2022 midterm election thread

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caltrek
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Don’t be So Sure that Republicans Will Win the Senate
by Thomas F. Harrison
June 29, 2022

Introduction:
BOSTON (Courthouse News) — Expectations that Republicans will win control of the U.S. Senate in November, like the apocryphal reports of Mark Twain’s death, may have been greatly exaggerated.

Republicans face an uphill battle and could very easily lose seats, despite political winds in their favor with President Biden’s approval rating hovering near 40% and as many as three-quarters of Americans telling pollsters that the country is on the wrong track.

“Right now I’d say the Democrats are very slightly favored” to hold the Senate, said David Niven, who teaches American politics at the University of Cincinnati.

“Based on the fundamentals, you’d rather have the Republicans’ hand this year, but when you look at it race by race, the Democrats are not in bad shape,” agreed Stephen Medvic, director of the Center for Politics and Public Affairs at Franklin & Marshall College.

This is due to the peculiarity of which seats are in play this year, some key Republican retirements, and the fact that the GOP has repeatedly followed its 2016 playbook at the state level and nominated celebrity political neophytes rather than proven vote-getters.
Read more here: https://www.courthousenews.com/dont-be ... e-senate/
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Patrick Svitek
@PatrickSvitek
·
Follow
Hispanic voters in new @TxPolProject poll —

Biden approval: 39/49
Abbott approval: 38/51 (O'Rourke leads ballot 45-36)
#txlege ballot: 40 R/46 D
U.S. House ballot: 39 R/47 D
7:43 AM · Jul 6, 2022
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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weatheriscool wrote: Wed Jul 06, 2022 6:23 pm Patrick Svitek
@PatrickSvitek
·
Follow
Hispanic voters in new @TxPolProject poll —

Biden approval: 39/49
Abbott approval: 38/51 (O'Rourke leads ballot 45-36)
#txlege ballot: 40 R/46 D
U.S. House ballot: 39 R/47 D
7:43 AM · Jul 6, 2022
No wonder Texas is a red state!
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caltrek
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Pennsylvania Senate Hopeful Mehmet Oz has 'Gone Dark' Since Winning the GOP Nomination
by David Badash
July 7, 2022

Introduction:
(Alternet) Since just days after winning the Republican nomination for a U.S. Senate seat from Pennsylvania, Mehmet Oz has “gone dark,” disappearing from television airwaves.

“This is not the general election kickoff in a pivotal Senate race that Republicans were hoping for,” Politico reports, as Lt. Governor John Fetterman, who won the Democratic nomination for that Senate seat, “burnishes his brand on TV as a political outsider, and paints Oz as a carpetbagger from New Jersey.”
Further Extract:
And it’s angering grassroots Republican operatives.

Dr. Oz “came in a distant third in my county, so I called them up and said, ‘You need to talk to our people to change their mind and our mind and I’ll help you do that,’” Huntingdon County Republican Party chair Arnie McClure told Politico. “And I don’t even hear back. What the hell?”

“Oz’s unfavorable rating is 50 percent, while 28 percent view him favorably, according to the Suffolk poll. Fetterman’s favorable-unfavorable rating, by contrast, is 45-27. The same survey showed Fetterman ahead of Oz in a head-to-head race by nine points.”
Read more here: https://www.alternet.org/2022/07/mehm ... ne-dark/
Last edited by caltrek on Mon Jul 18, 2022 4:24 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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PollTracker
@PollTrackerUSA
·
Jul 8
2022 Generic Congressional Ballot Poll:

Republicans 50% (+8)
Democrats 42%

@InsiderAdv
/@theamgreatness
(R) ~ 825 LV ~ 7/5-7/6
https://amgreatness.com/2022/07/08/bid
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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PollTracker
@PollTrackerUSA
·
Jul 8
2022 #GAGov General Election Poll:

Brian Kemp (R-Inc) 53% (+9)
Stacey Abrams (D) 44%

@DataProgress
~ 1,131 LV ~ 7/1-7/6
https://thedailybeast.com/raphael-warnoc
weatheriscool
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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PollTracker
@PollTrackerUSA
·
Jul 8
2022 #GASen General Election Poll:

Herschel Walker (R) 49% (+2)
Raphael Warnock (D-Inc) 47%

@DataProgress
~ 1,131 LV ~ 7/1-7/6
https://thedailybeast.com/raphael-warnoc
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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How Arizona’s Gubernatorial Race Became an 'Emerging Proxy Fight' Between Trump and Governor Doug Ducey
by Alex Henderson
July 12, 2022

Introduction:
(Alternet) Arizona Gov. Doug Ducey is among the conservative Republicans who former President Donald Trump angrily turned against following the 2020 presidential election. Ducey’s cardinal sin, in Trump’s mind, was refusing to go along with Big Lie and acknowledging that President Joe Biden won the state fairly.

The tension between Trump and Ducey, who Trump slams as a RINO (Republican In Name Only) remain. And according to Politico reporter Alex Isenstadt, that tension is playing out in Arizona’s 2022 Republican gubernatorial primary.

In an article published by Politico on July 12, Isenstadt describes the primary as an “emerging proxy fight between” Trump and Ducey. The two-term Arizona governor, who is term-limited, has endorsed wealthy GOP donor Karrin Taylor Robson, while Trump has endorsed the ultra-MAGA Kari Lake — a far-right “Stop the Steal” extremist and conspiracy theorist along the lines of Rep. Marjorie Taylor Greene of Georgia and Rep. Lauren Boebert of Colorado. Lake is campaigning on the Big Lie and falsely claims that the 2020 election was stolen from Trump — a thoroughly debunked claim that even former U.S. Attorney General Bill Barr has described as “bullshit.”

“The primary is the latest point of contention between Trump and Ducey,” Isenstadt explains. “The former president has repeatedly assailed the Arizona governor for refusing to overturn the 2020 election outcome in Arizona, which President Joe Biden won narrowly. After the election, Ducey was famously seen putting the former president to voicemail while signing papers certifying Biden’s victory.”
Read more here: https://www.alternet.org/2022/07/ariz ... g-ducey/
Don't mourn, organize.

-Joe Hill
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caltrek
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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Republican Lisa Murkowski Has an Unlikely Source of Support
by Alex Henderson
July 18, 2022

Introduction:
(Alternet) In Alaska, Sen. Lisa Murkowski is facing a primary challenge from far-right MAGA Republican Kelly Tshibaka, who former President Donald Trump is supporting. Murkowski, conservative but not far right, is often attacked as a RINO (Republican in Name Only) in Trump World. Yet among more traditional conservatives, she has a reputation for being someone who can get things done with Democrats — not unlike the late Sen. John McCain. And according to Politico reporter Burgess Everett, some of the people supporting Murkowski’s reelection campaign are Democrats and their allies.

“Jeanne Shaheen offered to campaign for her,” Everett explains in an article published by Politico
( https://www.politico.com/news/2022/07/ ... -00046159 ) on July 18. “Angus King directed money to her. And Mark Warner’s open to endorsing her whenever it helps most. No, she’s not a Democrat. She’s Republican Sen. Lisa Murkowski of Alaska.”

Sen. Angus King of Maine, technically, isn’t a Democrat; he’s an independent. But the centrist senator often caucuses with Democrats, and he generally gets along with moderate Republicans as well — including Murkowski and Sen. Susan Collins, Maine’s other senator.

Sen. Brian Schatz of Hawaii is one of the Democrats who is hoping that Murkowski wins her primary in Alaska. Schatz told Politico, “I don’t want to get Lisa in trouble.… Lisa is one of my very favorite Republicans, and if the Republican Party were comprised of center-right people like her, the country would be much better off. She’s a friend. And I think it would be a loss for Alaska if she were no longer serving in the Senate.”
Read more here: https://www.alternet.org/2022/07/repub ... ocrats/
Don't mourn, organize.

-Joe Hill
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Re: 2022 midterm election thread

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PollTracker
@PollTrackerUSA
·
2h
2022 #IAGov Republican Primary Poll:

Kim Reynolds (R-Inc) 48% (+17)
Deidre DeJear (D) 31%
Rick Stewart (L) 5%

@jaselzer
/@DMRegister
~ 597 LV ~ 7/10-7/13
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