Elections and Opinion Polls - general thread

weatheriscool
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Elections and Opinion Polls - general thread

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Pretty much talk about elections that don't go in any other thread...Such as the 2022 midterm or 2024 general election that currently have threads. Examples of what goes here can be the 2021 off year elections or elections in other countries.

McAuliffe and Youngkin are in a dead heat with one week to Virginia governor election, poll shows
Source: USA Today
Virginia's bellwether race for governor remains close in the final stretch of a campaign that is testing President Joe Biden’s sagging approval numbers going into the 2022 midterms.

Democrat Terry McAuliffe and Republican Glenn Youngkin are tied at roughly 45% each, according to a USA TODAY/Suffolk University Poll released Tuesday. But roughly 5% of likely voters say they are still undecided a week before the Nov. 2 vote.

David Paleologos, director of Suffolk University Political Research Center, said the race is simply a "dead heat" and will boil down to which party can get out its voters.

"It's down to turnout," Paleologos said.

Read more: https://www.usatoday.com/story/news/pol ... 172824001/
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Fox News Poll: Youngkin pulls ahead of McAuliffe among Virginia likely voters [Youngkin up by eight]
Fox News ^ | 10/28/2021 | Dana Blanton
https://www.foxnews.com/politics/youngk ... nia-voters
McAuliffe receives 45 percent to Youngkin’s 53 percent in a new Fox News survey of Virginia likely voters. Youngkin’s eight-point advantage is outside the poll’s margin of sampling error.

That’s a big shift from two weeks ago, when McAuliffe was ahead by five, 51-46 percent.
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Re: Elections and Opinion Polls - general thread

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Echelon Insights
@EchelonInsights
New #VAGOV poll from Echelon: Glenn Youngkin holds a 3 point edge in the likely electorate, and a similar advantage among all voters.

GOV:
@GlennYoungkin 49
@TerryMcAuliffe 46

LG:
@WinsomeSears 48
@HalaAyala 46

AG:
@JasonMiyaresVA 48
@MarkHerringVA 47

https://echeloninsights.com/in-the-news/va
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Re: Elections and Opinion Polls - general thread

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Eric Adams is elected mayor of New York City.
Source: New York Times

Eric Adams, a former New York City police captain whose attention-grabbing persona and keen focus on racial justice fueled a decades-long career in public life, was elected on Tuesday as the 110th mayor of New York, and the second Black mayor in the city’s history.

The Associated Press called Mr. Adams’s victory 10 minutes after the polls closed at 9 p.m.
Read more: https://www.nytimes.com/live/2021/11/02 ... -york-city
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Re: Elections and Opinion Polls - general thread

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Miami Mayor Francis Suarez reelected in a landslide victory
Source: Miami Herald
Miami Mayor Francis Suarez won reelection Tuesday night, handily defeating lesser-known opponents to earn his second four-year term as the figurehead of South Florida’s most populous city.

Before Election Day, Suarez captured about 79% of the mail ballots and early votes, building a giant lead before polls opened Tuesday. Suarez’s re-election was so anticipated that fans and supporters barely noticed when a big screen projecting results at his election party showed the mayor ahead of his second-place opponent by more than 13,000 votes.

With a such large lead, and a low Election Day turnout, by 7:30 p.m. Suarez had locked in a second term as Miami’s 34th mayor — the first to be born in the Magic City and son of the city’s first Cuban-born mayor, Xavier Suarez.
Read more at: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/politi ... rylink=cpy

Read more: https://www.miamiherald.com/news/politi ... 10071.html
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Ohio Democrat Shontel Brown wins House race for Fudge's seat
Source: Associated Press

By The Associated Press 11 minutes ago
COLUMBUS, Ohio (AP) — Democrat Shontel Brown won the Cleveland-area U.S. House seat formerly held by Housing Secretary Marcia Fudge in Tuesday’s special election.

Brown, 46, a Cuyahoga County Council member who also chairs the county Democratic Party, defeated Republican Laverne Gore, a business owner and activist, in the 11th Congressional District, a heavily Democratic area that stretches from Cleveland to Akron.

She fills the remainder of Fudge’s term, which runs until January 2023, facing reelection again next year under a congressional map that’s being redrawn to hold onto the seat.

A second special election is taking place in Ohio on Tuesday, this one for the open seat in the 15th Congressional District. Republican Mike Carey, a longtime coal lobbyist, and Democrat Allison Russo, a two-term state representative and public policy consultant, are competing to succeed Republican Rep. Steve Stivers, who resigned in April to become CEO of the Ohio Chamber of Commerce after a decade in Congress.
Read more: https://apnews.com/article/joe-biden-do ... 118a6e5135
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Republican Glenn Youngkin Wins Virginia Governor's Race
by Travis Waldron
November 3, 2021

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/glenn-yo ... d0bfc1eb74

Introduction:
(HuffPost) Glenn Youngkin, a career private equity executive running his first campaign, defeated former Gov. Terry McAuliffe (D) in Tuesday’s Virginia governor’s election, notching the first statewide victory for a Republican there since 2009 and dealing a major blow to the national Democratic Party. Vote tallies in the races for lieutenant governor and state attorney general suggest a GOP sweep for all three offices.

Youngkin branded himself early in the race as a moderate outsider, and targeted swing voters with ads focused on tax cuts, charter schools and raises for teachers and police officers.

But he and Virginia Republicans leaned in to the conservative culture war in the closing stages of the contest, staking the campaign on false claims that Democrats had helped spread the teaching of “critical race theory” throughout Virginia public schools, mischaracterizing the alleged sexual assault of a Virginia school student to stoke anti-trans hysteria, and peddling some of Donald Trump’s favorite lies about voter fraud and “election integrity.”

In the end, the effort to embrace the issues that would drive up turnout among conservatives while still pitching himself as something else to voters in the middle worked.

Democrats will lose their stranglehold on a state in which they have won four consecutive presidential contests and two straight gubernatorial races, and used their power to enact laws expanding health care, abortion access, protections for LGBTQ people and voting rights.
Don't mourn, organize.

-Joe Hill
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Michelle Wu Elected Boston Mayor
by Kevin Robillard
November 2, 2021

https://www.huffpost.com/entry/progress ... 73574b4dee

Introduction:
(HuffPost) City Councilor Michelle Wu easily won the Boston mayor’s race on Tuesday night, making her the first woman and person of color to win a mayoral election in the city and putting a progressive voice in charge of the largest city in New England.

Wu will be the city’s first Asian-American to serve as the city’s mayor. She’ll replace Kim Janey, the first woman and Black person to serve as mayor, who took over the job earlier this year after Marty Walsh resigned to become Labor Secretary in President Joe Biden’s cabinet.

Wu easily defeated fellow City Councilor Annissa Essaibi George, the more moderate candidate in the contest, in the final round of voting.

While Boston has long served as an incubator of liberal politicians on the national level, its local politics has traditionally been more insular and transactional, a political paradise for back-slapping men at the heads of political machines. Wu, a policy wonk who was a Harvard Law student and political protege of Massachusetts Sen. Elizabeth Warren (D-Mass.), is pushing to turn the city into a bastion of progressive policy.

While progressives have made key gains in the U.S. House, in state legislatures and in district attorneys’ offices around the country in recent years, they have won few races for executive positions. Wu’s tenure could serve as a policy blueprint and a political test for other left-wing candidates.
Image
Michelle Wu
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CBS News Projects New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy Wins Re-election
by Adam Brewster
November 4, 2021

https://www.cbsnews.com/news/phil-murph ... -governor/

Introducction:
(CBS) CBS News has projected that New Jersey Governor Phil Murphy will win a second term. He is the first Democratic governor to win reelection since 1977, but Murphy's thin margin of victory, currently about one point, in what was considered a safe blue state is raising red flags for Democrats around the country.

"I am humbled to be the first Democratic governor reelected in the great state of New Jersey since my dear friend, the late Governor Brendan Byrne did this in 1977," Murphy told supporters in Asbury Park on Wednesday night. "Thank you for putting your trust in our team for another four years. Thank you for saying we need to keep moving forward on a shared journey to a stronger and fairer New Jersey."

Murphy largely ran on his record for handling the COVID-19 pandemic and highlighted other first-term accomplishments, like raising the minimum wage, enacting a tax on wealthy New Jerseyans, expanding paid family leave benefits, increasing funding for public schools and providing more access to pre-K.

The slim margin highlights the continued divide over Murphy's handling of the pandemic and some of those first-term accomplishments that he highlighted throughout his campaign.

Jack Ciattarelli, meanwhile, largely focused his campaign on New Jersey's high taxes. Murphy has pledged to not raise taxes during his second term. But some Democrats have questioned whether Murphy did enough to paint a clear vision about what he wants to accomplish in his second term.
Don't mourn, organize.

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This truck driver just took down New Jersey's most powerful lawmaker
Source: Politico

Durr, a truck driver for the furniture store Raymour & Flanigan, was declared the victor Thursday in a race against one of the most powerful people in New Jersey: State Senate President Steve Sweeney, a top officer in the international Ironworkers union whose influence rivals that of governors.

In a week filled with surprises beyond the razor-thin New Jersey governor’s race, the election in South Jersey’s 3rd Legislative District was the biggest shocker of all — and one with massive implications for the future of New Jersey politics. Sweeney, who’s led the state’s upper legislative chamber for 12 years, was talked up in Democratic circles as a likely 2025 candidate for governor. He had amassed significant power in Trenton, shrewdly cutting deals with former Republican Gov. Chris Christie and frequently standing in the way of Gov. Phil Murphy’s agenda.

Even Durr harbored doubts about his chances and wasn’t ready to declare victory in a Wednesday interview, telling POLITICO he was “walking on eggshells” until the results became official. State Republicans quickly jumped on victory — despite deploying no resources in the race.

“I kept telling myself and telling people I was going to do it, but in the back of my mind I was like, ‘You know, how am I going to beat the Senate president?” said Durr, who ran unsuccessfully for state Assembly in 2019 and has never held elected office.

Read more: https://www.politico.com/news/2021/11/0 ... ney-519502
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