If you conservatively estimate that two humanoid robots can be manufactured for the same cost and difficulty as one car, then we have the theoretical ability to make 170 million of those robots yearly.
Over 1 billion humanoid robots would exist after six years of sustained production. So the prediction could come true given some reasonable assumptions about the development timetable for humanoid robots, their popularity, and how many industrial resources we devote to them.
However, I think there are many other reasons why the 1 billion mark will be missed, though I don't have time to go into it now.
If you conservatively estimate that two humanoid robots can be manufactured for the same cost and difficulty as one car, then we have the theoretical ability to make 170 million of those robots yearly.
Over 1 billion humanoid robots would exist after six years of sustained production. So the prediction could come true given some reasonable assumptions about the development timetable for humanoid robots, their popularity, and how many industrial resources we devote to them.
However, I think there are many other reasons why the 1 billion mark will be missed, though I don't have time to go into it now.
The vast majority would be made of "bipedals" like Amazon robots probably.
Not in the worst of times but one of the bad ones, horrible ones.
Re: The Singularity - Official Thread
Posted: Fri Apr 05, 2024 8:58 am
by Tadasuke
There may be 1 billion bipedal and quadrupedal robots by 2050. 10 billion by 2068.
Also, by 2055 all vehicles will be 100% self-driving, with human only providing the destination.
By 2060 all airplanes, ships, buses and trains will be 100% autonomous and automatic.
By 2090 internal combustion engines and jet engines will be extinct outside of museums and private collections.
By 2100 humans will be able to run 75 km/hour.
Re: The Singularity - Official Thread
Posted: Wed Apr 10, 2024 10:23 am
by wjfox
Re: The Singularity - Official Thread
Posted: Sat Apr 13, 2024 12:32 pm
by wjfox
Re: The Singularity - Official Thread
Posted: Tue Apr 16, 2024 8:35 am
by wjfox
Re: The Singularity - Official Thread
Posted: Fri Apr 19, 2024 3:14 am
by TrueAnimationFan
Re: The Singularity - Official Thread
Posted: Sat May 04, 2024 7:59 am
by Ozzie guy
The existence of this video signifies to me that AI is now a mainstream topic amongst young people. (ignore dislike ratio it's due to some youtube drama or something.)
Imagine being in 2014 and finding out that in 2024 we would have normal youth debating over AGI on a mainstream YouTube channel. Honestly I am unshocked because the culture shift has bubbled up over time but I feel like I should be very shocked.
AGI is not here yet but you can already feel the flow of culture towards craziness as we get closer to the actual singularity.
