Future Timeline

Useful links:

Top 500 fastest supercomputers

https://www.top500.org/lists/top500/

Performance trends over time:

https://www.top500.org/statistics/perfdevel/

My predictions for 2021–2055

https://www.futuretimeline.net/data-tre ... iction.htm

Rather sad that we're still in the petaflops range.

Yuli Ban wrote: ↑Mon Aug 09, 2021 7:03 pm Rather sad that we're still in the petaflops range.

It's time for a 6th paradigm in computing. We've been stuck in the 5th too long, and the slowing curve is sort of manifestation of that.

Yuli Ban wrote: ↑Mon Aug 09, 2021 7:03 pm Rather sad that we're still in the petaflops range.

Actually we surpassed it this year with the Japan supercomputer and last year Folding@home reached 2 Exaflops of performance!

https://stats.foldingathome.org/os

Nero wrote: ↑Sun Aug 15, 2021 5:26 pm

Yuli Ban wrote: ↑Mon Aug 09, 2021 7:03 pm Rather sad that we're still in the petaflops range.

Actually we surpassed it this year with the Japan supercomputer and last year Folding@home reached 2 Exaflops of performance!

https://stats.foldingathome.org/os

He meant the range (or distribution curve, if you will) where nearly all supercomputers still fall in the petaflop category.

Nero wrote: ↑Sun Aug 15, 2021 5:26 pm

Yuli Ban wrote: ↑Mon Aug 09, 2021 7:03 pm Rather sad that we're still in the petaflops range.

Actually we surpassed it this year with the Japan supercomputer and last year Folding@home reached 2 Exaflops of performance!

https://stats.foldingathome.org/os

That's a different measure, though, from what I understand. Not "true" exaFLOPS.

So I've been Googling around as I research my next timeline prediction, and I discovered two additional levels that surpass yottaflops!

The sequence goes like this:

Exaflops
Zettaflops
Yottaflops
Brontoflops
Geoflops

wjfox wrote: ↑Mon Aug 16, 2021 3:30 pm
Brontoflops

Very apt given how mindbogglingly HUGE the number is.

wjfox wrote: ↑Mon Aug 09, 2021 4:38 pm My predictions for 2021–2055

https://www.futuretimeline.net/data-tre ... iction.htm



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