2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

weatheriscool
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Re: 2024 Presidential election

Post by weatheriscool »

First look: Sinema raises $1.6 million during Q1
Source: Axios
Sen. Kyrsten Sinema (D-Ariz.) raised $1.6 million during the first quarter of 2022, and nearly 75% of her contributions totaled less than $100, Axios has learned.

Why it matters: It's a lot of money for a senator who isn't up for reelection until 2024, and isn't a member of leadership or a committee chair. The numbers also give Sinema, a key holdout alongside Sen. Joe Manchin (D-W.Va.) in the 50-50 Senate, something to point to amid their controversial record of bucking the party.

The fact that 3/4 of her contributions were less than $100, and more than 97% of contributions came from individuals, shows her support from small-dollar donors.

That's a coveted demographic among both parties.

What they're saying: A Sinema campaign spokesperson attributed the numbers, in part, to Sinema's work on the bipartisan infrastructure bill and reauthorization of the Violence Against Women Act.
Read more: https://www.axios.com/sinema-16-million ... c5951.html
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caltrek
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Re: 2024 Presidential election

Post by caltrek »

Democrats' Worst Trump Nightmare
by Mike Allen
April 19, 2022

https://www.axios.com/democrat-senate-t ... b78df.html

Introduction:
(Axios) There's something much worse than losing the House, and possibly the Senate, that's rattling top Democrats who are studying polling and election trends:

The big picture: It's the possibility of a re-elected President Trump with a compliant, filibuster-proof Senate majority in January 2025.

Why it matters: It's impossible to forecast elections. But you can look at the states with Senate elections in 2024 and see why some Democrats are sounding the alarm.

"Democrats are sleepwalking into a Senate disaster," Yale's Simon Bazelon wrote last week on Matt Yglesias' Substack, Slow Boring
  • "The 2024 map is much worse," Bazelon added.
  • A close presidential election, he wrote, could doom Democratic Sens. Jon Tester in Montana ... Joe Manchin in West Virginia ... Sherrod Brown in Ohio ... Bob Casey in Pennsylvania ... Tammy Baldwin in Wisconsin ... Kyrsten Sinema in Arizona.
Don't mourn, organize.

-Joe Hill
weatheriscool
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Re: 2024 Presidential election

Post by weatheriscool »

Biden's approval dips to lowest of presidency: AP-NORC poll
Source: Associated Press

President Joe Biden’s approval rating dipped to the lowest point of his presidency in May, a new poll shows, with deepening pessimism emerging among members of his own Democratic Party.

Only 39% of U.S. adults approve of Biden’s performance as president, according to the poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Research, dipping from already negative ratings a month earlier.

Overall, only about 2 in 10 adults say the U.S. is heading in the right direction or the economy is good, both down from about 3 in 10 a month earlier. Those drops were concentrated among Democrats, with just 33% within the president’s party saying the country is headed in the right direction, down from 49% in April.

Of particular concern for Biden ahead of the midterm elections, his approval among Democrats stands at 73%, a substantial drop since earlier in his presidency. In AP-NORC polls conducted in 2021, Biden’s approval rating among Democrats never dropped below 82%.
Read more: https://apnews.com/article/biden-approv ... 08b2affa65
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caltrek
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Re: 2024 Presidential election

Post by caltrek »

The Mastriano Threat to Democracy Goes Beyond Pennsylvania
by Will Bunch
May 20, 2022

Introduction:
(Common Dreams) (S)tate senator (Doug Mastriano) won a landslide primary victory to become the Republican nominee for governor (of Pennsylvania).

(Conclusion:)

And perhaps most importantly, in a state where Thomas Jefferson penned in 1776 that governments derive “just powers from the consent of the governed,” Mastriano has vowed to work with his handpicked Secretary of State and the legislature to make it harder to cast a ballot by curbing mail-in voting and other conveniences, and to impose a cockamamie reregistration scheme that would disenfranchise untold thousands. His willingness in 2020 to allow the legislature to send Trump’s 20 electoral votes to Congress despite Biden’s 80,000-vote victory signals he will do whatever it takes to assign Pennsylvania’s now-19 votes to a Republican in 2024.

It’s a pretty bleak picture, but the good news for Pennsylvania’s 13 million residents is that the 2022 election won’t be conducted under that hostile, restrictive regime. There’s plenty of time for folks to register, to take part an election that will show whether or not voters are so mad over supermarket prices that we’ll throw out representative government along with the bacon grease. Legend has it that Benjamin Franklin told a 1787 citizen in this very state that he’d been granted “a republic, if you can keep it.” In November, let’s keep it.
Source: https://www.commondreams.org/views/2022 ... nnsylvania
Don't mourn, organize.

-Joe Hill
weatheriscool
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Re: 2024 Presidential election

Post by weatheriscool »

Biden's approval dips to lowest of presidency: AP-NORC poll
Source: Associated Press

President Joe Biden’s approval rating dipped to the lowest point of his presidency in May, a new poll shows, with deepening pessimism emerging among members of his own Democratic Party.

Only 39% of U.S. adults approve of Biden’s performance as president, according to the poll from The Associated Press-NORC Center for Public Research, dipping from already negative ratings a month earlier.

Overall, only about 2 in 10 adults say the U.S. is heading in the right direction or the economy is good, both down from about 3 in 10 a month earlier. Those drops were concentrated among Democrats, with just 33% within the president’s party saying the country is headed in the right direction, down from 49% in April.

Of particular concern for Biden ahead of the midterm elections, his approval among Democrats stands at 73%, a substantial drop since earlier in his presidency. In AP-NORC polls conducted in 2021, Biden’s approval rating among Democrats never dropped below 82%.
Read more: https://apnews.com/article/biden-approv ... 08b2affa65
weatheriscool
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Re: 2024 Presidential election

Post by weatheriscool »

Eric Adams Eyeing White House Bid


https://politicalwire.com/2022/05/21/er ... house-bid/

"SNIP....

New York City Mayor Eric Adams (D) may be eyeing a White House run if President Biden doesn’t seek a second term, confidantes and City Hall insiders told the New York Post.
weatheriscool
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Re: 2024 Presidential election

Post by weatheriscool »

https://docs.cdn.yougov.com/d4z846zymi/ ... Report.pdf

Yougov (RV)

44% approve (+1)
51% disapprove (-)
weatheriscool
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Re: 2024 Presidential election

Post by weatheriscool »

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, May 21-24, 1500 adults including 1332 RV

Adults:

Approve 41 (nc)
Disapprove 49 (-1)

Strongly approve 15 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 37 (+1)

RV:

Approve 44 (+1)
Disapprove 51 (nc)

Strongly approve 17 (-1)
Strongly disapprove 40 (+2)

GCB (RV only): R 44 (+4), D 40 (-2)
Tadasuke
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Re: 2024 Presidential election

Post by Tadasuke »

I predict Andrew Yang getting more votes in 2024, but still not winning.
Global economy doubles in product every 15-20 years. Computer performance at a constant price doubles nowadays every 4 years on average. Livestock-as-food will globally stop being a thing by ~2050 (precision fermentation and more). Human stupidity, pride and depravity are the biggest problems of our world.
weatheriscool
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Re: 2024 Presidential election

Post by weatheriscool »

Michigan: Detroit Regional Chamber, May 9-13, 600 RV
Bidens approval
Approve 36
Disapprove 55

This isn't good for Biden in Michigan. ;) Maybe Trump can win it in 2024?

The Economist/YouGov weekly tracker, May 28-31, 1500 adults including 1280 RV

Adults:

Approve 41 (nc)
Disapprove 50 (+1)

Strongly approve 16 (+1)
Strongly disapprove 39 (+2)

RV:

Approve 43 (-1)
Disapprove 51 (nc)

Strongly approve 17 (nc)
Strongly disapprove 40 (nc)

GCB (RV only): D 43 (+3), R 42 (-2).
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