2023-2024 Presidential, senate, house, state and city election thread

[weatheriscool]

[weatheriscool]

[weatheriscool]

[raklian]

Like I said, if Kamala wins the Presidency, it would be because of women.

[weatheriscool]

[weatheriscool]

[wjfox]

[weatheriscool]

[wjfox]

That's a huge margin of error. Pretty useless poll.

[Time_Traveller]

Shock poll puts Harris ahead in Iowa - as women 'drive late shift' towards Democrats

Sunday 3 November 2024 09:45, UK



Kamala Harris has pulled ahead of Donald Trump in a poll in Iowa, a state Donald Trump easily won in 2016 and 2020.

The vice president has a three-point lead in the midwestern state, according to a Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll of 808 likely voters.

"The poll shows that women - particularly those who are older or who are politically independent - are driving the late shift toward Harris," the poll said.'

The poll shows Ms Harris leading Mr Trump 47% to 44%.

It has a 3.4 percentage point margin of error and follows another Iowa Poll in September that gave Mr Trump a four-point lead, the newspaper reported.

https://news.sky.com/story/shock-poll-p ... e-13247314

[weatheriscool]

[caltrek]

Shock poll puts Harris ahead in Iowa - as women 'drive late shift' towards Democrats

Sunday 3 November 2024 09:45, UK



Kamala Harris has pulled ahead of Donald Trump in a poll in Iowa, a state Donald Trump easily won in 2016 and 2020.

The vice president has a three-point lead in the midwestern state, according to a Des Moines Register/Mediacom Iowa Poll of 808 likely voters.

"The poll shows that women - particularly those who are older or who are politically independent - are driving the late shift toward Harris," the poll said.'

The poll shows Ms Harris leading Mr Trump 47% to 44%.

It has a 3.4 percentage point margin of error and follows another Iowa Poll in September that gave Mr Trump a four-point lead, the newspaper reported.

More on that from Axios: https://www.axios.com/2024/11/03/harris ... ump-women


However, there is also this more discouraging poll result:

A new Emerson College Polling/RealClearDefense survey of Iowa likely voters finds 53% support former President Donald Trump and 43% support Vice President Kamala Harris for president in 2024. Three percent are undecided and 1% plan to vote for a third party. With undecided voters’ support accounted for, Trump’s overall support increases to 54% and Harris to 45%.

Read more here: https://emersoncollegepolling.com/novem ... harris-43

[Time_Traveller]

However, there is also this more discouraging poll result:

A new Emerson College Polling/RealClearDefense survey of Iowa likely voters finds 53% support former President Donald Trump and 43% support Vice President Kamala Harris for president in 2024. Three percent are undecided and 1% plan to vote for a third party. With undecided voters’ support accounted for, Trump’s overall support increases to 54% and Harris to 45%.

Read more here: https://emersoncollegepolling.com/novem ... harris-43

Would the polls change that dramatically within a day of the one I posted.

[caltrek]

However, there is also this more discouraging poll result:

A new Emerson College Polling/RealClearDefense survey of Iowa likely voters finds 53% support former President Donald Trump and 43% support Vice President Kamala Harris for president in 2024. Three percent are undecided and 1% plan to vote for a third party. With undecided voters’ support accounted for, Trump’s overall support increases to 54% and Harris to 45%.

Read more here: https://emersoncollegepolling.com/novem ... harris-43

Would the polls change that dramatically within a day of the one I posted.

Probably not that public opinion has changed that dramatically, but that one or both of the polls are in error.

[wjfox]

[wjfox]

TL;DR

If you care about Gaza/Palestinians, Ukraine, or climate change, DO NOT vote for Jill Stein.

[weatheriscool]

[weatheriscool]

From NYT/Siena battleground polls:

But there are signs that late deciders are breaking for Ms. Harris: Among the 8 percent of voters who said they had only recently decided on their vote, she wins the group by 55 percent to 44 percent.

https://www.nytimes.com/2024/11/03/us/p ... -poll.html

and from the new Yahoo/YouGov poll:

Harris also leads Trump 70% to 26% among late-breaking voters — the quarter of the electorate who say they made up their mind about which candidate to support in September or October. And 4% of Trump voters say they could “still change [their] mind between now and the election,” versus just 1% of Harris supporters.

https://www.yahoo.com/news/final-yahoo- ... jwumo1bpf4

[weatheriscool]

[caltrek]

'Terrifying' Ad Shows Deadly Impact of GOP Abortion Bans
by Julia Conley
November 3, 2024

Introduction:

(Common Dreams) Dr. Davis, what do I do?" asks a man frantically, kneeling near his partner as she writhes in pain on the floor.

"John, she needs an abortion, or she's going to die from the pregnancy," answers the doctor over the phone.

But a Republican congressman suddenly appears and tells the man, "That's not happening," explaining that abortion care is now banned because the GOP is in control of the government.

The scenario plays out in the latest ad from Progress Action Fund, a Democratic political action committee that's produced a number of viral videos focusing on how Republican presidential candidate Donald Trump's policies and those outlined in the right-wing agenda Project 2025 would impact both men and women's ability to make private decisions.

In the ad, the Republican lawmaker tells the man, "I won the last election, so it's my decision" whether the woman is able to receive the standard care needed to end her pregnancy.

Read more here: https://www.commondreams.org/news/misc ... abortion