Personal chat thread

Anything that doesn't quite fit in elsewhere...
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erowind
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Re: Personal chat thread

Post by erowind »

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Last edited by erowind on Sun Jul 06, 2025 9:49 pm, edited 1 time in total.
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Yuli Ban
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Re: Personal chat thread

Post by Yuli Ban »

Just had a chance thought that most people on this forum still know me as the Mother Meki guy, completely and utterly unaware of what I've been working on for the past three years. Then again, it's not exactly "futurist" in too many ways except maybe in the Marinetti sense, so no wonder...

Image
And remember my friend, future events such as these will affect you in the future
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wjfox
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Re: Personal chat thread

Post by wjfox »

After a scare yesterday (see my previous post), I tested negative for Covid this afternoon.

Had a great evening – went to Boisdale Bishopsgate with my friend, had a great meal and enjoyed some jazz/blues, sung by Errol Linton and his band. :)


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R8Z
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Re: Personal chat thread

Post by R8Z »

wjfox wrote: Fri Mar 11, 2022 11:29 pm Had a great evening
Glad to hear that :D
And, as always, bye bye.
Nanotechandmorefuture
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Re: Personal chat thread

Post by Nanotechandmorefuture »

wjfox wrote: Fri Mar 11, 2022 11:29 pm After a scare yesterday (see my previous post), I tested negative for Covid this afternoon.

Had a great evening – went to Boisdale Bishopsgate with my friend, had a great meal and enjoyed some jazz/blues, sung by Errol Linton and his band. :)


Glad all is ok!
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Yuli Ban
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Re: Personal chat thread

Post by Yuli Ban »

When I restore my funds, I think I may break down and get these at some point:



So exciting to see smartglasses that are finally easily purchasable. It's one of my lesser dreams of 2013-2015 come true.

Of course, just watch Apple blow this out of the water.
And remember my friend, future events such as these will affect you in the future
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Ozzie guy
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Re: Personal chat thread

Post by Ozzie guy »

I had been dabbling with lucid dreaming following a lot of the nonsense on how to get one.
I did end up getting stronger dreams and remembering my dreams (I suppose as I was thinking about dreaming a lot).

I just purchased the audio book "Exploring the World of Lucid Dreaming by Stephen LaBerge PhD"

He is actually the guy behind lucid dreaming research and the techniques to make you have a lucid dream.
The Lucid dreaming community has invented nonsense techniques and through Chinese whispers ruined scientific techniques.

I realistically hope that by using scientific lucid dreaming techniques correctly I will eventually be able to lucid dream 20+ minutes a night on average.

Lucid dreaming is probably the closest thing we have to FIVR and wastes nearly none of your day as you are asleep so I think it is a good skill to invest time into.
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Ozzie guy
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Re: Personal chat thread

Post by Ozzie guy »

About 30% chance I am going to get a better job than my current cleaning position.

It's very likely I will be getting a job interview for a position in customer service.

It will probably be minimum wage and one of the worst office jobs but ... it is an office job regardless!

I will get to sit instead of stand plus walk all day and if I am not busy 24/7 finally like most people in the first world I will get to chat around with familiar people and look at the internet at work.
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Ozzie guy
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Re: Personal chat thread

Post by Ozzie guy »

I got the job I escaped being a cleaner, for the first time I have an office job. It's full time as well but minimum wage.

I am basically working in a call centre for a company that makes some of the world's most advanced AI software centred around automation for businesses. It's kind of cool given my interests lol.

The only issue is that the job doesn't like that I have to do psychiatrist appointments during full time work hours but I am sure there will be away around it now that I have got my feet in the door.


Realistically call centres are far from the best occupation but it's nice to be able to sit down whist working and the job feels respectable enough to be done long term.


It also kind of makes me feel like an adult if that makes sense.
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Yuli Ban
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Re: Personal chat thread

Post by Yuli Ban »

I can't put a date on AGI, but TAI (transformative AI) has arrived. It's just not commercialized yet.

DALL-E 2 alone could precipitate the immediate end of a wide variety of jobs if it's fine-tuned further and publicly released. More than that, it completely bypasses GANs. We're probably going to come to view GANs as an interesting false start because transformers can do what they do in a far more generalized manner.

DALL-E 3 is going to crush art. I mean I can foresee something like a model that can generate 4K images from text, ranging from that which looks like photographs all the way to classical art to everything in between. From text! You write what you want, what the composition should look like, and voila. It's only limited by your own vocabulary. I remember predicting that modeling jobs would soon be automated. GANs hadn't progressed at the rate I thought they would, or perhaps they did but were limited by the architecture. The capabilities of GANs in 2019-2021 were more like a strong hint. Now there's an actual fire alarm blaring.

It's intense how we're starting to measure AI progress in terms of weeks. It's even more intense how DALL-E 2 arguably wasn't even the most impressive AI shown this week. PaLM takes that crown. But image synthesis is flashier than text.

Edit: the more DALL-E 2 creations I find, the less cynical I become. There's so many little details, so many small little flourishes, that tells me that there's genuine imaginative generation going on. I still wouldn't call it "creativity," but it's still astounding to see.
And remember my friend, future events such as these will affect you in the future
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Ozzie guy
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Re: Personal chat thread

Post by Ozzie guy »

I kind of feel like I have won at life.

To me life has almost turned into a video game of surviving until the singularity. I am confident I will be able to work at my full time job until at least 2025 when we have proto AGI and then be close to real AGI I am not sure what I will do when I reach 2025.
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R8Z
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Re: Personal chat thread

Post by R8Z »

Ozzie guy wrote: Wed Apr 20, 2022 10:26 pm I kind of feel like I have won at life.

To me life has almost turned into a video game of surviving until the singularity. I am confident I will be able to work at my full time job until at least 2025 when we have proto AGI and then be close to real AGI I am not sure what I will do when I reach 2025.
I am glad you found comfort in life. Life is indeed like a game where if we focus on the right set of skills different opportunities and benefits come along with them. Charisma/Speech is probably the most rewarding one.
And, as always, bye bye.
Tadasuke

Re: Personal chat thread

Post by Tadasuke »

I feel terrible, because I feel like almost nothing is under my control. Things I want to change are things I can't change. I'm not sure if future will change this, I hope that yes. It's like everyday is "accept that the world is shit and somehow live despite it, even if you hate every day".

Proto AGI may happen around 2025, but it doesn't mean that the world of 2035 will be a happy world. And remember, modern flush toilet was first created in 1775 (nearly 250 years ago!) by Alexander Cumming, but in 2022 there are still billions of people (1 in 4 people) with no immediate access to flush toilets. Just because a technology is created, doesn't mean that everyone will benefit from it soon after. And please don't bring up smartphones. Mobile phones are a 1970s invention and are taking about 50 years to reach nearly everyone.
Tadasuke

Re: Personal chat thread

Post by Tadasuke »

I think I'm abnormal, because I'm used to imagining the future of everything. From a very young age I used to think how things are going to change and evolve in 5, 10, 15, 20, 25 years. And I'm always let down by reality. I think how things should go according to my ideas, but they don't go like that. I'm always negatively surprised.

As a recent example, I bought Radeon 480 8GB in 2016 for $230 and thought "in 2 years I'm going to buy another $230 card that will be twice as fast, with twice the memory and so on every 2 years". I made predictions, graphs, thought about what products will happen, how they will look like, what will be their names, etc. And here I am in 2022 after ordering Radeon 6700 XT for $530. The card doesn't have even twice the memory, but it costs 130% more. However, compared to recent prices of $1000, this doesn't look bad. 😕

As for smartphones, I thought that by 2015 we would use pocket PCs, palmtops. Something like on this photo:
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I also thought that in 2020 we would very often use voice to control our computers. I wrote some predictions down on my computer. It all seemed logical, rational, sensible and good. Too bad it turned false. I'm writing this on a keyboard instead of with my voice. 😒
Tadasuke

Re: Personal chat thread

Post by Tadasuke »

This is my old note about 2015:

"In the year 2015 people usually carry around 3 computers:
*one small mobile phone with weeks of battery life, able to make phone connections, send SMS and use a flashlight
*one larger pocket PC with days of battery life, able to run Linux, typically featuring an 8" FHD screen, keyboard, 8 core 3 GHz CPU, ~1 teraflops GPU and 8 GB of RAM, can do voice recognition and videocalls and you can work on it, is able to run a few years old PC games and do emulation
*one small computerized watch with weeks of battery life, able to track vital signs of a person and inform of any irregularities, can also display SMS messages"

I still think this would had been better than reality.
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Revolutionary Moderate
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Re: Personal chat thread

Post by Revolutionary Moderate »

I don't drink alcohol because I find the taste of it to be very bitter, but the rest of my family does drink alcohol, which is interesting.
The Potato Praiser
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wjfox
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Re: Personal chat thread

Post by wjfox »

I bought a night vision camera, to record myself sleeping. I want to figure out what's been causing my insomnia.

Last night, a helicopter flew over at 3.25am, which is precisely when I woke up.

It might have been a coincidence though, so I'm going to repeat these recordings for the next few days.
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Yuli Ban
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Re: Personal chat thread

Post by Yuli Ban »

Definitely keep doing that, but it could very well be that you're a light sleeper.
And remember my friend, future events such as these will affect you in the future
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Yuli Ban
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Re: Personal chat thread

Post by Yuli Ban »

A small few thoughts on proto-AGI:

To say we are close is ludicrously understating the implications. I've been looking into some of the latest releases, and Flamingo in particular is certainly unusually good. Of course, it still falls short of my expectations, but the honest fact of the matter is that to get from where we are to proto-AGI is quite literally just a matter of scale, compute, and training.
And I have reason to believe that someone may have already done it...
And remember my friend, future events such as these will affect you in the future
Tadasuke

Re: Personal chat thread

Post by Tadasuke »

During my 11 years of depression, for the first 5 years I used to be very hard on myself and dumped all responsibility on myself. For example if my smartphone was slow and freezed sometimes, I would consider it my fault for not taking proper care of it (ROM, kernel, settings, cleaning). I hated myself for being bad at sports, video games, socializing and learning. I thought that my life is shit, because I am shit. I went to a gym regularly etc.

But in 2016 that changed to "now I think that the universe is shit and it's all not my fault, I tried and I failed, because of the universe". Smartphone was working poorly, because it was poorly designed, not because of my failings. I was super disappointed in the year 2016, when I thought that things would be rosy and awesome, but they were not. Nothing positive predicted for 2016 came to pass, both my and others predictions. The reality was crushingly horrifying. I hated it and I hate it now. I changed my whole view and narrative from "everything's my fault" to "everything's this universe's fault and I'm am just a victim". I'm still depressed, of course, nothing improved in that. However, Android smartphones don't work so badly anymore, they've greatly improved over the years. Anyhow, my predictions for 2015 and 2020 were completely off the mark. Even my 2015 predictions were more optimistic than our 2022 reality. I was like "in the second decade of this century everything will start to change". I was both thinking that and saying that.

At least my new, not cheap but also not that expensive Radeon 6700 XT is in-line with how I imagined my graphics card in 2015. Of course it's far from what I expected my 2020 GPU to be like. And also 1 TW from solar is in-line with my 2020 prediction. Falcon 9 doing routine reusable missions to the orbit is also in-line with my 2015 prediction. But why don't we have actually useful personal in-computer intelligent assistants?
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