Society & Demographics News and Discussions

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funkervogt
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Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions

Post by funkervogt »

wjfox wrote: Sun Dec 18, 2022 12:12 pm We Are Not Prepared for the Coming Surge of Babies

The post-Roe rise in births in the U.S. will be concentrated in some of the worst states for infant and maternal health. Plans to improve these outcomes are staggeringly thin.

By Melissa Jeltsen
December 16, 2022

A typical pregnancy lasts about 40 weeks. Roe v. Wade, the Supreme Court decision that created a constitutional right to abortion, was reversed less than six months ago. This means the U.S. is currently at a unique inflection point in the history of reproductive rights: early enough to see the immediate effects of Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization—closed clinics, a rapidly shifting map of abortion access—but too soon to measure the rise in babies born to mothers who did not wish to have them. Many of these babies will be born in states that already have the worst maternal- and child-health outcomes in the nation. Although the existence of these children is the goal of the anti-abortion movement, America is unprepared to adequately care for them and the people who give birth to them.

https://www.theatlantic.com/family/arch ... re/672479/
The article says that the post-Roe baby bump will be 50,000 extra births, which is almost nothing since there were 3.6 million births in the U.S. in 2021.
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caltrek
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Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions

Post by caltrek »

funkervogt wrote: Sun Dec 18, 2022 9:33 pm
wjfox wrote: Sun Dec 18, 2022 12:12 pm We Are Not Prepared for the Coming Surge of Babies

The post-Roe rise in births in the U.S. will be concentrated in some of the worst states for infant and maternal health. Plans to improve these outcomes are staggeringly thin.

By Melissa Jeltsen
December 16, 2022

A typical pregnancy lasts about 40 weeks. Roe v. Wade, the Supreme Court decision that created a constitutional right to abortion, was reversed less than six months ago. This means the U.S. is currently at a unique inflection point in the history of reproductive rights: early enough to see the immediate effects of Dobbs v. Jackson Women’s Health Organization—closed clinics, a rapidly shifting map of abortion access—but too soon to measure the rise in babies born to mothers who did not wish to have them. Many of these babies will be born in states that already have the worst maternal- and child-health outcomes in the nation. Although the existence of these children is the goal of the anti-abortion movement, America is unprepared to adequately care for them and the people who give birth to them.

https://www.theatlantic.com/family/arch ... re/672479/
The article says that the post-Roe baby bump will be 50,000 extra births, which is almost nothing since there were 3.6 million births in the U.S. in 2021.
Missing the point.

Not prepared can be localized to less affluent areas not well endowed with adequate health care resources. Gotta keep those work slaves coming, and at minimal cost of maintenance. "Prolife" indeed.
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weatheriscool
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Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions

Post by weatheriscool »

U.S. life expectancy fell again in 2021 amid pandemic, opioid crisis
Source: Axios
U.S. life expectancy fell to 76.4 years last year from 77 years in 2020, driven by the effects of the pandemic as well as the opioid epidemic, according to final mortality data from the Centers for Disease Control and Prevention.

Why it matters: It is the second consecutive year that life expectancy has fallen. COVID-19 was the fastest-growing cause of death in 2021, followed closely by unintentional injuries, which include overdose deaths.

By the numbers: There were more than 3.4 million deaths in the U.S. in 2021, an increase of 80,502 over the total reported in 2020.

The death rate rose 5.3%, increasing from 835.4 deaths per 100,000 people to 879.7.


Read more: https://www.axios.com/2022/12/22/us-lif ... oid-crisis
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Time_Traveller
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Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions

Post by Time_Traveller »

The World population reaches eight billion – should we be concerned?
18-11-2022 07:00

Accurately measuring the size of the world’s population is notoriously difficult. Anyone who has ever been to India or travelled in Africa will appreciate just how difficult it is to record just how many people are living in a village, never mind one of the world’s mega-cities such as Delhi or Accra. The United Nations predicts that the world population surpassed eight billion, that’s eight thousand million, people on 15 November 2022.

To get a handle on this total, Stephanie Hegarty, the BBC’s population correspondent puts it like this,

“If I show you one person every second, it would take 253 years to get through them all.’’

The immediate question is how long will it take to reach nine billion? One estimate is that this total will be surpassed in 15 years.

Will the planet be able to support this number?
https://bylines.scot/news/world/populat ... concerned/
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raklian
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Post by raklian »

China’s population drops for the first time in decades


https://www.cnbc.com/2023/01/17/chinas- ... cades.html

China’s population declined in 2022, the National Bureau of Statistics said Tuesday.

The drop was the first since the early 1960s, according to Yi Fuxian, a critic of China’s one-child policy and author of the book “Big Country With an Empty Nest.”

Mainland China’s population, excluding foreigners, fell by 850,000 people in 2022 to 1.41 billion, the statistics bureau said. The country reported 9.56 million births and 10.41 million deaths for 2022.
To know is essentially the same as not knowing. The only thing that occurs is the rearrangement of atoms in your brain.
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funkervogt
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Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions

Post by funkervogt »

Here's another article about China's population drop, which covers some points missing in raklian's article.
https://www.reuters.com/world/china/chi ... 023-01-17/

Let me just summarize those points:
-The last time China's population had a year-over-year decrease was in 1961, and it was due to famine.
-Few demographers expected China's population to started decreasing as early as 2021.
-The unexpectedly early start of this trend means that India may already be the world's most populous country.
-The shrinking and graying of China's population will damage the global economy.
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Xyls
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Post by Xyls »

I think these demographics are good news for those concerned about war with Taiwan. At this point China needs to seriously think before expending it's younger population. Unless of course they want to burn off some of their excess men. However, even that might not be a compelling enough reason if you consider that their senior bulge could make their financial system unsustainable if they are losing their younger generation due to war.

Russia is going to be an abject lesson in this, but even Russia's demographics are not as skewed as China's. Also I don't see any recovery for these two countries in their birth rates going forward.

Ukraine while being devastated I am thinking may have a baby boom after this is all over as first of all I I think this whole process may result in a lot of people coupling up, and with Western investment likely coming for a rebuild it may encourage people to have kids if they think their prospects will improve.
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Post by Time_Traveller »

Expected population of European countries in the year 2100:

Image
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Re: Society & Demographics News and Discussions

Post by wjfox »

Sichuan: Couples in Chinese province allowed to have unlimited children

3 hours ago

Couples in China's Sichuan province will be allowed to have as many children as they want, as the country continues to try and get a grip on its declining population.

Last year, the population in China fell for the first time in 60 years.

For decades, the country had a one-child policy - increased nationally for married couples to three in 2021.

As part of the policy change in Sichuan, unmarried individuals will also now be able to raise children.

Previously there was a ban on single women registering a birth.

https://www.bbc.com/news/world-asia-china-64457367
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