policy."

It wasn't the first time Walker—who does not back exceptions in cases of rape, incest, or even to save the pregnant person's life—voiced support for a national abortion ban. In July, he told reporters that "there's not a national ban on abortion right now and I think that's a problem."

Sen. Raphael Warnock, the Democratic incumbent, and his campaign seized upon Walker's comments to draw a stark contrast between the candidates.
Read more here: https://www.commondreams.org/news/2022 ... rtion-ban
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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“States' Rights” Advocate Marco Rubio Announces Co-sponsorship of Lindsey Graham's Federal Abortion Ban
by Brandon Gage
September 14, 2022

Introduction:
(Alternet) United States Senator Marco Rubio (R-Florida) announced on Wednesday afternoon that he has become a co-sponsor of a national abortion ban that was first proposed by Senator Lindsey Graham (R-South Carolina) on Tuesday.

The legislation would outlaw the procedure after 15 weeks with limited exceptions for rape, incest, and the life of the mother.

Less than three weeks ago, Rubio told CBS News Miami's Jim DeFede that he believes that abortion should be regulated by the states.

“[A]ll the Supreme Court said is that now that debate is not going to happen in Washington — where it wasn’t happening at all because of Roe v. Wade — now that decision has to be made at the state level.... Every state will have its own [law]," Rubio said as noted by MSNBC's Steve Benen on Wednesday.

"Well, I think that right now this issue is appropriately before the states," Rubio added. "That’s where it should’ve always been; that’s where it is now; and I think that’s where it’ll be for the foreseeable future.... Frankly, I think this issue is better decided at the state level."
Read more here: https://www.alternet.org/2022/09/marco ... tion-ban/

caltrek's comment: At least the legislation would havve "limited exceptions for rape, incest, and the life of the mother." Stil, I doubt that will satisfy pro-choice advocates and voters so-inclined.
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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The Case for Democratic Optimism — and Pessimism — in the Midterms
by Andrew Prokop
September 14, 2022

Introduction:
(Vox) The hopes have been building among Democrats. What if — maybe, just maybe — this year’s midterm elections won’t be so bad for their party after all?

The weight of history, polling numbers, and last November’s election results all seemed to spell doom for Biden’s party in the midterms. But in recent months — particularly since the Supreme Court’s Dobbs decision eliminating federal abortion rights protections — there’s been a shift.

Recent special elections have been encouraging for Democrats, most recently with their pickup of Alaska’s House seat. The lead in generic ballot polling that Republicans had all year vanished last month, and current polling averages show about a tie. And if Democrats win all the Senate races where they’re currently leading polls, they’d retain control of the chamber (though some of those leads are quite small, and some states haven’t been polled very often).

It’s important to keep things in perspective. Polls are not showing a blue wave — instead, they suggest Democrats are underdogs to retain the House and that the Senate could go either way (FiveThirtyEight’s forecast gives the GOP about a one-in-three chance of winning it). Current indicators now seem to point to a close midterm contest rather than a blowout defeat of the type suffered by Donald Trump’s GOP in 2018, Barack Obama’s Democrats in 2014 and 2010, and George W. Bush’s GOP in 2006.

But is this a true change in the political winds — or will Republicans end up with a solid victory in the end after all?
Read more here: https://www.vox.com/authors/andrew-prokop
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Winners and Loser from the Last Big 2022 Primaries
by Ben Jacobs
September 14, 2022

Introduction:
(Vox ) The primary season, which began with the death rattle of the Bush political dynasty in Texas, ended with President Joe Biden jetting back to Wilmington on Air Force One to cast his ballot less than an hour before polls closed.

Yet while Biden was voting in a relatively uneventful election in Delaware (the most interesting race on the ballot featured an incumbent state auditor who had recently been found guilty of corruption and consequently lost 70-30), results were already being tabulated to the north, in New Hampshire primaries that could determine control of Congress in November and the shape of politics on Capitol Hill afterward.
Read more here: https://www.vox.com/policy-and-politic ... de-island

Winners profiled are:
1. Republican Don Bolduc in New Hampshire (pro-Trump. See also top of this page and third story on this page).
2. Republican Robert Burns in New Hampshire (ultra-conservative). It is likely that Democrats will hold on to this Congressional district in November.
3. Republican Karoline Leavitt in New Hampshire, who made false claims about the 2020 election. (See also second story on top of this page).
4. Democrat Governor Dan McKee in Rhode Island won the nomination to continue in his current office.

caltrek’s comment: Democrats continued the high-risk strategy of pushing Republican extremists so as to secure easier victories in November.
Last edited by caltrek on Thu Sep 15, 2022 9:06 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Schumer Warns Democrats They Will Lose House Majority
by Noah Bressner
September 15, 2022

Introduction:
(Axios) The House will lose its Democratic majority in the midterms, Majority Leader Chuck Schumer told fellow senators earlier this week, contradicting recent comments from Speaker Nancy Pelosi, Punchbowl News reports.

Why it matters: The bearish warning come as Democrats had regained some hope of maintaining their majorities after a recent slate of good news for the Biden administration — including falling gas prices and a big legislative win.

• And early Thursday morning, the White House announced a deal to avoid a major rail strike that would have put the economy on the brink.
Driving the news: Schumer privately told senators at a dinner near Capitol Hill that Pelosi is "in danger" and Democrats will lose their majority in the House after the midterms, per the outlet.
• The dinner was attended by Sens. Chris Coons (Del.), Mark Kelly (Ariz.), Chris Van Hollen (Md.), Tom Carper (Del.), John Hickenlooper (Colo.) and Dick Durbin (Ill.).
• Pelosi has predicted in recent days that Democrats would add to their House majority.
Read more here: https://www.axios.com/2022/09/15/schum ... -midterms

caltrek’s comment: Democrats cannot afford to be complacent. So, if this energizes the vote great. If this affects morale and leads to fatalism and lack of voter participation – not so good.
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Arizona’s Latino Voters and Political Independents Could Spell Midterm Defeats for MAGA Candidates
by Gina Serignese Woodall
September 12, 2022

Introduction:
(The Conversation) Two years after the 2020 presidential election, Donald Trump’s resentment over losing continues to energize his supporters in Arizona.

That resentment played out during the Aug. 13, 2022, Republican primaries that saw Trump-endorsed candidates for U.S. Senate, governor, secretary of state and state attorney general sweep the GOP ticket.

While each of the candidates made Trump’s false claims that he won the presidential contest a central part of their campaigns, it’s unclear whether that message will resonate among Arizona’s increasingly diverse registered voters in the general election on Nov. 8, 2022.
Conclusion:
The Democrats are focusing on get-out-the-vote efforts, particularly among young Latinos, and painting the Trump-endorsed candidates as too extreme for Arizonans.

Given the changing demographics in Arizona, that strategy may appeal to not only independent voters but also mainstream Republicans disillusioned with the extreme wing of their party.
Read more here: https://theconversation.com/arizonas-l ... es-188512
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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caltrek wrote: Thu Sep 15, 2022 1:20 pm Georgia GOP Senate Hopeful Herschel Walker Says He's All In on Federal Abortion Ban
by Brett Wilkins
September 14, 2022

Introduction:
(Common Dreams) GOP U.S. Senate hopeful Herschel Walker on Wednesday reaffirmed his support for a national abortion ban, saying that he would vote for the policy if elected in November and if Republicans regain control of the upper chamber.

In a statement reported by The Atlanta Journal-Constitution, Walker—the Heisman Trophy-winning former NFL superstar—called himself "a proud pro-life Christian" who "will always stand up for our unborn children."

Responding to Sen. Lindsey Graham's (R-S.C.) introduction Tuesday of a national 15-week abortion ban, Walker said that "I believe the issue should be decided at the state level, but I would support this policy."

It wasn't the first time Walker—who does not back exceptions in cases of rape, incest, or even to save the pregnant person's life—voiced support for a national abortion ban. In July, he told reporters that "there's not a national ban on abortion right now and I think that's a problem."

Sen. Raphael Warnock, the Democratic incumbent, and his campaign seized upon Walker's comments to draw a stark contrast between the candidates.
Read more here: https://www.commondreams.org/news/2022 ... rtion-ban
I aint for a total ban as that is a little extreme. I mean there should be exceptions for rape and incest and maybe the limit should be 20 weeks outside of that. This sadly is probably going to hurt the republican party this election as the vast majority of this society probably thinks it is also insane.
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