The Singularity - Official Thread

[funkervogt]

"In 2022, 85.4 million motor vehicles were produced around the world"
Source: https://www.acea.auto/figure/world-moto ... roduction/

If you conservatively estimate that two humanoid robots can be manufactured for the same cost and difficulty as one car, then we have the theoretical ability to make 170 million of those robots yearly.

Over 1 billion humanoid robots would exist after six years of sustained production. So the prediction could come true given some reasonable assumptions about the development timetable for humanoid robots, their popularity, and how many industrial resources we devote to them.

However, I think there are many other reasons why the 1 billion mark will be missed, though I don't have time to go into it now.

[Powers]

"In 2022, 85.4 million motor vehicles were produced around the world"
Source: https://www.acea.auto/figure/world-moto ... roduction/

If you conservatively estimate that two humanoid robots can be manufactured for the same cost and difficulty as one car, then we have the theoretical ability to make 170 million of those robots yearly.

Over 1 billion humanoid robots would exist after six years of sustained production. So the prediction could come true given some reasonable assumptions about the development timetable for humanoid robots, their popularity, and how many industrial resources we devote to them.

However, I think there are many other reasons why the 1 billion mark will be missed, though I don't have time to go into it now.

The vast majority would be made of "bipedals" like Amazon robots probably.

[wjfox]

[Powers]

Not in the worst of times but one of the bad ones, horrible ones.

[Tadasuke]

There may be 1 billion bipedal and quadrupedal robots by 2050. 10 billion by 2068.

Also, by 2055 all vehicles will be 100% self-driving, with human only providing the destination.

By 2060 all airplanes, ships, buses and trains will be 100% autonomous and automatic.

By 2090 internal combustion engines and jet engines will be extinct outside of museums and private collections.

By 2100 humans will be able to run 75 km/hour.

[wjfox]

[wjfox]

[wjfox]

[TrueAnimationFan]