2022 midterm election thread

weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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DeSantis not asking Trump for endorsement: report
Source: Orlando Sentinel
Florida Gov. Ron DeSantis is not asking former President Donald Trump for an endorsement for the 2022 gubernatorial race, according to a report in Politico.

Citing four unnamed sources close to both the governor and Trump, no ask has been made, and there are no plans to.

DeSantis rode a Trump endorsement in 2018 to a GOP primary win over Adam Putnam, and then a narrow win over Democrat Andrew Gillum.

For 2022, DeSantis is likely to face either former governor, now Rep. Charlie Crist or Agriculture Secretary Nikki Fried, who are running for this year’s Democrat primary.
Read more: https://www.orlandosentinel.com/politic ... story.html
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caltrek
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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The following is an interesting political advertisement. Apologies to W J Fox for the lack of advertising revenue from Ms Demings for this site.

Don't mourn, organize.

-Joe Hill
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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PollTracker
@PollTrackerUSA
·
8h
2022 Generic Congressional Ballot Poll:

Republicans 48% (+4)
Democrats 44%

McLaughlin & Associates ~ 1,000 LV ~ 6/17-6/22
https://mclaughlinonline.com/pols/wp-conten
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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2022 Generic Congressional Ballot Poll:

Republicans 48% (+8)
Democrats 40%

@Rasmussen_Poll
~ 2,500 LV ~ 6/19-6/23
https://rasmussenreports.com/public_content

It is going to be a red wave from hell rolling across this land!!!
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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PollTracker
@PollTrackerUSA
·
20h
2022 #PAGov General Election Poll:

Josh Shapiro (D) 48% (+3)
Doug Mastriano (R) 45%

@cygnal
~ 535 LV ~ 6/17-6/19
https://cygn.al/poll-shapiro-o
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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PollTracker
@PollTrackerUSA
·
20h
2022 #PASen General Election Poll:

John Fetterman (D) 48% (+4)
Mehmet Oz (R) 44%

@cygnal
~ 535 LV ~ 6/17-6/19
https://cygn.al/poll-shapiro-o
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caltrek
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Democrat Representative Henry Cuellar Declared Winner in Texas Recount
June 22, 2022

Introduction:
AUSTIN, Texas (AP) — A recount in Texas affirmed Democrat U.S. Rep. Henry Cuellar as the winner Tuesday of his primary race against progressive challenger Jessica Cisneros, who had trailed by fewer than 200 votes following a runoff in May.

Cuellar, a nine-term congressman, defeated Cisneros by 289 votes, according to the results of the recount announced by the Texas Democratic Party.
The Associated Press had not previously declared a winner in the race because it had been too close to call.

It is the second time that Cisneros, a 29-year-old immigration attorney who once interned for Cuellar, has lost a challenge to her former boss, whose moderate record along Texas’ heavily Hispanic southern border has aligned him at times with Republicans on issues including abortion and guns.

This time Cisneros got even closer than in 2020, when she lost by 4 percentage points behind national support from the party’s progressive leaders, including Sens. Bernie Sanders of Vermont and Elizabeth Warren of Massachusetts. They endorsed her again in the rematch along with abortion-rights groups that swooped into the race as the U.S. Supreme Court signaled it might overturn Roe v. Wade.
Read more here: https://www.latinorebels.com/2022/06/2 ... edwinner/
Don't mourn, organize.

-Joe Hill
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caltrek
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Fall of Roe Could Sway Some Swing Voters to Democrats in November
by Kirk McDaniel, Michael McDaniel, and Andy Olesko
June 25, 2022

Introduction:
(Courthouse News) — Democrats face overwhelming odds heading into the November midterm elections. Inflation, compounded by rising gas and housing prices and low approval ratings plaguing Democratic legislators, suggest a comfortable path for Republicans to take back the U.S. House and win down the ballot. The GOP simply need not slip up.

That was before Friday, when the U.S. Supreme Court struck down the federal right to abortion, overruling its landmark Roe v. Wade precedent in a 6-3 split.

The decision in Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization now leaves it in the hands of the states to decide the legality of the medical procedure.
Abortion rights receive broad national support across the American electorate. In two polls from May, Gallup found that 85% believe abortion should be legal in all or some circumstances, with the Pew Research Center reporting 61%.

Experts in Arizona, Michigan and Texas are scratching their heads at the potential ramifications of the decision. The reversal of what was considered settled law could fuel conservative-leaning women towards more liberal candidates.

Valerie Hoekstra, a political science professor at Arizona State University and author of “Public Reaction to Supreme Court Decisions,” suggests the landmark ruling, largely made possible by three appointees of President Donald Trump, could disillusion voters.
Read more here: https://www.courthousenews.com/fall-o ... november/

caltrek's comment: If this does happen in the way that the article suggests, it will not be an automatic process. Rather, it will be because a lot of people become highly energized to move to support sensible candidates. To really make a difference, they would have to do so in red and purple states where I do not reside. Outside resources can also help, especially financial contributions. While there may be tenuous grounds for a solid prediction, one can at least hope.
Don't mourn, organize.

-Joe Hill
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caltrek
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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While generic Congressional poll matchups between Democrats and Republicans are looking bleak for Democrats, there is some good news in Senate races:

In Wisconsin, three of four potential Democratic candidates are shown leading Republican Senator Johnson by one or two points in a poll dated June 23, 2022.

In Utah, Independent McMullin leads potential Republican candidate Isom by ten points, but trails two other Republican possibilities by two points (Edwards) or six points (Lee).

In Pennsylvania, Democrat Fetterman leads Republican Oz by nine points in a poll dated June 15, 2022.

In North Carolina, Democrat Beasley leads Republican Budd by four points (44% versus 40%).

According to a June 14 poll, Georgia is a dead tie toss-up and is likely to be a nail biter right up until election day.

Source: https://www.realclearpolitics.com/epolls/latest_polls/

This is a highlight of results, as I have omitted states where there is no big surprise. Some states will still be a slam dunk for Republicans, but if the cited results hold up (along with a Democratic hold in Georgia) the Senate could easily tip to a more comfortable control by the Democrats.
Don't mourn, organize.

-Joe Hill
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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More than 1 million voters switch to GOP in warning for Dems
Source: AP
WASHINGTON (AP) — A political shift is beginning to take hold across the U.S. as tens of thousands of suburban swing voters who helped fuel the Democratic Party’s gains in recent years are becoming Republicans.

More than 1 million voters across 43 states have switched to the Republican Party over the last year, according to voter registration data analyzed by The Associated Press. The previously unreported number reflects a phenomenon that is playing out in virtually every region of the country — Democratic and Republican states along with cities and small towns — in the period since President Joe Biden replaced former President Donald Trump.

But nowhere is the shift more pronounced — and dangerous for Democrats — than in the suburbs, where well-educated swing voters who turned against Trump’s Republican Party in recent years appear to be swinging back. Over the last year, far more people are switching to the GOP across suburban counties from Denver to Atlanta and Pittsburgh and Cleveland. Republicans also gained ground in counties around medium-size cities such as Harrisburg, Pennsylvania; Raleigh, North Carolina; Augusta, Georgia; and Des Moines, Iowa.

Ben Smith, who lives in suburban Larimer County, Colorado, north of Denver, said he reluctantly registered as a Republican earlier in the year after becoming increasingly concerned about the Democrats’ support in some localities for mandatory COVID-19 vaccines, the party’s inability to quell violent crime and its frequent focus on racial justice.
Read more: https://apnews.com/article/2022-midterm ... 45402be8b9
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