Ukraine War Watch Thread

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ibm9000
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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“US officials say China is considering delivering artillery and drones to Russian forces that could prolong the war, even as Beijing has called for peace talks to end the fighting on the first anniversary of Russia’s invasion of Ukraine.” . This is supported by the Wall Street Journal.
Unlike western weapons (they call for peace).

How much we miss that good-old-based-on-moral-principles Non‐Intervention Committee of 1936...
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ibm9000
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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"The idea that China is going to be negotiating the outcome of a war that is a totally unjust war for Ukraine is just not rational," Biden said.
It is rational to give weapons to keep the war going on without pressuring to negotiate the end of the war (and imposing sanctions on the other side).
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raklian
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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Ukrainian drone vs. Russian soldier

To know is essentially the same as not knowing. The only thing that occurs is the rearrangement of atoms in your brain.
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ibm9000
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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Ukrainian drone vs. Russian soldier
What do we actually see in that edited video?

A (wounded?) soldier (he wears some camo and carries a weapon), alone, in the middle of nowhere, has a drone (almost certain) dropping hand grenades around him. Then the camera goes black: destroyed drone?
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ibm9000
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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Russia still grinding forward in Bakhmut.
No to a Chinese Peace (nor to any peace agreement).
They got the (4?) tanks, 75 (or 150) combat ready in June? (Sending unprepared troops forward?)
Is Russia going to do something from now until then? (Even if only to grind forward).
After Bakhmut, is Ukraine digging trenches in Kramatorks and Sloviansk? (Spoiler: armies dig, always).
Anyone read anything (Bild) about a time limit (from US), Autumn, in case of a failed (Ukrainian) offensive, to start negotiating? (Open season for killing Ukrainians until then).
Providing weapons to countries at war is an old and well respected business.

Oh!, and it seems that one Russian soldier died under a drone attack. (This information has not been confirmed).
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raklian
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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Image
To know is essentially the same as not knowing. The only thing that occurs is the rearrangement of atoms in your brain.
weatheriscool
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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In an Epic Battle of Tanks, Russia Was Routed, Repeating Earlier Mistakes
A three-week fight in the town of Vuhledar in southern Ukraine produced what Ukrainian officials say was the biggest tank battle of the war so far, and a stinging setback for the Russians.

KURAKHOVE, Ukraine — Before driving into battle in their mud-spattered war machine, a T-64 tank, the three-man Ukrainian crew performs a ritual.

The commander, Pvt. Dmytro Hrebenok, recites the Lord’s Prayer. Then, the men walk around the tank, patting its chunky green armor.

“We say, ‘Please, don’t let us down in battle,’” said Sgt. Artyom Knignitsky, the mechanic. “‘Bring us in and bring us out.’”

Their respect for their tank is understandable. Perhaps no weapon symbolizes the ferocious violence of war more than the main battle tank. Tanks have loomed over the conflict in Ukraine in recent months — militarily and diplomatically — as both sides prepared for offensives. Russia pulled reserves of tanks from Cold War-era storage, and Ukraine prodded Western governments to supply American Abrams and German Leopard 2 tanks.

The sophisticated Western tanks are expected on the battlefield in the next several months. The new Russian armor turned up earlier — and in its first wide-scale deployment was decimated.
https://www.nytimes.com/2023/03/01/worl ... =url-share
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ibm9000
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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Ukraine war ‘over’ unless EU boosts military support.
...
Much more has to be done and much quicker. There is still a lot to be done. We have to increase and accelerate our military support. It currently
takes almost 10 months for the European army to buy a bullet (sic) for the calibre of 155mm, almost one year, and almost three years to buy an
air-to-air missile. This is not in accordance with the war situation in which we live. Josep Borrell, the EU foreign affairs chief.
Moscow can no more lose the war with Ukraine than Washington could lose a war with Mexico.
Where is the big Russian offensive?
If it's working don't repair it.

A friend of mine mentioned The Great War, I have no idea who this "Serge" is, but we know that Russia has more guns and more ammo. It is all very
nice to draw arrows over a map, but maybe we are not going to see any Russian WW2 offensive (combined-arms-operational-whatever), maybe there is no need.

https://bigserge.substack.com/p/russo-u ... hrodingers

(I don't know his shoe size, in case that has anything to do with the merits of his analysis, but I think a critical reading of his opinion is going to be useful).
He does mention Vuhledar.
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ibm9000
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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Russia pulled reserves of tanks from Cold War-era storage, and Ukraine prodded Western governments to supply American Abrams and German Leopard 2 tanks.
Yes, with "old" thermal sights... but still thermal sights, Western tanks are yet to come (in any number) and do something.

Any Ukrainian authority "claiming" it own casualties for that victory in Vuhledar? Any Russian Tiktok "reported" how many Ukrainians casualties?

Expectation tended to outrun execution. ACW.
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ibm9000
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Re: Ukraine War Watch Thread

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So far, the exchange rate of trading our lives for theirs favors the Russians. If this goes on like this, we could run out.
One Ukrainian commander around Bakhmut, according to The Wall Street Journal.

Ukrainian officials admit that their artillery is outgunned by 9 to 1 in critical sectors of the front.
US is using its ammo stockpiles in Israel and S. Korea to arm Ukraine. Is that the Autumn ultimatum, US "running out" of ammo?
321 tanks promised to Ukraine. How many will be ready to act together and when?; with new crews.
How many state-of-the-art Russians tanks have been used? What did they achieve according to the western media (apart from those 100.000 sq km)?
Active fronts: Bakhmut and Kreminna; Vuhledar?, Avdiivka? What offensive is Ukraine going to launch?
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