Ukraine War Watch Thread

Xyls
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

Post by Xyls »

joe00uk wrote: Fri Oct 14, 2022 5:13 pm
Xyls wrote: Fri Oct 14, 2022 5:07 pmI will say though the Ukrainian ministers should've kept out of it.
Indeed. Never bite the hand that feeds you. It looks like Ukraine will learn this lesson the hard way.
Agreed, but Elon also needs to be taught a lesson. He's very clearly becoming a national security threat in the US at this point.

Update: Interestingly the Guardian is reporting that Elon had actually already started this process of stopping Starlink in September before this whole Ukrainian ambassador Tweet. So it seems like this has been longer in the making: https://www.theguardian.com/world/live/ ... ents=false
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joe00uk
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

Post by joe00uk »

Xyls wrote: Fri Oct 14, 2022 5:29 pm Agreed, but Elon also needs to be taught a lesson. He's very clearly becoming a national security threat in the US at this point.
To be honest, my sympathies are with Elon here and not with the DC regime.
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andmar74
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

Post by andmar74 »

andmar74 wrote: Wed Oct 12, 2022 11:26 am How can Putin get out of this without loosing face?
When I was thinking about this, it became obvious:

The Russians will leave Crimea and the rest of Ukraine, and Putin will explain that Russia couldn't keep on fighting all of NATO, which is 30 countries. Now this is even mostly true. A huge amount of weapons and ammunition has been sent to Ukraine, to the point where the NATO members are running low on military equipment. Ukrainian soldiers and other personel are trained in NATO countries, and prior to the war the Ukrainian army was trained by NATO personel in Ukraine. Also, Ukraine is surely getting a lot of intel from the west.

Putin will also say that a lot of nazis have been tortured and killed, so under the circumstances it's a success.
Quoting myself here..
Now Joe Biden is saying the same:
that Putin "could just flat leave, and still probably hold his position together in Russia," as questions have arisen about whether the Kremlin resident can stay in power without winning some kind of victory.

Biden said Putin might be able to tell the Russian people "that this something that he thought made sense, but now he's accomplished what he wanted to do, and it's time to bring Russians home."
https://www.newsweek.com/joe-biden-just ... ar-1751426
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ibm9000
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

Post by ibm9000 »

Wishful thinking and fairy tales are not an "opinion".
(But I may be wrong).
Agreed, but Elon also needs to be taught a lesson
.
Who is the bully here?
not constantly concealing what my intent or positions are unlike some users (ibm).


Intent?, what that has anything to do with? Facts are true or false.

*Is he trying to play to a domestic audience with this?
You mean like Putin, Biden and Zelensky?

*Is he trying to open dialogue when Putin has already shown he doesn't give a lick what Macron thinks based on conversations?
You mean as much as Putin and Biden care about what we -armchair generals- and K. think about it?

Have you been private to any one of those conversations?
(Please, tell us).


*It is a VERY bad look to make it look like you are giving into nuclear blackmail
.
You mean when Biden said that he was not going to start WW3 for Ukraine?
Last edited by ibm9000 on Sat Oct 15, 2022 3:18 am, edited 1 time in total.
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ibm9000
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

Post by ibm9000 »

Never bite the hand that feeds you.
Are we talking about the Free Press here?
weatheriscool
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

Post by weatheriscool »

U.S. warns of sanctions against suppliers of ammunition to Russia
Source: Reuters

By Daphne Psaledakis, Karen Freifeld and Andrea Shalal

WASHINGTON (Reuters) -The United States on Friday warned it can impose sanctions on people, countries and companies that provide ammunition to Russia or support its military-industrial complex, as Washington seeks to increase pressure on Moscow over the war in Ukraine.

Deputy Treasury Secretary Wally Adeyemo, at a first-of-its kind gathering with officials from 32 countries and the United States to discuss sanctions on Russia, made clear that Washington is prepared to take action against those outside the United States evading Washington's sanctions.

Officials at the meeting, which included representatives from EU countries, Canada and South Korea, discussed additional steps planned to target Russia's military-industrial complex and the effects of several rafts of sanctions imposed by Washington and its partners over Moscow's invasion of Ukraine, which has killed or wounded thousands.

The Treasury Department also warned that Washington is prepared to impose sanctions on those providing ammunition or other military goods to Russia as well as private military companies or paramilitary groups that participate in or support Russia's war in Ukraine.
Read more: https://www.yahoo.com/news/sanctions-ta ... 25113.html
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ibm9000
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

Post by ibm9000 »

WASHINGTON (Reuters) -The United States on Friday warned it can impose sanctions on people...
I cannot remember US imposing sanctions on UK for selling weapons to Saudi Arabia while the invasion of Yemen.
History is teaching us that US impose sanctions based on:
- Invading countries
- Killing people
- Moral standards
- National interests
which one?
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caltrek
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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Ukraine Situation Report: Noose Tightens Around Russian-Occupied Kherson
by Stetson Payne
October 15, 2022

Introduction:
(The Drive) Ukrainian forces are back on the move in Kherson Oblast, with reports of fierce fighting at the frontlines and varying stages of panic among Russian Telegram channels.

Reports indicate the offensive remains focused on the Dnipro River’s west bank in an effort to trap Russian forces in a rapid drive to take river crossings.

(See linked article for Twitter feeds)

The Russian position in Kherson has reportedly weakened enough to where some western officials believe Kherson could be liberated within the week. If Ukraine's offensive continues down the river bank, they could take or cut off the oft-targeted crossings at Nova Kakhovka and both Antonivksiy bridges long before entering the city of Kherson itself. Their capture with the Russians still in Kherson would indicate a massive encirclement.

The move forces Russia to choose between maintaining its broad frontline or retreating out of the city and across the river. The prospects of encirclement apparently have many Russian mil-bloggers and Russian occupation officials in a panic.
Read more here: https://www.thedrive.com/the-war-zone/ ... d-kherson
Don't mourn, organize.

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caltrek
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

Post by caltrek »

Putin: ‘Our Goal is Not to Destroy All of Ukraine’
by Cain Burdeau
October 14, 2022

Introduction:
(Courthouse News) — Appearing confident and relaxed, Russian President Vladimir Putin held a news conference on Friday where he said he did not regret ordering an invasion of his neighbor and that Russia does not intend to “destroy all of Ukraine.”

“Our goal is not to destroy all of Ukraine,” Putin said at a wide-ranging news conference in Astana, Kazakhstan.

It was a rare occasion where he discussed the war in Ukraine in a public format since ordering the invasion of Russia’s southern neighbor on Feb. 24, a decision that’s thrown into chaos world affairs and sparked fears of a nuclear confrontation between Moscow and Washington.

His statement about not wanting to destroy “all of Ukraine” comes after nearly eight months of a war that has gone very poorly for Putin and his army.

Western and Ukrainian leaders accuse him of indeed trying to destroy Ukraine as a state and forcing it to come under Russian control. Critics charge Putin with seeking to reestablish the Russian Empire.
Read more here: https://www.courthousenews.com/putin-o ... -ukraine/
Last edited by caltrek on Sun Oct 16, 2022 8:18 pm, edited 1 time in total.
Don't mourn, organize.

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Xyls
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

Post by Xyls »

FALL OF KHERSON IMMINENT

The city of Kherson is likely to fall within the next 10 days. Russian forces are currently in the process of deporting Ukrainian children and are now seizing bank assets as well as other valuables for what looks like will be a total withdrawal across the Dnieper. They also seem to be targeting those they suspect may have Ukrainian sympathies before they go.

Based on reports the Ukrainians have launched another Kherson offensive the Russian leadership may have decided to cut it's losses here and go to more defensible positions across the Dnieper in an attempt to stall for time to see if their winter energy war strategy on Europe and political change in the US will bring results in slowing down support for Ukraine.

This will also lower casualties on them for the time being. Expect to see some increased attacks on Bakhmut as Russia likely will want to show some sort of propaganda victory to it's people when it loses Kherson which will be a big moral blow.

While this looks like a defeat this may be the first militarily smart thing that Russia has done this war... as it prevents a decisive defeat of them here which could end the war and makes it so Ukraine will now have the difficulty of having to cross the Dnieper as winter approaches. And it will need to keep having victories to keep European support in particular as winter energy prices being to bite. (That being said though Western public opinion remains overwhelmingly against Russia and that isn't likely to break as easy as Putin thinks it will.)

It should be noted that the Ukrainian side has invoked a call of silence so isn't giving much info about what is going on but there is evidence suggesting they are making major gains there towards the city at the moment as Russians continue to try to rapidly evacuate.





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