China could mount full scale invasion of Taiwan by 2025

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wjfox
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Re: China could mount full scale invasion of Taiwan by 2025

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Taiwan: China attack not imminent, but US watching closely, says Gen Milley

1 hour ago

A Chinese attack on Taiwan is not imminent, the top US general says, but the US is watching "very closely".

China is clearly developing the capability to attack at some point, but deciding to do so would be a political choice, Gen Mark Milley told the BBC.

China says Taiwan is a breakaway province that must be re-unified with the mainland, by force if necessary.

It has accused the US of supporting Taiwan's independence, and vowed to "resolutely crush" any such attempt.

There has been a marked escalation recently between China and the US - Taiwan's most powerful ally.

China has been sending scores of warplanes into Taiwan's air defence zone, while the US has sent naval ships through Taiwan's waters.

https://www.bbc.co.uk/news/world-asia-62022308
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Yuli Ban
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Re: China could mount full scale invasion of Taiwan by 2025

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That's been my position for years now: the only time China would actually decide to attack is if they knew for almost a fact they'd win, that they could do it before the USA could respond, and more to the point, if the USA COULDN'T respond for whatever reason (such as social/political collapse).


They're not going to attack by 2025 or 2030 unless the USA ceased to be a political entity.
And remember my friend, future events such as these will affect you in the future
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Re: China could mount full scale invasion of Taiwan by 2025

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Yuli Ban wrote: Sun Jul 03, 2022 3:40 pm They're not going to attack by 2025 or 2030 unless the USA ceased to be a political entity.
In our time, one must be very careful with such predictions. Even with second (purely rhetorical, as far as I understand) part.

To clarify: this is not pure trolling but based on my understanding of current news from US domestic policy (actions of the supreme court and such). Surely a steps (be it symbolic or real) towards "cease to be a political entity".
We are few, and the enemy is strong, but God is not in power, but in truth. Some with weapons, and others on horseback, but we call on the name of the Lord our God; they were defeated and fell, but we stood and stand straight.
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Re: China could mount full scale invasion of Taiwan by 2025

Post by joe00uk »

Western hegemony has already diminished to the point where rising powers (and their allies) can pursue their objectives with as much supposedly "illegal" force as they like and win. That's what we're seeing happen in Ukraine right now, and that's sending a clear message to the rest of the world. Just look at how Turkey used this situation to blackmail Sweden and Finland over NATO membership. If US and NATO support for Ukraine can't give them the upper hand, then there's no reason to think this won't encourage China to draw up its own "special military operation" for Taiwan. Such is the global anarchy that develops in times of imperial decline. The fall of Pax Britannica gave way to the two world wars of the 20th Century, and the fall of Pax Americana isn't likely to be much fun and games either.
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Re: China could mount full scale invasion of Taiwan by 2025

Post by Doozer »

I think China is gonna wait out and see how Putin's efforts in Ukraine goes first.
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Re: China could mount full scale invasion of Taiwan by 2025

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Pelosi departs Taiwan as furious China holds military drills
Source: CNBC



TAIPEI, Taiwan — House Speaker Nancy Pelosi departed Taiwan on Wednesday after a whirlwind visit that captured global attention and further strained relations between the United States and China. Before boarding a plane to leave the island at around 6 a.m. ET, Pelosi vowed solidarity with the self-ruling democracy that Beijing claims as its territory while China launched military drills, summoned the U.S. ambassador and halted some imports from Taiwan in a display of angry protest at her visit.

“Our delegation came here to send an unequivocal message: America stands with Taiwan,” Pelosi said at a news conference in Taipei after meeting with Taiwanese President Tsai Ing-wen. Beijing had warned against the Pelosi visit for weeks, issuing threats that raised fears of a new crisis in the region between the world’s two biggest economies. As soon as she touched down Tuesday, Chinese officials unleashed a barrage of furious statements and announced plans for military exercises starting immediately. On Wednesday, a Chinese Foreign Ministry spokesperson criticized Pelosi’s visit as a “political farce.”

“It is Pelosi who is grandstanding, but it is bilateral relations and regional peace and stability that will suffer,” Hua Chunying said. Some of the additional military drills planned for later this week will take place within Taiwan’s sea and air territory, a move the island democracy denounced as a serious violation that amounted to land and naval blockades. Both Pelosi and Tsai said they were committed to maintaining the status quo, under which the United States recognizes Beijing as the sole legitimate government of China but maintains unofficial relations with Taiwan.

“We want Taiwan to always have freedom with security, and we’re not backing away from that,” Pelosi said. Tsai thanked the U.S. delegation, which includes five other House Democratic lawmakers, for visiting “under such challenging circumstances,” calling the Chinese military exercises “unnecessary.” China views Pelosi’s visit as highly provocative because of her status as a high-ranking official. While U.S. lawmakers and other current and former government officials regularly visit Taiwan, Pelosi is the first House speaker to visit the island since Newt Gingrich in 1997.
Read more: https://www.cnbc.com/2022/08/03/pelosi- ... rills.html
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Re: China could mount full scale invasion of Taiwan by 2025

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U.S. Navy deploys four warships east of Taiwan as Pelosi heads to Taipei
Source: Reuters
HONG KONG (Reuters) - As U.S. House of Representatives Speaker Nancy Pelosi headed to Taipei on Tuesday amid intensifying warnings from China, four U.S. warships, including an aircraft carrier, were positioned in waters east of the island on "routine" deployments.

The carrier USS Ronald Reagan had transited the South China Sea and was currently in the Philippines Sea, east of Taiwan and the Philippines and south of Japan, a U.S. Navy official confirmed to Reuters on Tuesday.

The Japanese-based Reagan is operating with a guided missile cruiser, USS Antietam, and a destroyer, USS Higgins.

"While they are able to respond to any eventuality, these are normal, routine deployments," the official said, who spoke on the condition of anonymity. The official added that they were unable to comment on precise locations.
Read more: https://www.msn.com/en-us/news/world/u- ... 203c52f164
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Re: China could mount full scale invasion of Taiwan by 2025

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China conducts 'precision missile strikes' in Taiwan Strait
Source: AP

By JOHNSON LAI and HUIZHONG WU
KEELUNG, Taiwan (AP) — China conducted “precision missile strikes” Thursday in waters off Taiwan’s coasts as part of military exercises that have raised tensions in the region to their highest level in decades following a visit by U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi.

China earlier announced that military exercises by its navy, air force and other departments were underway in six zones surrounding Taiwan, which Beijing claims as its own territory to be annexed by force if necessary.

Five of the missiles fired by China landed in Japan’s Exclusive Economic Zone off Hateruma, an island far south of Japan’s main islands, Japanese Defense Minister Nobuo Kishi said. He said Japan protested the missile landings to China as “serious threats to Japan’s national security and the safety of the Japanese people.”

Japan’s Defense Ministry also speculated that four missiles flew over Taipei, the capital city, crossing the mainland, according to a statement its embassy in D.C. posted on Twitter. Taiwan’s Defense Ministry did not deny the claim, saying that the flight path was “outside the atmosphere and is not harmful to the vast area on the ground it flies over.”


Read more: https://apnews.com/article/taiwan-asia- ... 61618d28af
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Re: China could mount full scale invasion of Taiwan by 2025

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Japan PM meets Pelosi, calls China drills 'grave problem'
Source: AP

By MARI YAMAGUCHI

TOKYO (AP) — Japanese Prime Minister Fumio Kishida said Friday that China’s military exercises aimed at Taiwan represent a “grave problem” that threatens regional peace and security after five ballistic missiles launched as part of the drills landed in Japan’s exclusive economic zone.

Kishida, speaking after breakfast with U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi and her congressional delegation, said the missile launches need to be “stopped immediately.”

China, which claims Taiwan and has threatened to annex it by force if necessary, called Pelosi’s visit earlier this week to the self-ruled island a provocation and on Thursday began military exercises, including missile strike training, in six zones surrounding Taiwan, in what could be its biggest since the mid-1990s.

In Taipei on Wednesday, Pelosi said the American commitment to democracy in Taiwan and elsewhere “remains ironclad.” She became the first House speaker to visit the island in 25 years.



Read more: https://apnews.com/article/taiwan-china ... 5665287bb4
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Re: China could mount full scale invasion of Taiwan by 2025

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Blinken: China military drills are 'significant escalation'
Source: AP

By DAVID RISING

PHNOM PENH, Cambodia (AP) — U.S. Secretary of State Antony Blinken said Friday that China’s military exercises aimed at Taiwan, including missiles fired into Japan’s exclusive economic zone, represent a “significant escalation” and that he has urged Beijing to back down.

China launched the drills following a visit by U.S. House Speaker Nancy Pelosi to Taiwan that infuriated Beijing, which claims the self-governed island as its own territory.

Blinken told reporters on the sidelines of a meeting with the Association of Southeast Asian Nations in Cambodia, however, that Pelosi’s visit was peaceful and did not represent a change in American policy toward Taiwan, accusing China of using it as a “pretext to increase provocative military activity in and around the Taiwan Strait.”

He said the situation had led to a “vigorous communication” during East Asia Summit meetings in Phnom Penh in which both he and Chinese Foreign Minister Wang Yi took part along with the ASEAN nations, Russia and others.


Read more: https://apnews.com/article/russia-ukrai ... e5f223463d
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